CD Povoa vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

On 7 November 2026 the LPB will see CD Povoa host Portimonense, with the model designating CD Povoa as the favourite, a rating driven by their 3-2 record, 74.4 points scored and 71.8 allowed per game, and a sixth-place league position, compared to Portimonense's 0-5 record, 76.0 points scored and 88.6 allowed per game, and an eleventh-place finish. CD Povoa have gone 1-1 at home, averaging 72.0 points and conceding 74.5, while Portimonense have gone 0-2 on the road, averaging 71.5 and allowing 89.5; the last five games for CD Povoa were 3-2, with a recent 75-68 win over Vitoria away, a 71-80 loss to Braga at home and a 69-78 defeat to Ovarense away, whereas Portimonense have lost all five of their recent outings, including a 72-86 loss to Benfica at home, a 72-74 loss to Vitoria away and an 83-87 defeat to CA Queluz at home. In head-to-head play CD Povoa lead 5-2, most recently beating Portimonense 90-86 on 17 May 2026. The Pythia model gives CD Povoa an 81% chance to win and Portimonense a 19% chance, projects a 80-70 score for a total of 150.9 points, and assigns a 43% probability that CD Povoa will cover the -12.0 line; the over on the 152.0 total has a 47% chance, and there is a 4% likelihood of overtime. The next game will see CD Povoa try to extend their winning streak against a struggling Portimonense side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon

81.2%fair 1.23

Best odds1.20

Implied81.6%

Edge-0.5pp

Portimonense winLost

18.8%fair 5.32

Best odds5.20

Implied18.4%

Edge+0.5pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD Povoa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPovoa

Date

Competition

Portimonense

68-71 OT

-3

54avg 73

H16/05

Proliga

Portimonense

90-86 OT

82avg 73

H17/05

Proliga

CAB Madeira

72-90

-18

59avg 73

A24/05

Proliga

CAB Madeira

78-61

+17

71avg 73

H30/05

Proliga

CAB Madeira

90-72

+18

77avg 73

H31/05

Proliga

Esgueira

#12

84-64

+20

76avg 73

A03/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

#10

73-69

55avg 73

H10/10

LPB

Ovarense

69-78

-9

48avg 73

A17/10

LPB

Braga

71-80

-9

56avg 73

H25/10

LPB

Vitoria

75-68

no box

A01/11

LPB

22-20

15-17

14-13

8-9

23-19

21-26

18-16

21-22

15-21

20-28

19-18

18-23

26-26

22-11

17-17

13-7

30-13

18-18

21-27

21-14

16-25

25-7

17-20

26-12

21-20

18-12

19-20

15-17

12-17

17-20

23-25

17-16

22-20

14-23

14-19

21-18

12-18

16-21

23-14

24-15

150.9Avg total

77.0Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	74.4	71.8	146.2	+2.6	60%
Season at home (2)	72.0	74.5	146.5	-2.5	50%
Season away (3)	76.0	70.0	146.0	+6.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	73.9	150.9	+3.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	71.8	146.2	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	71.0	80.0	151.0	-9.0	0%
vs Similar (1)	69.0	78.0	147.0	-9.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	81.4	71.3	152.7	+10.1	82%

This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Portimonense Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPortimonense

Date

Competition

Illiabum

63-59

54avg 74

H25/04

Proliga

CD Povoa

66-71

-5

60avg 74

A01/05

Proliga

CD Povoa

90-93 OT

-3

96avg 74

H09/05

Proliga

CD Povoa

71-68 OT

58avg 74

A16/05

Proliga

CD Povoa

86-90 OT

-4

81avg 74

A17/05

Proliga

Oliveirense

82-91

-9

44avg 74

H03/10

LPB

Braga

71-105

105

-34

62avg 74

A11/10

LPB

CA Queluz

83-87

-4

80avg 74

H17/10

LPB

Vitoria

72-74

-2

68avg 74

A24/10

LPB

Benfica

72-86

-14

68avg 74

H31/10

LPB

16-11

16-18

8-18

23-12

17-25

20-13

11-12

18-21

16-17

27-23

20-18

18-23

20-22

17-15

13-14

9-8

19-23

26-21

16-18

22-21

20-34

19-19

16-16

27-22

18-28

21-33

18-17

14-27

20-28

18-18

24-22

21-19

21-24

13-19

20-15

18-16

19-16

19-27

16-14

18-29

158.0Avg total

75.6Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	76.0	88.6	164.6	-12.6	0%
Season at home (3)	79.0	88.0	167.0	-9.0	0%
Season away (2)	71.5	89.5	161.0	-18.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	82.4	158.0	-6.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	88.6	164.6	-12.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	76.5	83.0	159.5	-6.5	27%
vs Similar (7)	73.6	74.6	148.1	-1.0	43%
vs Weaker (12)	81.4	75.2	156.7	+6.2	67%

This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 147.5Actual: Over 147.5

Over 147.5

57.6%

@ 1.53-6.0pp

Under 147.5

42.4%

@ 2.52+6.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.53

Betano

1.44

Under

Betano

2.52

Over/Under 152.5 · main lineActual: Over 152.5

Over 152.5

45.5%

@ 1.85-5.6pp

Under 152.5

54.5%

@ 1.95+5.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.85

Marathon Be

1.81

BetVictor

1.80

SBO

1.79

Betano

1.75

Under

Bet365

1.95

Betano

1.93

BetVictor

1.88

SBO

1.87

Marathon Be

1.86

Over/Under 157.5Actual: Over 157.5

Over 157.5

33.8%

@ 2.30-6.7pp

Under 157.5

66.2%

@ 1.55+6.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.30

Betano

2.25

Under

Betano

1.55

Bet365

1.55

📊 3. Team Totals

CD Povoa total 78.5Actual: CD Povoa over 78.5

Over 78.5

57.8%

@ 1.50-3.0pp

Under 78.5

42.2%

@ 2.37+3.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.44

Under

Betano

2.37

1xBet

2.20

CD Povoa total 82.5 · main lineActual: CD Povoa over 82.5

Over 82.5

41.9%

@ 1.95-6.4pp

Under 82.5

58.1%

@ 1.83+6.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.95

BetVictor

1.91

1xBet

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

BetVictor

1.78

Betano

1.72

1xBet

1.62

CD Povoa total 86.5Actual: CD Povoa under 86.5

Over 86.5

27.2%

@ 2.64-7.5pp

Under 86.5

72.8%

@ 1.44+7.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.64

Betano

2.55

Under

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.32

Portimonense total 67.5Actual: Portimonense over 67.5

Over 67.5

60.7%

@ 1.39-4.0pp

Under 67.5

39.3%

@ 2.72+4.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.39

Betano

1.38

Under

Betano

2.72

1xBet

2.36

Portimonense total 71.5 · main lineActual: Portimonense over 71.5

Over 71.5

45.1%

@ 1.83-4.9pp

Under 71.5

54.9%

@ 1.90+4.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.76

BetVictor

1.75

Under

Betano

1.90

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.75

1xBet

1.69

Portimonense total 75.5Actual: Portimonense under 75.5

Over 75.5

30.5%

@ 2.47-5.8pp

Under 75.5

69.5%

@ 1.45+5.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.47

Betano

2.47

Under

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread CD Povoa -12.5Actual: Portimonense +12.5

CD P -12.5

41.2%

@ 2.30-5.2pp

PORT +12.5

58.8%

@ 1.80+5.2pp

Best 5 market prices

CD P

Betano

2.30

Bet365

2.25

1xBet

2.09

Betfair

2.00

SBO

1.91

PORT

BetVictor

1.80

SBO

1.76

Betfair

1.73

Marathon Be

1.68

Bet365

1.57

Spread CD Povoa -9.5 · main lineActual: CD Povoa -9.5

CD P -9.5

52.0%

@ 1.83+2.0pp

PORT +9.5

48.0%

@ 1.87-2.0pp

Best 5 market prices

CD P

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.74

1xBet

1.67

PORT

1xBet

1.87

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Spread CD Povoa -6.5Actual: CD Povoa -6.5

CD P -6.5

62.9%

@ 1.55+2.5pp

PORT +6.5

37.1%

@ 2.42-2.5pp

Best 5 market prices

CD P

Bet365

1.55

Betano

1.52

1xBet

1.40

PORT

1xBet

2.42

Betano

2.32

Bet365

2.30

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CD PovoaPortimonense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.8	38.3	+0.6	50%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	62%	81%
Last 30 away (14)	16.1	18.9	34.9	-2.8	36%	21%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.0	36.6	-3.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	100%	100%
vs Similar (1)	12.0	17.0	29.0	-5.0	0%	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.8	50%	54%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	19.6	38.9	-0.4	50%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	31%	62%
Last 10 (10)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	26.0	45.6	-6.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.1	23.5	41.6	-5.5	18%	73%
vs Similar (7)	20.1	20.7	40.9	-0.6	43%	71%
vs Weaker (12)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.3	58%	17%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36.25
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.7	38.8	+1.5	43%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.3	56%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	29%	64%
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.3	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.6	34.6	+1.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	23.0	37.0	-9.0	0%	100%
vs Similar (1)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	46%	57%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36.25
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.7	43%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	36%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	18.7	36.4	-1.0	50%	44%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.2	41.2	-5.2	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	45%	55%
vs Similar (7)	16.0	18.4	34.4	-2.4	29%	29%
vs Weaker (12)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.3	50%	50%

CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Portimonense

37-37

H16/05

Proliga

Portimonense

44-45

-1

H17/05

Proliga

CAB Madeira

35-49

-14

A24/05

Proliga

CAB Madeira

48-37

+11

H30/05

Proliga

CAB Madeira

48-31

+17

H31/05

Proliga

Esgueira

#12

41-32

A03/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

#10

39-32

H10/10

LPB

Ovarense

29-37

-8

A17/10

LPB

Braga

36-43

-7

H25/10

LPB

Vitoria

28-39

-11

A01/11

LPB

76.7Avg total

38.5Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75
Last 30 (30)	39.6	37.5	77.1	+2.1	50%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	37.0	79.9	+5.9	69%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	38.1	73.9	-2.2	29%	36%
Last 10 (10)	38.5	38.2	76.7	+0.3	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	34.6	36.6	71.2	-2.0	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	0%	100%
vs Similar (1)	29.0	37.0	66.0	-8.0	0%	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	40.1	37.3	77.4	+2.8	54%	54%

This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illiabum

32-29

H25/04

Proliga

CD Povoa

37-38

-1

A01/05

Proliga

CD Povoa

43-40

H09/05

Proliga

CD Povoa

37-37

A16/05

Proliga

CD Povoa

45-44

A17/05

Proliga

Oliveirense

39-53

-14

H03/10

LPB

Braga

39-61

-22

A11/10

LPB

CA Queluz

38-46

-8

H17/10

LPB

Vitoria

34-43

-9

A24/10

LPB

Benfica

38-43

-5

H31/10

LPB

81.6Avg total

38.2Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75
Last 30 (30)	37.4	39.3	76.7	-1.9	37%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	39.1	77.6	-0.7	43%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	36.5	39.4	75.9	-2.9	31%	50%
Last 10 (10)	38.2	43.4	81.6	-5.2	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	37.6	49.2	86.8	-11.6	0%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	38.1	43.5	81.5	-5.4	27%	64%
vs Similar (7)	36.1	39.1	75.3	-3.0	29%	71%
vs Weaker (12)	37.5	35.5	73.0	+2.0	50%	25%

This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: CD Povoa win

CD P win

no forecast

@ 1.31

PORT win

no forecast

@ 3.64

1st half Spread CD Povoa -5.5 · main lineActual: CD Povoa -5.5

CD P -5.5

no forecast

@ 1.87

PORT +5.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half Over/Under 75 · main lineActual: Under 75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

CD Povoa 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: CD Povoa under 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.95

Portimonense 1st half total 35 · main lineActual: Portimonense under 35

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: CD P + total 76.5

CD P & over

no forecast

@ 2.80

CD P & under

no forecast

@ 2.65

1st half: Draw + total 76.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: PORT + total 76.5

PORT & over

no forecast

@ 5.75

PORT & under

no forecast

@ 5.50

1st half Over/Under 76.25Actual: Under 76.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Under 73.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.65

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Spread CD Povoa -6.5Actual: CD Povoa -6.5

CD P -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

PORT +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Spread CD Povoa -4.5Actual: CD Povoa -4.5

CD P -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

PORT +4.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Under 77.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.05

Under

no forecast

@ 1.72

1st half Spread CD Povoa -7.5Actual: CD Povoa -7.5

CD P -7.5

no forecast

@ 2.27

PORT +7.5

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread CD Povoa -3.5Actual: CD Povoa -3.5

CD P -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.60

PORT +3.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: CD Povoa (regulation)

CD P

no forecast

@ 1.41

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

PORT

no forecast

@ 3.60

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	53%	30%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.4	56%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	17.4	36.9	+2.0	50%	29%
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.9	37.4	-0.4	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	0%
vs Similar (1)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	0%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	18.9	16.9	35.8	+2.1	57%	29%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.4	50%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	17.2	36.7	+2.3	50%	44%
Last 10 (10)	16.2	16.4	32.6	-0.2	50%	10%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.8	35.6	+2.0	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.7	15.2	31.9	+1.5	55%	9%
vs Similar (7)	18.0	17.7	35.7	+0.3	57%	57%
vs Weaker (12)	21.2	19.2	40.5	+2.0	42%	58%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	20.9	15.9	36.8	+5.0	73%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	14.9	34.2	+4.4	75%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	22.7	17.0	39.7	+5.7	71%	50%
Last 10 (10)	18.4	15.3	33.7	+3.1	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.6	36.2	+5.0	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	100%
vs Similar (1)	17.0	16.0	33.0	+1.0	100%	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	21.0	15.8	36.9	+5.2	71%	43%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.6	39.2	-0.1	57%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	20.4	41.1	+0.4	57%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	56%	50%
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.6	42.2	-3.0	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.3	21.0	39.3	-2.7	45%	73%
vs Similar (7)	18.0	16.7	34.7	+1.3	57%	29%
vs Weaker (12)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	67%	58%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76
Last 30 (30)	39.8	33.1	72.9	+6.7	73%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	37.8	31.9	69.7	+5.8	75%	25%
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	34.4	76.6	+7.7	71%	50%
Last 10 (10)	36.9	34.2	71.1	+2.7	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	39.8	35.2	75.0	+4.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	35.0	37.0	72.0	-2.0	0%	0%
vs Similar (1)	40.0	41.0	81.0	-1.0	0%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	40.0	32.7	72.6	+7.3	79%	36%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76
Last 30 (30)	38.4	37.0	75.4	+1.3	53%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	38.0	76.9	+0.9	50%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	36.2	74.1	+1.8	56%	44%
Last 10 (10)	35.0	36.2	71.2	-1.2	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	38.4	39.4	77.8	-1.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	35.0	36.2	71.2	-1.2	36%	45%
vs Similar (7)	36.0	34.4	70.4	+1.6	57%	43%
vs Weaker (12)	42.8	39.3	82.2	+3.5	67%	67%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

CD P win + total 152.5

🔒 Pro

PORT win + total 152.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CD P leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PORT leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (CD P:PORT): CD P wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
CD Povoa under 92.5	88.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
CD Povoa under 89.5	81.8%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
CD Povoa under 91.5	86.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
CD Povoa under 88.5	79.0%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
CD Povoa under 93.5	90.4%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Portimonense +19.5	79.9%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
CD Povoa under 87.5	76.0%	1.32	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
CD Povoa under 86.5	72.8%	1.38	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
CD Povoa under 95.5	93.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
CD Povoa under 97.5	95.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Under 160.5	72.6%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Portimonense +18.5	77.4%	1.31	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Under 159.5	70.5%	1.45	Betano 1.45	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
CD Povoa under 99.5	97.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Portimonense +21.5	84.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Under 163.5	78.2%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Under 168.5	85.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Under 178.5	95.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Portimonense under 90.5	97.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Overtime: no	96.5%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	-
CD Povoa +13.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Portimonense under 81.5	85.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Portimonense under 76.5	72.8%	1.33	Bet365 1.35	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Portimonense under 88.5	95.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Portimonense under 86.5	93.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Under 173.5	91.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Portimonense under 80.5	83.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Portimonense under 78.5	78.7%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Portimonense under 91.5	97.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Portimonense +17.5	74.7%	1.27	Betano 1.28	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
CD Povoa +8.5	93.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Portimonense under 84.5	91.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
CD Povoa (regulation)	79.1%	1.19	Betano 1.20	1xBet 1.18	Marathon Bet 1.18	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Portimonense under 82.5	87.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
CD Povoa -3.5	73.2%	1.31	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
CD Povoa -2.5	75.8%	1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Portimonense +16.5	71.9%	1.33	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.28	1xBet 1.27	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
CD Povoa over 69.5	86.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
CD Povoa +3.5	87.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
CD Povoa over 71.5	81.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Won
CD Povoa -1.5	79.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
CD Povoa win	81.2%	1.15	Bet365 1.20	1xBet 1.19	Betano 1.18	Marathon Bet 1.18	WilliamHill 1.14	-0.5pp	Won
CD Povoa over 72.5	78.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
CD Povoa over 73.5	75.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
Over 138.5	77.3%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-4.2pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 76.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	19.4	48.6%	51.2%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	7.9	27.6%	31.6%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	22.0	13.5	61.4%	71.6%	13.5

They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 72.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	18.6	49.9%	51.2%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	7.0	28.5%	31.6%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	22.9	14.1	61.6%	71.6%	14.1

They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	16.6	48.5%	51.2%	33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	8.6	27.7%	31.6%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.0	70.4%	71.6%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	19.1	49.7%	51.2%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	9.5	31.6%	31.6%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	23.0	14.7	63.9%	71.6%	14.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	21.9	49.5%	51.2%	43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	7.8	30.6%	31.6%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	21.0	12.5	59.6%	71.6%	12.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	19.8	52.2%	51.2%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	6.7	29.7%	31.6%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	25.2	16.9	67.2%	71.6%	16.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	17.5	47.9%	51.2%	35.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	7.4	26.6%	31.6%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	20.0	13.0	65.1%	71.6%	13.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	18.6	45.0%	51.2%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.9	31.9%	31.6%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	20.0	13.4	67.0%	71.6%	13.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

CD Povoa

WLLWWWWLWL

Portimonense

LLLLLLWLLW

League position

#11

+2.2

Net rating

-10.0

83.9

Offensive rating

79.5

81.7

Defensive rating

89.5

45.6%

Effective FG%

47.0%

45.2%

Opp. effective FG%

48.7%

13.7%

Turnover %

20.1%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.37

27.6%

3-point %

28.5%

53.8%

Assist %

76.6%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ CD Povoa ■ Portimonense

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

CD Povoa wins

Portimonense wins

Date	Game	Score
17/05/26	CD Povoa v Portimonense	90-86 OT
16/05/26	CD Povoa v Portimonense	68-71 OT
09/05/26	Portimonense v CD Povoa	90-93 OT
01/05/26	CD Povoa v Portimonense	71-66
07/03/26	Portimonense v CD Povoa	79-75 OT
06/04/24	Portimonense v CD Povoa	72-74
25/11/23	CD Povoa v Portimonense	81-74 OT

CD Povoalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	A	Vitoria	75-68
25/10/26	H	Braga	71-80
17/10/26	A	Ovarense	69-78
10/10/26	H	CAB Madeira	73-69
03/10/26	A	Esgueira	84-64
31/05/26	H	CAB Madeira	90-72
30/05/26	H	CAB Madeira	78-61
24/05/26	A	CAB Madeira	72-90
17/05/26	H	Portimonense	90-86 OT
16/05/26	H	Portimonense	68-71 OT

Portimonenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	H	Benfica	72-86
24/10/26	A	Vitoria	72-74
17/10/26	H	CA Queluz	83-87
11/10/26	A	Braga	71-105
03/10/26	H	Oliveirense	82-91
17/05/26	A	CD Povoa	86-90 OT
16/05/26	A	CD Povoa	71-68 OT
09/05/26	H	CD Povoa	90-93 OT
01/05/26	A	CD Povoa	66-71
25/04/26	H	Illiabum	63-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa

LPB 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	60%
Home	WL	50%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	60%	50%	67%
Points / game	74.4	72.0	76.0
Allowed / game	71.8	74.5	70.0
Point differential	+2.6	-2.5	+6.0
Avg total	146.2	146.5	146.0
Over 152.5	0%	0%	0%
Win by 10+	20%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Portimonense

LPB 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	76.0	79.0	71.5
Allowed / game	88.6	88.0	89.5
Point differential	-12.6	-9.0	-18.0
Avg total	164.6	167.0	161.0
Over 152.5	80%	100%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	6	5	1	83%	91.5	75.5	+16.0
2	Braga	5	4	1	80%	91.4	79.2	+12.2
3	Ovarense	5	4	1	80%	81.8	74.0	+7.8
4	FC Porto	5	4	1	80%	93.4	86.0	+7.4
5	Oliveirense	4	3	1	75%	93.8	90.8	+3.0
6	CD Povoa	5	3	2	60%	74.4	71.8	+2.6
7	CA Queluz	5	3	2	60%	89.2	92.2	-3.0
8	Sporting CP	6	3	3	50%	81.8	75.5	+6.3
9	Vitoria	6	2	4	33%	69.3	82.3	-13.0
10	CAB Madeira	6	1	5	17%	86.2	89.3	-3.2
11	Portimonense	5	0	5	0%	76.0	88.6	-12.6
12	Esgueira	6	0	6	0%	77.7	97.8	-20.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
CD Povoa	19	19	23	23	84
Portimonense	15	14	15	30	74

← all games of the day

CD Povoa vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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