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Cearense vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 62-63
17-23 15-9 15-17 15-14
Position#8
Record8-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#18
Record4-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game81.0
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cearense v Caxias do Sul
06 Apr 2026
CEAR83
CAXI107
15 Oct 2024
CEAR76
CAXI68
08 Dec 2023
CEAR62
CAXI63
21 Dec 2022
CEAR84
CAXI73
17 Nov 2021
CEAR94
CAXI85
02 Dec 2020
CEAR85
CAXI78
20 Dec 2017
CEAR67
CAXI76
16 Feb 2017
CEAR88
CAXI78
22 Dec 2015
CEAR66
CAXI50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
82-78
82
78
+4
80avg 73
A27/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
80-77
80
77
+3
81avg 73
H31/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 73
A04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
86avg 73
A06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
77-65
77
65
+12
70avg 73
H12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 73
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
71avg 73
H24/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
76-75
76
75
+1
73avg 73
A29/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
64avg 73
H06/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
23-12
17-20
23-26
20-21
25-23
24-14
11-19
23-20
16-26
15-16
19-18
23-24
26-19
19-12
18-15
17-21
14-10
25-17
21-17
19-16
25-25
18-22
25-21
20-13
17-17
24-17
17-18
17-15
19-16
20-17
20-27
9-25
17-19
26-17
30-21
24-21
18-21
16-20
16-16
156.6Avg total
80.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.775.3154.0+3.573%
Season at home (5)79.273.8153.0+5.480%
Season away (6)78.376.5154.8+1.867%
Last 10 (10)80.176.5156.6+3.670%
Last 5 (5)80.679.0159.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.486.2163.6-8.831%
vs Similar (11)78.578.1156.6+0.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)75.375.0150.3+0.367%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
63-68
63
68
-5
49avg 57
H01/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
no box
A09/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
77-69
77
69
+8
74avg 57
A11/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
81-77
81
77
+4
71avg 57
H15/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
82-90
82
90
-8
76avg 57
H17/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
59-94
59
94
-35
44avg 57
A22/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
60-89
60
89
-29
40avg 57
A24/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 57
H28/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
65-81
65
81
-16
44avg 57
H30/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
80-94
80
94
-14
63avg 57
A06/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-15
19-21
19-27
16-5
19-19
10-17
15-14
21-15
15-17
22-17
20-16
20-19
15-23
16-11
23-17
27-26
23-24
17-27
17-9
25-30
18-19
6-29
16-17
19-29
15-21
13-21
17-24
15-23
19-15
20-20
18-19
22-30
15-22
15-19
22-16
13-24
13-25
15-28
24-25
28-16
155.2Avg total
72.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.481.0153.4-8.633%
Season at home (7)72.978.4151.3-5.629%
Season away (5)71.884.6156.4-12.840%
Last 10 (10)72.982.3155.2-9.430%
Last 5 (5)68.688.4157.0-19.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.381.6151.9-11.217%
vs Similar (7)72.774.3147.0-1.657%
vs Weaker (5)81.073.6154.6+7.480%
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
CearenseCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A27/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H31/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H24/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A29/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H06/12
NBB
77.5Avg total
39.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.378.1-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.040.579.5-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)38.538.176.6+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.477.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.674.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.140.177.2-2.938%-
vs Similar (11)40.537.878.4+2.764%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.040.781.7+0.333%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H01/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A09/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A11/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H15/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H17/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A22/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A24/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H28/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H30/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A06/12
NBB
72.4Avg total
31.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.140.274.2-6.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.537.972.5-3.433%-
Last 30 away (15)33.642.476.0-8.827%-
Last 10 (10)31.441.072.4-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)29.843.873.6-14.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.940.673.5-7.622%-
vs Similar (7)32.439.471.9-7.029%-
vs Weaker (5)40.439.880.2+0.660%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.5
56.6%
51.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.0
36.5%
33.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.612.4
66.7%
72.6%12.4
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.6
46.7%
51.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.3
30.9%
33.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.614.2
72.4%
72.6%14.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLWWWWWLWW
Caxias do Sul
LLLLLLWWWL
#8
League position
#18
+6.9
Net rating
-11.9
108.3
Offensive rating
96.0
101.4
Defensive rating
107.9
55.9%
Effective FG%
46.6%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
20.2%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.5%
3-point %
30.9%
54.7%
Assist %
65.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 96.0Defence101.4 · 107.9Shooting55.9% · 46.6%3-point %36.5% · 30.9%Ball care17.4% · 20.2%Off. rebounds23.8% · 26.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Cearense   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Cearense wins
3
Caxias do Sul wins
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HUniao Corinthians74-78
01/12/23AMinas88-93 OT
29/11/23APato76-75
24/11/23HCorinthians Paulista78-65
21/11/23HPinheiros87-84
12/11/23HUnifacisa77-65
06/11/23ASao Paulo86-70
04/11/23APaulistano73-80
31/10/23HBauru80-77
27/10/23ASao Jose82-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23AUnifacisa80-94
30/11/23HPaulistano65-81
28/11/23HSao Paulo79-84
24/11/23AFranca60-89
22/11/23ABauru59-94
17/11/23HSao Jose82-90
15/11/23HMogi81-77
11/11/23ABrasilia77-69
09/11/23ACerrado83-77 OT
01/11/23HVasco63-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL73%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game78.779.278.3
Allowed / game75.373.876.5
Point differential+3.5+5.4+1.8
Avg total154.0153.0154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%29%40%
Points / game72.472.971.8
Allowed / game81.078.484.6
Point differential-8.6-5.6-12.8
Avg total153.4151.3156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1210283%83.072.3+10.7
2 Minas1210283%82.974.0+8.9
3 Franca129375%87.675.4+12.2
4 Sao Jose118373%82.472.6+9.7
5 Cearense118373%78.775.3+3.5
6 Paulistano139469%72.469.8+2.6
7 Vasco128467%72.267.8+4.4
8 Unifacisa117464%77.373.5+3.8
9 Bauru136746%77.075.9+1.1
10 Sao Paulo136746%77.780.7-3.0
11 Uniao Corinthians125742%71.879.3-7.5
12 Corinthians Paulista104640%77.278.3-1.1
13 Pato135838%74.177.4-3.3
14 Cerrado124833%72.272.2+0.1
15 Caxias do Sul124833%72.481.0-8.6
16 Pinheiros103730%77.580.3-2.8
17 Brasilia123925%71.885.2-13.5
18 Botafogo1431121%75.483.1-7.8
19 Mogi1321115%73.379.8-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1715151562
Caxias do Sul239171463
← all games of the day
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