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Minas vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 93-88 (OT)
25-9 19-17 17-26 21-30 11-6
Position#3
Record9-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game73.2
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#8
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.0
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube (Belo Horizonte)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minas v Cearense
14 Nov 2026
MINA v CEAR
upcoming
14 Apr 2026
MINA87
CEAR56
07 Nov 2024
MINA86
CEAR64
27 Jan 2024
MINA73
CEAR69
01 Dec 2023
MINA93
CEAR88
29 Nov 2022
MINA79
CEAR71
19 Dec 2021
MINA101
CEAR74
01 Apr 2021
MINA92
CEAR66
27 Mar 2020
MINA v CEAR
upcoming
24 Mar 2019
MINA95
CEAR85
27 Mar 2018
MINA75
CEAR63
01 Feb 2017
MINA62
CEAR66
05 Feb 2016
MINA61
CEAR75
27 Jan 2015
MINA90
CEAR63
25 Feb 2014
MINA79
CEAR81
19 Jan 2013
MINA76
CEAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
W
87-70
87
70
+17
88avg 81
A13/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
96-76
96
76
+20
101avg 81
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
72-60
72
60
+12
64avg 81
A23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 81
A08/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
79-70
79
70
+9
75avg 81
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
99-80
99
80
+19
103avg 81
H16/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
67avg 81
H18/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 81
A23/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
86-71
86
71
+15
80avg 81
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
84avg 81
H29/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
27-14
21-18
13-11
33-25
21-12
21-10
21-29
16-18
18-17
26-14
12-11
19-14
18-28
25-9
15-16
21-10
21-22
14-15
23-23
26-16
25-25
26-20
22-19
21-13
13-23
19-23
18-22
30-24
21-16
15-14
17-21
24-9
19-21
17-21
26-20
23-15
20-22
12-20
30-25
156.7Avg total
83.5Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.573.2156.7+10.390%
Season at home (3)85.081.0166.0+4.067%
Season away (7)82.969.9152.7+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.573.2156.7+10.390%
Last 5 (5)84.877.8162.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.993.3183.1-3.429%
vs Similar (9)80.875.2156.0+5.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.877.2163.0+8.686%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
75-91
75
91
-16
no box
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
65-63
65
63
+2
55avg 73
A25/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
82-78
82
78
+4
80avg 73
A27/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
80-77
80
77
+3
81avg 73
H31/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 73
A04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
86avg 73
A06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
77-65
77
65
+12
70avg 73
H12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 73
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
71avg 73
H24/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
76-75
76
75
+1
73avg 73
A29/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
18-20
14-20
30-29
15-20
22-19
13-15
15-9
19-20
23-12
17-20
23-26
20-21
25-23
24-14
11-19
23-20
16-26
15-16
19-18
23-24
26-19
19-12
18-15
17-21
14-10
25-17
21-17
19-16
25-25
18-22
25-21
20-13
17-17
24-17
17-18
17-15
19-16
20-17
20-27
152.7Avg total
77.9Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.273.0151.2+5.289%
Season at home (4)80.572.8153.2+7.8100%
Season away (5)76.473.2149.6+3.280%
Last 10 (10)77.974.8152.7+3.180%
Last 5 (5)80.871.8152.6+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.986.1161.0-11.129%
vs Similar (11)78.578.1156.6+0.573%
vs Weaker (2)76.073.5149.5+2.5100%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
MinasCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A13/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H16/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H18/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A23/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/11
NBB
81.3Avg total
44.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.783.5+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.838.782.5+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)43.840.684.3+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.181.3+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.881.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)47.647.495.0+0.129%-
vs Similar (9)40.135.375.4+4.878%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.238.682.9+5.664%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A25/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A27/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H31/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H24/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A29/11
NBB
77.0Avg total
39.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.778.1-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.840.479.2-1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)38.139.077.1-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.977.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.274.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.840.877.6-4.135%-
vs Similar (11)40.537.878.4+2.764%-
vs Weaker (2)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.6
52.9%
51.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.8
38.0%
33.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.314.7
76.2%
72.6%14.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.1
56.2%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.3
38.1%
33.9%25.0
🏀 Free throws18.612.6
67.7%
72.6%12.6
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWLWWWWWW
Cearense
WWWWWLWWWL
#3
League position
#8
+13.4
Net rating
+7.9
113.9
Offensive rating
108.8
100.4
Defensive rating
100.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
56.6%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.0%
3-point %
38.1%
73.9%
Assist %
56.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 108.8Defence100.4 · 100.9Shooting54.8% · 56.6%3-point %38.0% · 38.1%Ball care17.8% · 17.5%Off. rebounds32.1% · 23.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Minas   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
08/04/23Cearense v Minas85-94
29/11/22Minas v Cearense79-71
27/03/22Cearense v Minas75-85
19/12/21Minas v Cearense101-74
01/04/21Minas v Cearense92-66
19/11/20Cearense v Minas67-82
12/12/19Cearense v Minas79-82
24/03/19Minas v Cearense95-85
12/12/18Cearense v Minas70-61
27/03/18Minas v Cearense75-63
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HUnifacisa85-82
25/11/23APaulistano86-71
23/11/23ASao Paulo83-75
18/11/23HFranca71-81
16/11/23HBauru99-80
10/11/23AMogi79-70
08/11/23ASao Jose77-67
23/10/23AVasco72-60
21/10/23ABotafogo96-76
13/10/23AFlamengo87-70
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23APato76-75
24/11/23HCorinthians Paulista78-65
21/11/23HPinheiros87-84
12/11/23HUnifacisa77-65
06/11/23ASao Paulo86-70
04/11/23APaulistano73-80
31/10/23HBauru80-77
27/10/23ASao Jose82-78
25/10/23AMogi65-63
14/04/23AUniao Corinthians75-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW90%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %90%67%100%
Points / game83.585.082.9
Allowed / game73.281.069.9
Point differential+10.3+4.0+13.0
Avg total156.7166.0152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game78.280.576.4
Allowed / game73.072.873.2
Point differential+5.2+7.8+3.2
Avg total151.2153.2149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas109190%83.573.2+10.3
2 Cearense98189%78.273.0+5.2
3 Franca97278%89.774.6+15.1
4 Flamengo97278%82.673.2+9.3
5 Paulistano118373%71.368.5+2.8
6 Vasco107370%73.667.9+5.7
7 Sao Jose96367%81.873.2+8.6
8 Unifacisa95456%76.473.8+2.7
9 Bauru126650%78.676.7+1.9
10 Sao Paulo115645%78.480.8-2.5
11 Corinthians Paulista94544%77.778.4-0.8
12 Pato125742%74.978.2-3.2
13 Caxias do Sul114736%71.779.8-8.1
14 Uniao Corinthians114736%71.379.8-8.5
15 Cerrado103730%72.572.1+0.4
16 Brasilia103730%71.883.1-11.3
17 Botafogo123925%75.183.4-8.3
18 Pinheiros92722%77.881.6-3.8
19 Mogi111109%73.480.9-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Minas251917211193
Cearense9172630688
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