PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cearense vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 76-68
15-18 18-17 25-13 18-20
Position#17
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Cearense 🏆
Brazil
vs
Caxias do Sul
Brazil
Position#15
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cearense v Caxias do Sul
06 Apr 2026
CEAR83
CAXI107
15 Oct 2024
CEAR76
CAXI68
08 Dec 2023
CEAR62
CAXI63
21 Dec 2022
CEAR84
CAXI73
17 Nov 2021
CEAR94
CAXI85
02 Dec 2020
CEAR85
CAXI78
20 Dec 2017
CEAR67
CAXI76
16 Feb 2017
CEAR88
CAXI78
22 Dec 2015
CEAR66
CAXI50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 72
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
69avg 72
H02/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
56avg 72
H06/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
68-69
68
69
-1
60avg 72
A11/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
82avg 72
A13/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-70
73
70
+3
69avg 72
A21/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
90-66
90
66
+24
96avg 72
H27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
63avg 72
A03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
52avg 72
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
57avg 72
H09/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
27-17
28-16
17-27
11-29
15-22
21-21
26-21
12-14
16-17
24-17
8-12
27-14
23-16
11-14
7-25
16-18
19-15
16-13
23-28
20-17
10-15
17-15
26-23
20-15
20-14
27-19
23-18
25-22
14-21
17-21
15-15
15-23
21-26
13-11
17-26
18-25
8-24
21-16
21-18
153.9Avg total
75.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.678.3153.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)73.676.8150.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.280.6152.9-8.412%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.478.5157.8+0.955%
vs Weaker (10)83.076.7159.7+6.370%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
70-77
70
77
-7
60avg 59
H01/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
63-80
63
80
-17
55avg 59
A05/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
62avg 59
H09/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
61avg 59
A20/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
69-91
69
91
-22
57avg 59
H25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 59
H27/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
93-107
93
107
-14
95avg 59
A03/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
56-75
56
75
-19
48avg 59
A05/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-99
88
99
-11
82avg 59
H10/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
68-85
68
85
-17
57avg 59
H12/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
19-16
21-33
17-11
13-14
21-20
11-17
18-29
22-23
21-15
24-15
8-26
20-24
13-20
22-14
12-16
12-25
24-28
18-18
15-20
18-25
21-23
20-20
20-21
24-35
21-17
21-19
27-36
13-22
15-18
12-23
16-12
25-17
21-25
20-24
22-33
17-16
13-30
14-23
24-16
158.4Avg total
72.8Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.885.6158.4-12.80%
Last 5 (5)76.891.0167.8-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)71.484.3155.7-12.98%
vs Similar ◀ (3)77.078.7155.7-1.733%
vs Weaker (1)79.067.0146.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -4.1-4.1
CearenseCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H06/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A11/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A13/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H09/05
NBB
74.7Avg total
35.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.176.9-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.038.474.4-2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)39.639.979.5-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)35.838.974.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.474.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.944.080.9-7.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.637.673.3-2.027%-
vs Weaker (10)41.236.277.4+5.080%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H01/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A05/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H09/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H27/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A03/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A05/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H10/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H12/04
NBB
79.6Avg total
36.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.142.476.5-8.317%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.641.277.8-4.629%-
Last 30 away (16)31.943.475.3-11.46%-
Last 10 (10)36.643.079.6-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.683.2-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)33.743.176.8-9.312%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)33.339.372.7-6.033%-
vs Weaker (1)46.033.079.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.5
55.9%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.610.7
73.3%
72.7%10.7
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.416.9
47.7%
50.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.5
27.7%
33.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.815.3
77.3%
72.7%15.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLWWWLWLW
Caxias do Sul
LLLLLLLLLL
#17
League position
#15
-3.1
Net rating
-17.3
102.0
Offensive rating
99.8
105.1
Defensive rating
117.1
53.7%
Effective FG%
45.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
60.1%
19.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.0%
3-point %
27.7%
56.5%
Assist %
77.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 99.8Defence105.1 · 117.1Shooting53.7% · 45.0%3-point %34.0% · 27.7%Ball care19.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds21.5% · 31.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Cearense   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cearense wins
4
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
25/03/24Caxias do Sul v Cearense69-91
08/12/23Cearense v Caxias do Sul62-63
12/04/23Caxias do Sul v Cearense66-77
21/12/22Cearense v Caxias do Sul84-73
18/02/22Caxias do Sul v Cearense74-66
17/11/21Cearense v Caxias do Sul94-85
03/03/21Caxias do Sul v Cearense81-82
02/12/20Cearense v Caxias do Sul85-78
27/02/18Caxias do Sul v Cearense67-60
20/12/17Cearense v Caxias do Sul67-76
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/24HFlamengo68-83
07/05/24HFlamengo66-86
03/05/24AFlamengo71-79
27/04/24HSao Jose90-66
21/04/24ASao Jose73-70
13/04/24ACerrado84-83 OT
11/04/24ABrasilia68-69
06/04/24HVasco70-69 OT
02/04/24HFlamengo73-93
27/03/24AUniao Corinthians93-85
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24HPato68-85
10/04/24HMinas88-99
05/04/24APaulistano56-75
03/04/24ACorinthians Paulista93-107
27/03/24HFranca79-89
25/03/24HCearense69-91
20/03/24ASao Paulo67-74
09/03/24HBauru75-79
05/03/24APinheiros63-80
01/03/24HUnifacisa70-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo110100%59.050.0+9.0
2 Minas110100%74.066.0+8.0
3 Botafogo220100%76.570.0+6.5
4 Paulistano21150%73.567.0+6.5
5 Mogi21150%71.069.5+1.5
6 Pato21150%78.077.0+1.0
7 Pinheiros21150%65.073.5-8.5
8 Corinthians Paulista1010%86.089.0-3.0
9 Brasilia1010%66.074.0-8.0
10 Vasco1010%50.059.0-9.0
11 Sao Jose1010%70.081.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1518251876
Caxias do Sul1817132068
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.