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Cearense vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-69
18-14 22-19 18-19 18-17
Position#17
Record2-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#16
Record4-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game79.4
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cearense v Mogi
09 Nov 2025
CEAR76
MOGI80
06 Dec 2024
CEAR76
MOGI69
24 Jan 2024
CEAR93
MOGI75
04 Mar 2022
CEAR82
MOGI75
14 Dec 2020
CEAR85
MOGI88
09 Dec 2019
CEAR67
MOGI71
13 Apr 2019
CEAR69
MOGI77
17 Jan 2019
CEAR60
MOGI73
24 Feb 2018
CEAR82
MOGI80
22 Feb 2017
CEAR77
MOGI85
21 Apr 2016
CEAR63
MOGI64
19 Apr 2016
CEAR76
MOGI55
04 Nov 2015
CEAR83
MOGI76
14 Jan 2015
CEAR80
MOGI91
18 Jan 2014
CEAR71
MOGI69
26 Jan 2013
CEAR71
MOGI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
L
60-89
60
89
-29
44avg 68
A22/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
52-77
52
77
-25
40avg 68
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
56-78
56
78
-22
38avg 68
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
67avg 68
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 68
A05/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
44avg 68
A07/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
66-49
66
49
+17
61avg 68
H11/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
71avg 68
H14/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
71-80
71
80
-9
66avg 68
A27/11
NBB
Franca
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
59avg 68
A29/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
15-25
19-21
15-20
10-17
17-20
11-22
14-18
23-21
11-25
9-14
13-18
18-14
16-13
22-26
12-17
25-20
14-19
14-17
19-17
10-25
10-24
16-21
28-16
19-15
15-16
14-9
18-9
13-17
16-20
24-15
20-21
12-21
24-21
18-20
17-18
15-25
13-24
18-21
25-27
143.8Avg total
65.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)67.177.2144.2-10.117%
Season at home (7)66.771.6138.3-4.929%
Season away (5)67.685.0152.6-17.40%
Last 10 (10)65.977.9143.8-12.010%
Last 5 (5)70.278.4148.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.878.6147.3-9.817%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.875.5148.2-2.850%
vs Weaker (6)80.275.5155.7+4.767%
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
66-114
66
114
-48
55avg 62
H19/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
48avg 62
A24/10
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
80-86
80
86
-6
70avg 62
A26/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 62
H01/11
NBB
Franca
#2
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 62
A06/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
66-68
66
68
-2
59avg 62
A08/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
79-89
79
89
-10
65avg 62
A15/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
82-85
82
85
-3
84avg 62
H27/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 62
H29/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
53-73
53
73
-20
30avg 62
H02/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
14-30
5-29
27-30
14-21
24-17
10-24
13-29
14-18
25-32
24-18
17-18
14-19
17-19
24-19
23-17
12-17
14-18
34-21
8-21
14-22
22-10
16-18
14-18
12-19
23-19
16-28
28-23
21-22
17-20
26-12
18-31
24-18
16-18
18-23
16-12
16-20
11-14
9-19
17-20
153.5Avg total
70.7Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.479.4149.8-9.031%
Season at home (8)70.177.6147.8-7.550%
Season away (5)70.882.2153.0-11.40%
Last 10 (10)70.782.8153.5-12.120%
Last 5 (5)70.877.2148.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)69.181.4150.5-12.326%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.076.7153.7+0.367%
vs Weaker (1)104.061.0165.0+43.0100%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.8-3.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.8-3.8
CearenseMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A22/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
20-49
20
49
-29
A07/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H11/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H14/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A27/11
NBB
Franca
#2
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A29/11
NBB
71.2Avg total
30.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.638.973.5-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.037.270.2-4.238%-
Last 30 away (14)36.440.977.3-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)30.740.571.2-9.820%-
Last 5 (5)29.441.671.0-12.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.042.375.3-9.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.837.370.1-4.625%-
vs Weaker (6)41.335.376.7+6.083%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H19/10
NBB
Minas
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/10
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A26/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H01/11
NBB
Franca
#2
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A06/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A15/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H27/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H29/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H02/12
NBB
74.2Avg total
34.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.139.873.9-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.637.172.6-1.538%-
Last 30 away (14)32.443.075.4-10.614%-
Last 10 (10)34.439.874.2-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.471.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.941.073.8-8.117%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.837.773.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker (1)51.027.078.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 64.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.4
46.6%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.1
26.2%
33.0%18.3
🏀 Free throws16.511.8
71.5%
72.7%11.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.915.1
45.9%
50.9%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.9
33.2%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.313.0
71.0%
72.7%13.0
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLWLLLLLL
Mogi
LWLLLLWLLL
#17
League position
#16
-16.5
Net rating
-16.1
89.5
Offensive rating
95.5
106.0
Defensive rating
111.7
43.8%
Effective FG%
47.7%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
21.1%
Turnover %
19.9%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.2%
3-point %
33.2%
51.9%
Assist %
64.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 95.5Defence106.0 · 111.7Shooting43.8% · 47.7%3-point %26.2% · 33.2%Ball care21.1% · 19.9%Off. rebounds28.5% · 24.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Cearense   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cearense wins
6
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24Cearense v Mogi93-75
25/10/23Mogi v Cearense63-65
04/03/22Cearense v Mogi82-75
03/12/21Mogi v Cearense86-79
26/02/21Mogi v Cearense84-94
14/12/20Cearense v Mogi85-88
27/01/20Mogi v Cearense78-73
09/12/19Cearense v Mogi67-71
21/04/19Mogi v Cearense73-71
20/04/19Mogi v Cearense96-71
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24AFranca71-97
27/11/24ABauru71-80
14/11/24HSao Paulo79-80 OT
11/11/24HPaulistano66-49
07/11/24AMinas64-86
05/11/24ABrasilia72-73
01/11/24HVasco68-70
29/10/24HFlamengo56-78
27/10/24HBotafogo52-77
22/10/24APato60-89
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/24HPinheiros53-73
29/11/24HCaxias do Sul74-71
27/11/24HUniao Corinthians82-85
15/11/24ASao Jose79-89
08/11/24ABauru66-68
06/11/24AFranca68-77
01/11/24HSao Paulo78-74
26/10/24ABrasilia80-86
24/10/24AMinas61-91
19/10/24HFlamengo66-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %17%29%0%
Points / game67.166.767.6
Allowed / game77.271.685.0
Point differential-10.1-4.9-17.4
Avg total144.2138.3152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL31%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %31%50%0%
Points / game70.470.170.8
Allowed / game79.477.682.2
Point differential-9.0-7.5-11.4
Avg total149.8147.8153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1413193%84.468.4+15.9
2 Flamengo1411379%82.770.1+12.6
3 Brasilia129375%82.177.8+4.2
4 Bauru139469%78.076.7+1.3
5 Sao Paulo117464%78.977.6+1.3
6 Vasco127558%72.669.9+2.7
7 Pinheiros127558%73.671.8+1.8
8 Uniao Corinthians127558%79.680.8-1.2
9 Franca148657%79.677.9+1.8
10 Sao Jose136746%75.776.2-0.5
11 Pato135838%80.382.2-1.8
12 Paulistano124833%75.273.9+1.2
13 Corinthians Paulista124833%80.482.6-2.2
14 Unifacisa124833%74.978.5-3.6
15 Mogi134931%70.479.4-9.0
16 Botafogo1441029%70.179.4-9.3
17 Caxias do Sul1331023%70.077.2-7.2
18 Cearense1221017%67.177.2-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1822181876
Mogi1419191769
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