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Sao Jose vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 84-71
20-24 16-16 26-18 22-13
Position#10
Record14-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#17
Record8-21
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game78.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sao Jose v Cearense
02 Nov 2026
SAO 96
CEAR53
04 Feb 2026
SAO 97
CEAR82
31 Mar 2025
SAO 84
CEAR71
21 Apr 2024
SAO 70
CEAR73
27 Oct 2023
SAO 78
CEAR82
27 Oct 2022
SAO 83
CEAR74
30 Jan 2020
SAO 83
CEAR104
17 Oct 2018
SAO 92
CEAR86
14 Jan 2016
SAO 81
CEAR90
12 Feb 2015
SAO 70
CEAR78
21 Dec 2013
SAO 54
CEAR71
04 Apr 2013
SAO 76
CEAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
W
94-79
94
79
+15
91avg 72
H11/01
NBB
Minas
#1
W
98-88
98
88
+10
93avg 72
H20/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
89-80
89
80
+9
83avg 72
A23/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
82avg 72
A04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
78-93
78
93
-15
66avg 72
A13/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
68-105
68
105
-37
57avg 72
H16/02
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 72
H27/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
68-71
68
71
-3
59avg 72
A03/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 72
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
80-89
80
89
-9
60avg 72
A17/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
18-18
20-21
28-17
29-20
19-21
31-19
19-28
22-23
20-18
28-19
19-20
20-20
22-24
22-18
16-18
13-28
27-25
20-28
18-12
17-22
15-26
16-27
20-30
28-17
15-19
15-23
25-19
27-18
14-17
16-15
11-21
16-12
20-16
22-23
19-21
15-25
22-21
18-23
25-20
168.0Avg total
82.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.178.6156.8-0.548%
Season at home (14)79.378.2157.5+1.157%
Season away (15)77.179.0156.1-1.940%
Last 10 (10)82.885.2168.0-2.450%
Last 5 (5)75.283.0158.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.085.7163.7-7.750%
vs Similar (18)76.778.2154.9-1.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)80.574.8155.3+5.750%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 64
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
63avg 64
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 64
A20/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
62-84
62
84
-22
53avg 64
H07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 64
A13/02
NBB
Minas
#1
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 64
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 64
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
87avg 64
A06/03
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
66-74
66
74
-8
59avg 64
H11/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
65avg 64
H28/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
29-19
23-16
11-10
18-21
14-18
23-17
19-19
17-20
18-17
21-19
27-18
21-26
9-14
15-29
17-15
21-20
19-21
17-24
22-19
21-16
18-23
21-27
26-26
18-20
15-18
32-23
14-14
25-12
23-20
10-26
29-26
18-19
18-24
13-17
17-14
17-21
21-18
21-24
15-20
157.1Avg total
77.0Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.978.3150.2-6.428%
Season at home (14)69.075.3144.3-6.329%
Season away (15)74.681.1155.7-6.527%
Last 10 (10)77.080.1157.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)78.481.6160.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.479.6151.0-8.216%
vs Similar (11)72.476.5148.9-4.245%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
Sao JoseCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/01
NBB
Minas
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A13/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H16/02
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H27/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A03/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A17/03
NBB
82.0Avg total
40.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.575.9+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.337.476.7+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)37.737.575.2+0.256%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.382.0-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.676.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.740.077.7-2.350%-
vs Similar (18)38.536.875.3+1.761%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.037.076.0+2.067%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A13/02
NBB
Minas
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A06/03
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/03
NBB
77.5Avg total
37.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.840.074.8-5.220%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.438.972.3-5.520%-
Last 30 away (15)36.241.177.3-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.877.5-2.110%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.277.0+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.339.975.3-4.626%-
vs Similar (11)33.940.174.0-6.29%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.0
46.4%
50.9%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.6
33.8%
33.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.915.8
75.6%
72.7%15.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.8
47.7%
50.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.3
32.3%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.112.9
71.3%
72.7%12.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
LWLWLLLWWW
Cearense
LLWWLLLWLW
#10
League position
#17
-3.9
Net rating
-3.9
105.6
Offensive rating
101.4
109.5
Defensive rating
105.3
48.4%
Effective FG%
48.0%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.9%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.8%
3-point %
32.3%
61.6%
Assist %
64.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 101.4Defence109.5 · 105.3Shooting48.4% · 48.0%3-point %33.8% · 32.3%Ball care17.2% · 17.9%Off. rebounds32.9% · 31.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sao Jose wins
5
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
09/12/24Cearense v Sao Jose55-75
27/04/24Cearense v Sao Jose90-66
21/04/24Sao Jose v Cearense70-73
22/01/24Cearense v Sao Jose99-95 OT
27/10/23Sao Jose v Cearense78-82
16/01/23Cearense v Sao Jose71-90
27/10/22Sao Jose v Cearense83-74
30/01/20Sao Jose v Cearense83-104
14/11/19Cearense v Sao Jose77-81
13/02/19Cearense v Sao Jose76-86
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25APinheiros80-89
07/03/25ACorinthians Paulista77-72
03/03/25ABotafogo68-71
27/02/25HBauru83-78
16/02/25HFranca68-105
13/02/25APaulistano78-93
04/02/25AMogi93-97 OT
23/01/25ASao Paulo89-80
20/01/25HMinas98-88
11/01/25HBrasilia94-79
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25HFranca74-83
11/03/25HBauru66-74
06/03/25APaulistano87-84
04/03/25ASao Paulo79-75
28/02/25HMinas86-92
13/02/25AFlamengo79-84
07/02/25HBrasilia62-84
20/01/25ABotafogo83-74
18/01/25AVasco74-75
13/01/25HPato80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL48%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %48%57%40%
Points / game78.179.377.1
Allowed / game78.678.279.0
Point differential-0.5+1.1-1.9
Avg total156.8157.5156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%43%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL28%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLWLWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %28%29%27%
Points / game71.969.074.6
Allowed / game78.375.381.1
Point differential-6.4-6.3-6.5
Avg total150.2144.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2824486%83.171.8+11.3
2 Flamengo2922776%84.075.1+8.9
3 Franca2819968%83.777.6+6.0
4 Brasilia29191066%82.580.0+2.5
5 Uniao Corinthians28161257%79.379.3+0.0
6 Bauru30171357%78.278.6-0.4
7 Vasco29161355%77.276.0+1.2
8 Pinheiros30161453%76.675.5+1.1
9 Unifacisa29141548%75.375.6-0.2
10 Sao Jose29141548%78.178.6-0.5
11 Corinthians Paulista30141647%80.479.2+1.2
12 Paulistano29131645%78.877.1+1.7
13 Pato30121840%82.283.9-1.6
14 Sao Paulo30111937%75.579.1-3.6
15 Caxias do Sul29101934%74.279.5-5.2
16 Mogi2992031%74.081.4-7.4
17 Cearense2982128%71.978.3-6.4
18 Botafogo2982128%73.481.3-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose2016262284
Cearense2416181371
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