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Minas vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 88-65
22-21 23-14 24-13 19-17
Position#1
Record30-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game70.9
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#16
Record11-24
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game81.3
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Mogi
18 Dec 2026
MINA v MOGI
upcoming
23 Oct 2025
MINA79
MOGI71
01 May 2025
MINA76
MOGI57
29 Apr 2025
MINA88
MOGI65
24 Oct 2024
MINA91
MOGI61
08 Feb 2024
MINA102
MOGI65
03 Nov 2021
MINA109
MOGI75
14 Mar 2021
MINA85
MOGI80
15 Jan 2021
MINA96
MOGI71
11 Feb 2020
MINA87
MOGI71
13 Nov 2018
MINA97
MOGI99
07 Jan 2018
MINA65
MOGI82
15 Dec 2016
MINA84
MOGI104
02 Dec 2015
MINA74
MOGI71
23 Jan 2015
MINA66
MOGI76
27 Feb 2014
MINA94
MOGI93
07 Jan 2013
MINA84
MOGI86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
W
94-70
94
70
+24
94avg 76
H19/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
88avg 76
H26/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 76
H29/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 76
A01/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 76
A03/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
76-69
76
69
+7
66avg 76
H07/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
97-59
97
59
+38
98avg 76
H09/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
67-71
67
71
-4
59avg 76
A12/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
76-66
76
66
+10
74avg 76
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
85-72
85
72
+13
79avg 76
A26/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
20-15
22-21
25-11
28-17
22-18
18-17
20-18
24-23
22-17
27-20
19-21
20-25
29-13
11-9
17-16
21-15
12-17
17-20
25-20
22-15
19-23
16-19
19-12
22-21
21-5
31-22
23-11
11-16
16-11
16-25
24-19
13-17
23-21
21-13
19-15
22-20
17-15
22-14
24-23
152.0Avg total
82.7Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)82.370.9153.3+11.486%
Season at home (17)84.468.9153.4+15.594%
Season away (18)80.372.8153.2+7.578%
Last 10 (10)82.769.3152.0+13.490%
Last 5 (5)80.267.4147.6+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (3)82.367.0149.3+15.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)79.872.2152.0+7.680%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 66
H14/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
82-104
82
104
-22
66avg 66
A28/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
66avg 66
A12/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
73-93
73
93
-20
56avg 66
A15/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
66-82
66
82
-16
54avg 66
H31/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-63
75
63
+12
73avg 66
H02/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
75-82 OT
75
82
-7
72avg 66
A09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
79-96
79
96
-17
62avg 66
A11/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
92avg 66
H16/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 66
H26/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
18-20
24-23
18-20
20-20
25-27
21-24
16-33
16-21
26-26
14-29
21-15
16-22
13-30
20-22
24-19
17-20
20-20
13-19
16-23
16-13
31-15
11-26
17-9
19-23
14-8
18-14
13-19
17-28
25-23
15-21
22-24
27-21
27-14
18-27
18-14
20-22
15-17
14-22
23-24
163.3Avg total
77.0Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)74.481.3155.7-6.931%
Season at home (18)73.978.5152.4-4.644%
Season away (17)74.984.2159.1-9.418%
Last 10 (10)77.086.3163.3-9.320%
Last 5 (5)78.280.4158.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.681.9157.5-6.228%
vs Similar (5)75.677.8153.4-2.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
MinasMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H19/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A01/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A03/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H07/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H09/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A12/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A26/04
NBB
75.8Avg total
41.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.676.4+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.536.677.2+3.963%-
Last 30 away (11)38.636.575.2+2.145%-
Last 10 (10)41.134.775.8+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)37.232.870.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (3)44.332.777.0+11.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)39.837.577.3+2.452%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A28/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A12/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A15/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H31/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H02/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A11/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H16/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H26/04
NBB
82.1Avg total
40.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.840.176.9-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.138.276.4-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.641.877.4-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.882.1-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.879.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.840.877.6-4.028%-
vs Similar (5)36.836.473.2+0.460%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.8
52.4%
50.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.411.1
39.1%
33.0%33.3
🏀 Free throws15.011.0
73.3%
72.7%11.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.4
51.0%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.5
32.4%
33.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.413.7
70.6%
72.7%13.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWLWWWWWWW
Mogi
LWLLWLLLLL
#1
League position
#16
+18.6
Net rating
-12.7
112.2
Offensive rating
104.1
93.6
Defensive rating
116.8
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.1%
3-point %
32.4%
59.5%
Assist %
62.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 104.1Defence93.6 · 116.8Shooting55.1% · 50.0%3-point %39.1% · 32.4%Ball care19.6% · 16.5%Off. rebounds33.8% · 28.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Minas   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Minas wins
0
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
26/04/25Mogi v Minas72-85
22/01/25Mogi v Minas68-79
24/10/24Minas v Mogi91-61
08/02/24Minas v Mogi102-65
10/11/23Mogi v Minas70-79
08/02/22Mogi v Minas70-73
03/11/21Minas v Mogi109-75
14/03/21Minas v Mogi85-80
15/01/21Minas v Mogi96-71
16/12/20Mogi v Minas74-80
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25AMogi85-72
14/04/25APaulistano76-66
12/04/25ASao Paulo67-71
09/04/25HBotafogo97-59
07/04/25HVasco76-69
03/04/25APato75-72
01/04/25ABrasilia77-63
29/03/25HUniao Corinthians92-81
26/03/25HCaxias do Sul88-70
19/03/25HFlamengo94-70
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HMinas72-85
16/04/25HPato90-76
11/04/25AUniao Corinthians79-96
09/04/25ACaxias do Sul75-82 OT
02/04/25HCearense75-63
31/03/25HUnifacisa66-82
15/03/25ACorinthians Paulista73-93
12/03/25APinheiros77-91
28/02/25AVasco82-104
14/02/25HFranca81-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %86%94%78%
Points / game82.384.480.3
Allowed / game70.968.972.8
Point differential+11.4+15.5+7.5
Avg total153.3153.4153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%71%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL31%
HomeLLWWL44%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %31%44%18%
Points / game74.473.974.9
Allowed / game81.378.584.2
Point differential-6.9-4.6-9.4
Avg total155.7152.4159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)62% (8)50% (2)
Overtime %9%11%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3530586%82.370.9+11.4
2 Flamengo3627975%84.875.5+9.3
3 Franca3526974%84.976.1+8.9
4 Pinheiros37211657%76.674.3+2.3
5 Vasco37201754%77.176.4+0.6
6 Bauru37201754%78.378.0+0.2
7 Brasilia36191753%79.979.6+0.2
8 Uniao Corinthians36191753%78.980.6-1.7
9 Corinthians Paulista36181850%81.880.4+1.4
10 Sao Jose37181949%78.378.6-0.3
11 Paulistano37172046%77.475.9+1.4
12 Unifacisa37172046%74.975.3-0.5
13 Sao Paulo36152142%75.978.5-2.6
14 Pato35132237%81.883.7-1.9
15 Caxias do Sul36122433%73.881.4-7.6
16 Mogi35112431%74.481.3-6.9
17 Cearense34102429%72.178.0-5.9
18 Botafogo34102429%73.182.1-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2223241988
Mogi2114131765
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