Cearense vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 19:00

Projected 71-89

Projected total 160.1

Final 65-58

18-15 10-14 25-16 12-13

Position#17

Record0-4

FormLLLLL

Points / game65.8

Allowed / game94.0

Cearense 🏆

94%

■ CEAR 6%■ PAUL 94%

Pythia win probability

Paulistano

Position#13

Record3-2

FormWLWWL

Points / game72.8

Allowed / game74.6

NBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica

Other2026-27

Meetings · Cearense v Paulistano

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

On 7 November 2026 the NBB will feature Cearense against Paulistano, with the model designating Paulistano as the clear favourite thanks to their 3-2 record, 72.8 points per game and 74.6 allowed, placing them sixth, compared with Cearense's 0-4 record, 65.8 points per game and 94.0 allowed, eighteenth; the disparity in scoring and defence explains the 94% win probability for Paulistano and only 6% for Cearense. Cearense has struggled across all four games, averaging 65.8 points while conceding 94.0, and has lost its last five outings, including defeats to Mogi 78-89, Sao Jose 53-96 and Pinheiros 63-98; Paulistano, meanwhile, has won three of five, with recent victories over Bauru 83-75 and Franca 65-62, and a loss to Unifacisa 63-71. Their head-to-head record stands 7-3 in favour of Paulistano, the last meeting ending 91-77 for Paulistano on 19 March 2026. The Pythia model projects a 71-89 score, 160.1 total points, a 13.5-point line with a 34% chance of the home team covering, a 159.5 total with a 51% over probability, and a 1% chance of overtime, underscoring Paulistano's dominance in the matchup.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon

5.8%fair 17.11

Best odds6.75

Implied14.3%

Edge-8.5pp

Paulistano winLost

94.2%fair 1.06

Best odds1.10

Implied85.7%

Edge+8.5pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCearense

Date

Competition

Paulistano

77-91

-14

68avg 64

A19/03

NBB

Franca

71-116

116

-45

56avg 64

A22/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

94-93

84avg 64

H04/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

83-107

107

-24

76avg 64

H06/04

NBB

Minas

56-87

-31

45avg 64

A14/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

77-86

-9

64avg 64

A16/04

NBB

Osasco

#16

69-93

-24

55avg 64

H20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

63-98

-35

40avg 64

H22/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

53-96

-43

no box

A02/11

NBB

Mogi

78-89

-11

no box

A04/11

NBB

24-24

24-23

18-23

11-21

16-34

15-26

17-23

23-33

19-20

26-21

30-29

19-23

20-23

18-36

22-25

23-23

9-25

21-24

15-24

11-14

23-20

19-23

23-18

12-25

17-32

23-22

13-18

16-21

15-24

17-22

18-26

13-26

11-27

12-31

15-24

15-14

21-11

21-22

19-26

17-30

167.7Avg total

72.1Scored

95.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	65.8	94.0	159.8	-28.2	0%
Season at home (2)	66.0	95.5	161.5	-29.5	0%
Season away (2)	65.5	92.5	158.0	-27.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	72.1	95.6	167.7	-23.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	68.0	92.4	160.4	-24.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	71.2	92.6	163.9	-21.4	4%
vs Similar (5)	80.2	78.2	158.4	+2.0	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPaulistano

Date

Competition

Bauru

#10

75-88

-13

66avg 74

A26/04

NBB

Bauru

#10

71-62

67avg 74

H29/04

NBB

Pinheiros

92-101 OT

101

-9

77avg 74

A04/05

NBB

Pinheiros

68-76

-8

54avg 74

H07/05

NBB

Pinheiros

74-84

-10

59avg 74

H09/05

NBB

Pato

#15

80-74

70avg 74

A21/10

NBB

Brasilia

73-91

-18

50avg 74

A24/10

NBB

Franca

65-62

48avg 74

H28/10

NBB

Bauru

#11

83-75

no box

H30/10

NBB

Unifacisa

63-71

-8

no box

A04/11

NBB

14-24

17-29

26-16

18-19

15-16

20-16

20-18

16-12

23-16

24-26

22-24

20-23

24-20

14-16

24-28

6-12

23-18

12-24

18-18

21-24

13-10

20-18

30-13

17-33

22-29

16-25

16-18

19-19

20-14

16-12

22-21

7-15

26-23

26-12

16-21

15-19

19-22

16-18

15-20

13-11

152.8Avg total

74.4Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	72.8	74.6	147.4	-1.8	60%
Season at home (2)	74.0	68.5	142.5	+5.5	100%
Season away (3)	72.0	78.7	150.7	-6.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	74.4	78.4	152.8	-4.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	74.6	147.4	-1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	74.8	82.0	156.8	-7.2	22%
vs Similar (11)	85.7	81.7	167.5	+4.0	82%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	86.6	75.5	162.1	+11.1	80%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 153Actual: Under 153

Over 153

67.3%

@ 1.54+6.8pp

Under 153

32.7%

@ 2.35-6.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.54

Under

Bet365

2.35

Over/Under 158.25 · main lineActual: Under 158.25

Over 158.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under 158.25

no forecast

@ 1.80

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.80

Over/Under 163Actual: Under 163

Over 163

42.5%

@ 2.55+5.8pp

Under 163

57.5%

@ 1.48-5.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.55

Under

Bet365

1.48

📊 3. Team Totals

Cearense total 68.5Actual: Cearense under 68.5

Over 68.5

59.2%

@ 1.44-4.0pp

Under 68.5

40.8%

@ 2.55+4.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.40

Under

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.33

Cearense total 72.5 · main lineActual: Cearense under 72.5

Over 72.5

43.3%

@ 1.91-5.4pp

Under 72.5

56.7%

@ 1.83+5.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.88

Marathon Be

1.87

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.77

Under

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.77

1xBet

1.68

Cearense total 76.5Actual: Cearense under 76.5

Over 76.5

28.5%

@ 2.67-6.2pp

Under 76.5

71.5%

@ 1.40+6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.67

1xBet

2.50

Under

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.35

Paulistano total 81.5Actual: Paulistano under 81.5

Over 81.5

78.3%

@ 1.42+13.6pp

Under 81.5

21.7%

@ 2.60-13.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.36

Under

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.50

Paulistano total 85.5 · main lineActual: Paulistano under 85.5

Over 85.5

64.7%

@ 1.83+14.4pp

Under 85.5

35.3%

@ 1.88-14.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

1xBet

1.68

Under

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.85

Marathon Be

1.83

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.77

Paulistano total 89.5Actual: Paulistano under 89.5

Over 89.5

48.9%

@ 2.57+12.2pp

Under 89.5

51.1%

@ 1.42-12.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.31

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Cearense +10Actual: Cearense +10

CEAR +10

22.4%

@ 2.40-16.4pp

PAUL -10

77.6%

@ 1.52+16.4pp

Best 5 market prices

CEAR

Bet365

2.40

PAUL

Bet365

1.52

Spread Cearense +13 · main lineActual: Cearense +13

CEAR +13

31.3%

@ 1.89-18.1pp

PAUL -13

68.7%

@ 1.85+18.1pp

Best 5 market prices

CEAR

Pinnacle

1.89

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.85

SBO

1.85

PAUL

Pinnacle

1.85

SBO

1.81

Marathon Be

1.80

Bet365

1.80

Spread Cearense +16Actual: Cearense +16

CEAR +16

41.7%

@ 1.60-16.2pp

PAUL -16

58.3%

@ 2.20+16.2pp

Best 5 market prices

CEAR

Bet365

1.60

Marathon Be

1.55

PAUL

Bet365

2.20

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CearensePaulistano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	18.2	23.4	41.6	-5.2	30%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	22.5	40.4	-4.6	31%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	24.4	43.1	-5.8	29%	64%
Last 10 (10)	17.5	24.0	41.5	-6.5	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.8	40.2	-5.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.8	24.9	42.7	-7.1	20%	64%
vs Similar (5)	20.4	16.0	36.4	+4.4	80%	20%
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.8	41.4	+1.7	50%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	19.5	42.7	+3.7	57%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	20.1	40.2	-0.1	44%	44%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	44%	67%
vs Similar (11)	22.1	18.1	40.2	+4.0	55%	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	50%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	17.8	22.0	39.8	-4.2	30%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	22.3	40.8	-3.8	38%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	21.6	38.7	-4.6	21%	57%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	25.0	44.6	-5.4	30%	90%
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.0	42.4	-5.6	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.6	21.9	39.5	-4.3	32%	56%
vs Similar (5)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	20%	60%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	64%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	38%	44%
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.5	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.0	35.8	+1.8	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	33%	33%
vs Similar (11)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	55%	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	60%	30%

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paulistano

48-47

A19/03

NBB

Franca

31-60

-29

A22/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

45-41

H04/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

38-59

-21

H06/04

NBB

Minas

30-49

-19

A14/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

42-43

-1

A16/04

NBB

Osasco

#16

40-54

-14

H20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

32-46

-14

H22/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

23-58

-35

A02/11

NBB

Mogi

42-33

A04/11

NBB

86.1Avg total

37.1Scored

49.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.25
Last 30 (30)	36.1	45.4	81.5	-9.3	27%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	36.4	44.8	81.2	-8.4	31%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	46.1	81.8	-10.4	21%	57%
Last 10 (10)	37.1	49.0	86.1	-11.9	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	35.8	46.8	82.6	-11.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	35.4	46.8	82.2	-11.4	20%	52%
vs Similar (5)	39.4	38.4	77.8	+1.0	60%	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

#10

31-53

-22

A26/04

NBB

Bauru

#10

35-32

H29/04

NBB

Pinheiros

47-42

A04/05

NBB

Pinheiros

38-36

H07/05

NBB

Pinheiros

35-42

-7

H09/05

NBB

Pato

#15

33-28

A21/10

NBB

Brasilia

38-54

-16

A24/10

NBB

Franca

36-26

+10

H28/10

NBB

Bauru

#11

52-35

+17

H30/10

NBB

Unifacisa

35-40

-5

A04/11

NBB

76.8Avg total

38.0Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.25
Last 30 (30)	41.8	38.5	80.3	+3.2	60%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	44.0	37.3	81.3	+6.7	79%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	39.6	79.4	+0.2	44%	44%
Last 10 (10)	38.0	38.8	76.8	-0.8	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.6	75.4	+2.2	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.9	40.9	79.8	-2.0	33%	44%
vs Similar (11)	43.5	37.1	80.5	+6.4	73%	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	42.5	38.0	80.5	+4.5	70%	40%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Paulistano win

CEAR win

no forecast

@ 4.79

PAUL win

no forecast

@ 1.25

1st half Spread Cearense +7.5 · main lineActual: Cearense +7.5

CEAR +7.5

no forecast

@ 1.88

PAUL -7.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 80.25 · main lineActual: Under 80.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Cearense 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Cearense under 36.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.02

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Paulistano 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Paulistano under 43.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half: CEAR + total 80.5

CEAR & over

no forecast

@ 7.25

CEAR & under

no forecast

@ 6.75

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 34.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 31.00

1st half: PAUL + total 80.5

PAUL & over

no forecast

@ 2.55

PAUL & under

no forecast

@ 2.40

1st half Over/Under 79Actual: Under 79

Over

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under

no forecast

@ 1.96

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Under 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.25

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Cearense +6.5Actual: Cearense +6.5

CEAR +6.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

PAUL -6.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Cearense +8.5Actual: Cearense +8.5

CEAR +8.5

no forecast

@ 1.72

PAUL -8.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Under 77.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.67

Under

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Spread Cearense +5.5Actual: Cearense +5.5

CEAR +5.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

PAUL -5.5

no forecast

@ 1.60

1st half Spread Cearense +9.5Actual: Cearense +9.5

CEAR +9.5

no forecast

@ 1.60

PAUL -9.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Cearense (regulation)

CEAR

no forecast

@ 4.25

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.50

PAUL

no forecast

@ 1.29

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.5
Last 30 (30)	19.1	22.3	41.4	-3.2	33%	80%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.4	50%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	23.1	40.9	-5.3	14%	93%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	23.6	42.6	-4.6	20%	90%
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.4	40.0	-4.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	19.2	23.5	42.6	-4.3	28%	84%
vs Similar (5)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	60%	60%
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.5
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	53%	73%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	21.3	43.4	+0.9	50%	86%
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	19.1	40.1	+1.8	56%	62%
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.2	21.4	39.7	-3.2	11%	44%
vs Similar (11)	22.0	20.7	42.7	+1.3	55%	91%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.9	18.3	42.2	+5.6	90%	80%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	17.1	22.0	39.2	-4.9	20%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	17.5	22.1	39.6	-4.6	25%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	16.7	21.9	38.6	-5.2	14%	57%
Last 10 (10)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	10%	40%
Last 5 (5)	14.6	23.2	37.8	-8.6	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.7	22.4	39.0	-5.7	12%	56%
vs Similar (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	60%	80%
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.0	38.3	-1.6	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	36%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.8	38%	56%
Last 10 (10)	15.2	18.7	33.9	-3.5	20%	30%
Last 5 (5)	14.2	19.4	33.6	-5.2	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.3	18.3	35.7	-1.0	33%	44%
vs Similar (11)	17.5	22.0	39.5	-4.5	27%	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	50%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76.75
Last 30 (30)	36.2	44.4	80.6	-8.1	17%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	37.8	43.8	81.6	-6.1	19%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	34.5	45.0	79.5	-10.5	14%	64%
Last 10 (10)	35.0	46.6	81.6	-11.6	0%	60%
Last 5 (5)	32.2	45.6	77.8	-13.4	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	35.8	45.8	81.7	-10.0	8%	64%
vs Similar (5)	38.2	37.0	75.2	+1.2	60%	60%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76.75
Last 30 (30)	39.9	40.1	80.0	-0.2	50%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	39.7	78.9	-0.6	50%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	40.5	40.4	80.9	+0.1	50%	75%
Last 10 (10)	36.1	38.4	74.5	-2.3	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	34.0	38.0	72.0	-4.0	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.6	39.8	75.3	-4.2	11%	44%
vs Similar (11)	39.5	42.7	82.3	-3.2	45%	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	44.1	37.5	81.6	+6.6	90%	80%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

CEAR win + total 158.5

🔒 Pro

PAUL win + total 158.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CEAR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PAUL leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (CEAR:PAUL): CEAR wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Paulistano -12	71.8%	1.69	Pinnacle 1.70	Marathon Bet 1.68	Bet365 1.68	-	-	+17.0pp	Lost
Paulistano -11	74.8%	1.59	Bet365 1.60	Pinnacle 1.59	Marathon Bet 1.59	-	-	+16.5pp	Lost
Paulistano -10	77.6%	1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	-	+16.4pp	Lost
Paulistano -11.5	72.7%	1.63	Betano 1.67	Pinnacle 1.64	Marathon Bet 1.64	Bet365 1.64	1xBet 1.54	+16.1pp	Lost
Paulistano -9	80.2%	1.45	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	-	+16.0pp	Lost
Paulistano -10.5	75.5%	1.54	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.57	Marathon Bet 1.56	Pinnacle 1.55	1xBet 1.45	+15.8pp	Lost
Paulistano -8.5	80.7%	1.39	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.31	-	-	+15.8pp	Lost
Paulistano -9.5	78.2%	1.46	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.50	1xBet 1.37	-	-	+15.7pp	Lost
Paulistano -8	82.7%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+15.7pp	Lost
Paulistano -7.5	83.1%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.36	-	-	-	+15.6pp	Lost
Paulistano -7	84.9%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+14.9pp	Lost
Paulistano -6.5	85.2%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	+14.5pp	Lost
Paulistano -5	88.8%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+14.3pp	Lost
Paulistano -6	86.9%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+14.1pp	Lost
Paulistano over 83.5	71.9%	1.54	Betano 1.60	1xBet 1.49	-	-	-	+14.1pp	Lost
Paulistano over 82.5	75.2%	1.46	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.42	-	-	-	+13.8pp	Lost
Paulistano -5.5	87.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+13.8pp	Lost
Paulistano over 81.5	78.3%	1.39	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	+13.6pp	Lost
Paulistano over 80.5	81.1%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+13.1pp	Lost
Paulistano over 75.5	91.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+12.8pp	Lost
Paulistano over 74.5	93.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+12.6pp	Lost
Paulistano (regulation)	93.2%	1.10	Betano 1.11	1xBet 1.10	Marathon Bet 1.10	-	-	+12.5pp	Lost
Paulistano -3.5	90.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Lost
Paulistano over 72.5	95.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Lost
Paulistano over 70.5	97.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Lost
Paulistano win	94.2%	1.09	1xBet 1.10	Betano 1.10	WilliamHill 1.10	Marathon Bet 1.10	Bet365 1.09	+8.5pp	Lost
Paulistano over 68.5	98.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Lost
Paulistano over 66.5	98.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Lost
Paulistano +1.5	94.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Lost
Paulistano over 65.5	99.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Cearense under 77.5	74.7%	1.34	Betano 1.38	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Paulistano +6.5	97.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Lost
Paulistano over 64.5	99.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Lost
Over 150	73.8%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
Over 151	71.7%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
Over 149.5	74.3%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Lost
Paulistano +11.5	99.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Cearense under 76.5	71.5%	1.38	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Cearense under 82.5	87.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Overtime: no	98.6%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Over 151.5	70.2%	1.44	Bet365 1.45	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Lost
Over 150.5	72.3%	1.39	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Lost
Over 147.5	78.2%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Lost
Over 142.5	86.2%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Lost
Over 132.5	95.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Lost
Over 137.5	91.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Cearense under 92.5	98.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Under 182.5	91.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Under 177.5	85.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Under 172.5	77.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-2.6pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 74.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	18.7	44.8%	49.8%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.0	29.2%	31.6%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	24.3	16.1	66.3%	71.3%	16.1

They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	16.9	49.1%	49.8%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.2	33.7%	31.6%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	16.1	11.9	73.9%	71.3%	11.9

They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	22.2	59.8%	49.8%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	11.0	37.8%	31.6%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.3	73.8%	71.3%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	19.3	53.5%	49.8%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	7.6	29.2%	31.6%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	18.4	13.1	71.2%	71.3%	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	18.7	46.3%	49.8%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	7.0	28.1%	31.6%	20.9
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.0	70.4%	71.3%	15.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	18.9	50.6%	49.8%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	10.4	35.2%	31.6%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.2	73.3%	71.3%	13.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	21.7	60.3%	49.8%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.6	34.9%	31.6%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.3	71.9%	71.3%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	19.7	52.9%	49.8%	39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.6	33.1%	31.6%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	17.9	12.8	71.6%	71.3%	12.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Cearense

LLLLLLLWLL

Paulistano

LWWLWLLLWL

#17

League position

#13

-21.2

Net rating

+2.1

82.4

Offensive rating

89.1

103.6

Defensive rating

87.0

44.4%

Effective FG%

49.8%

58.5%

Opp. effective FG%

49.4%

16.2%

Turnover %

17.5%

0.37

Free-throw rate

0.25

29.2%

3-point %

33.7%

54.1%

Assist %

49.4%

10%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Cearense ■ Paulistano

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cearense wins

Paulistano wins

Date	Game	Score
19/03/26	Paulistano v Cearense	91-77
15/12/25	Cearense v Paulistano	77-100
06/03/25	Paulistano v Cearense	84-87
11/11/24	Cearense v Paulistano	66-49
10/02/24	Cearense v Paulistano	51-64
04/11/23	Paulistano v Cearense	80-73
06/02/23	Paulistano v Cearense	80-78
02/11/22	Cearense v Paulistano	55-78
10/03/22	Paulistano v Cearense	94-88 OT
09/12/21	Cearense v Paulistano	72-69 OT

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/26	A	Mogi	78-89
02/11/26	A	Sao Jose	53-96
22/10/26	H	Pinheiros	63-98
20/10/26	H	Osasco	69-93
16/04/26	A	Cruzeiro	77-86
14/04/26	A	Minas	56-87
06/04/26	H	Caxias do Sul	83-107
04/04/26	H	Uniao Corinthians	94-93
22/03/26	A	Franca	71-116
19/03/26	A	Paulistano	77-91

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/26	A	Unifacisa	63-71
30/10/26	H	Bauru	83-75
28/10/26	H	Franca	65-62
24/10/26	A	Brasilia	73-91
21/10/26	A	Pato	80-74
09/05/26	H	Pinheiros	74-84
07/05/26	H	Pinheiros	68-76
04/05/26	A	Pinheiros	92-101 OT
29/04/26	H	Bauru	71-62
26/04/26	A	Bauru	75-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	65.8	66.0	65.5
Allowed / game	94.0	95.5	92.5
Point differential	-28.2	-29.5	-27.0
Avg total	159.8	161.5	158.0
Over 158.25	75%	100%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Paulistano

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	60%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	60%	100%	33%
Points / game	72.8	74.0	72.0
Allowed / game	74.6	68.5	78.7
Point differential	-1.8	+5.5	-6.7
Avg total	147.4	142.5	150.7
Over 158.25	20%	0%	33%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	6	6	0	100%	86.0	67.2	+18.8
2	Unifacisa	6	5	1	83%	83.2	73.0	+10.2
3	Pinheiros	5	4	1	80%	83.6	66.8	+16.8
4	Flamengo	5	4	1	80%	82.6	72.8	+9.8
5	Mogi	5	4	1	80%	80.8	74.4	+6.4
6	Paulistano	5	3	2	60%	72.8	74.6	-1.8
7	Franca	6	3	3	50%	77.3	73.3	+4.0
8	Brasilia	6	3	3	50%	84.7	85.5	-0.8
9	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	50%	76.2	78.8	-2.7
10	Sao Jose	5	2	3	40%	79.2	80.8	-1.6
11	Botafogo	5	2	3	40%	80.0	83.0	-3.0
12	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	40%	73.8	80.0	-6.2
13	Bauru	6	2	4	33%	73.2	77.7	-4.5
14	Corinthians Paulista	4	1	3	25%	80.5	80.0	+0.5
15	Osasco	4	1	3	25%	79.5	86.0	-6.5
16	Pato	4	1	3	25%	74.0	82.5	-8.5
17	Caxias do Sul	5	0	5	0%	64.2	80.4	-16.2
18	Cearense	4	0	4	0%	65.8	94.0	-28.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cearense	18	10	25	12	65
Paulistano	15	14	16	13	58

← all games of the day

Cearense vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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