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Cearense vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 66-49
19-15 15-16 14-9 18-9
Position#17
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#12
Record3-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game76.2
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cearense v Paulistano
07 Nov 2026
CEAR v PAUL
upcoming
15 Dec 2025
CEAR77
PAUL100
11 Nov 2024
CEAR66
PAUL49
10 Feb 2024
CEAR51
PAUL64
02 Nov 2022
CEAR55
PAUL78
09 Dec 2021
CEAR72
PAUL69
13 Apr 2021
CEAR92
PAUL97
06 Mar 2020
CEAR99
PAUL95
05 Apr 2019
CEAR75
PAUL68
09 Jan 2019
CEAR65
PAUL77
25 Apr 2018
CEAR57
PAUL98
16 Apr 2018
CEAR72
PAUL67
15 Feb 2018
CEAR60
PAUL81
15 Apr 2017
CEAR67
PAUL82
06 Apr 2017
CEAR87
PAUL84
11 Jan 2017
CEAR74
PAUL76
26 Jan 2016
CEAR72
PAUL69
07 Jan 2015
CEAR69
PAUL77
15 Feb 2014
CEAR54
PAUL77
26 Apr 2013
CEAR68
PAUL69
20 Apr 2013
CEAR87
PAUL71
19 Apr 2013
CEAR79
PAUL66
10 Jan 2013
CEAR95
PAUL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
52avg 68
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
57avg 68
H09/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 68
H15/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-79
70
79
-9
65avg 68
H18/10
NBB
Pato
#14
L
60-89
60
89
-29
44avg 68
A22/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
52-77
52
77
-25
40avg 68
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
56-78
56
78
-22
38avg 68
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
67avg 68
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 68
A05/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
44avg 68
A07/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
21-26
13-11
17-26
18-25
8-24
21-16
21-18
15-18
18-17
25-13
18-20
19-16
11-24
18-22
22-17
11-23
15-25
19-21
15-20
10-17
17-20
11-22
14-18
23-21
11-25
9-14
13-18
18-14
16-13
22-26
12-17
25-20
14-19
14-17
19-17
10-25
10-24
16-21
28-16
144.1Avg total
65.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)64.877.5142.2-12.812%
Season at home (5)64.474.4138.8-10.020%
Season away (3)65.382.7148.0-17.30%
Last 10 (10)65.278.9144.1-13.710%
Last 5 (5)62.476.8139.2-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)68.679.7148.2-11.111%
vs Similar (13)75.578.0153.5-2.554%
vs Weaker (7)82.075.4157.4+6.671%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
66avg 70
H06/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
62avg 70
H08/05
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
67-72
67
72
-5
62avg 70
A12/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
80-62
80
62
+18
76avg 70
H14/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
90-100
90
100
-10
84avg 70
H24/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 70
H28/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 70
A30/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
88-70
88
70
+18
77avg 70
H02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
69-75
69
75
-6
64avg 70
H05/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
75-62
75
62
+13
72avg 70
A08/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
28-33
19-21
15-14
13-21
13-18
24-27
23-14
17-19
21-21
15-18
14-14
29-13
24-13
13-18
14-18
30-17
26-31
12-29
22-23
19-17
16-23
24-22
20-21
27-24
19-22
16-16
22-24
23-23
19-12
19-19
27-16
20-24
13-21
25-20
11-10
21-14
16-11
19-18
19-19
155.9Avg total
78.0Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.076.2155.2+2.838%
Season at home (5)81.278.0159.2+3.240%
Season away (3)75.373.3148.7+2.033%
Last 10 (10)78.077.9155.9+0.130%
Last 5 (5)79.075.2154.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.881.0153.8-8.20%
vs Similar (12)75.871.5147.2+4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.067.5148.5+13.564%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -7.6-7.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -7.6-7.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
CearensePaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H09/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H18/10
NBB
Pato
#14
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A22/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
20-49
20
49
-29
A07/11
NBB
72.4Avg total
30.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.239.074.2-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.837.771.5-3.938%-
Last 30 away (14)36.940.477.3-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)30.541.972.4-11.410%-
Last 5 (5)30.839.670.4-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.142.976.0-9.822%-
vs Similar (13)33.037.470.4-4.423%-
vs Weaker (7)42.135.978.0+6.386%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H06/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H08/05
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H14/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H24/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H28/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A30/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H05/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A08/11
NBB
80.5Avg total
40.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.176.2+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.737.479.1+4.357%-
Last 30 away (16)36.736.973.6-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.880.5+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.276.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.343.379.7-7.017%-
vs Similar (12)38.436.775.1+1.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.735.075.7+5.764%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 64.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.2
49.7%
50.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.2
25.4%
33.0%18.6
🏀 Free throws14.29.6
67.6%
72.7%9.6
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.1
51.3%
50.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.2
36.1%
33.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.813.6
72.3%
72.7%13.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLLLLLWLL
Paulistano
WLWLLLWLLL
#17
League position
#12
-18.0
Net rating
+1.3
90.0
Offensive rating
107.7
108.0
Defensive rating
106.5
45.1%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
21.0%
Turnover %
19.8%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
25.4%
3-point %
36.1%
46.7%
Assist %
63.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.0 · 107.7Defence108.0 · 106.5Shooting45.1% · 52.5%3-point %25.4% · 36.1%Ball care21.0% · 19.8%Off. rebounds28.2% · 31.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Cearense   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cearense wins
7
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Cearense v Paulistano51-64
04/11/23Paulistano v Cearense80-73
06/02/23Paulistano v Cearense80-78
02/11/22Cearense v Paulistano55-78
10/03/22Paulistano v Cearense94-88 OT
09/12/21Cearense v Paulistano72-69 OT
13/04/21Cearense v Paulistano92-97 OT
05/01/21Paulistano v Cearense78-73
06/03/20Cearense v Paulistano99-95 OT
22/11/19Paulistano v Cearense76-78
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24AMinas64-86
05/11/24ABrasilia72-73
01/11/24HVasco68-70
29/10/24HFlamengo56-78
27/10/24HBotafogo52-77
22/10/24APato60-89
18/10/24HUniao Corinthians70-79
15/10/24HCaxias do Sul76-68
09/05/24HFlamengo68-83
07/05/24HFlamengo66-86
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/24ASao Jose75-62
05/11/24HCorinthians Paulista69-75
02/11/24HBotafogo88-70
30/10/24ASao Paulo84-86
28/10/24HBauru79-83
24/10/24HFranca90-100
14/10/24HPinheiros80-62
12/10/24AMogi67-72
08/05/24HFranca73-80
06/05/24HFranca75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %12%20%0%
Points / game64.864.465.3
Allowed / game77.574.482.7
Point differential-12.8-10.0-17.3
Avg total142.2138.8148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game79.081.275.3
Allowed / game76.278.073.3
Point differential+2.8+3.2+2.0
Avg total155.2159.2148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas98189%82.369.0+13.3
2 Uniao Corinthians65183%80.275.0+5.2
3 Flamengo97278%78.265.3+12.9
4 Sao Paulo86275%79.576.0+3.5
5 Bauru75271%77.476.1+1.3
6 Franca96367%80.877.4+3.3
7 Brasilia96367%82.480.0+2.4
8 Vasco84450%69.467.6+1.8
9 Pinheiros84450%69.272.1-2.9
10 Caxias do Sul73443%71.776.4-4.7
11 Paulistano83538%79.076.2+2.8
12 Pato83538%78.979.2-0.4
13 Corinthians Paulista83538%78.980.2-1.4
14 Botafogo93633%70.374.7-4.3
15 Mogi93633%69.779.3-9.7
16 Unifacisa82625%76.279.2-3.0
17 Sao Jose81712%68.477.1-8.8
18 Cearense81712%64.877.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1915141866
Paulistano15169949
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