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Cearense vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 51-64
11-24 17-14 13-8 10-18
Position#8
Record13-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#7
Record15-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game72.3
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cearense v Paulistano
07 Nov 2026
CEAR v PAUL
upcoming
15 Dec 2025
CEAR77
PAUL100
11 Nov 2024
CEAR66
PAUL49
10 Feb 2024
CEAR51
PAUL64
02 Nov 2022
CEAR55
PAUL78
09 Dec 2021
CEAR72
PAUL69
13 Apr 2021
CEAR92
PAUL97
06 Mar 2020
CEAR99
PAUL95
05 Apr 2019
CEAR75
PAUL68
09 Jan 2019
CEAR65
PAUL77
25 Apr 2018
CEAR57
PAUL98
16 Apr 2018
CEAR72
PAUL67
15 Feb 2018
CEAR60
PAUL81
15 Apr 2017
CEAR67
PAUL82
06 Apr 2017
CEAR87
PAUL84
11 Jan 2017
CEAR74
PAUL76
26 Jan 2016
CEAR72
PAUL69
07 Jan 2015
CEAR69
PAUL77
15 Feb 2014
CEAR54
PAUL77
26 Apr 2013
CEAR68
PAUL69
20 Apr 2013
CEAR87
PAUL71
19 Apr 2013
CEAR79
PAUL66
10 Jan 2013
CEAR95
PAUL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
87-76
87
76
+11
86avg 72
H27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 72
H29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 72
H03/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 72
H13/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
67avg 72
A16/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
A18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
no box
H22/01
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 72
H24/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
69-73
69
73
-4
57avg 72
A27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 72
A06/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
15-19
24-20
23-25
18-15
20-18
20-21
25-19
22-29
21-22
12-15
17-11
20-18
16-25
22-20
17-18
16-24
22-12
22-22
15-23
21-17
15-21
20-24
20-14
15-19
14-18
25-17
22-22
23-19
24-20
22-19
24-17
20-31
15-15
14-12
20-15
21-19
24-22
15-6
20-26
161.8Avg total
82.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.877.6157.4+2.254%
Season at home (12)80.675.8156.3+4.867%
Season away (12)79.079.5158.5-0.542%
Last 10 (10)82.179.7161.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)85.881.8167.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.183.1161.2-5.022%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.877.8158.5+3.067%
vs Weaker (8)79.675.2154.9+4.462%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
68-64
68
64
+4
62avg 67
A18/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 67
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
78avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
55-66
55
66
-11
44avg 67
H08/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
68avg 67
H10/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
79avg 67
A14/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
71-90
71
90
-19
55avg 67
A23/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 67
A28/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
69avg 67
A31/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 67
A08/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
20-23
14-12
19-15
27-15
24-7
22-27
19-29
18-21
27-19
29-14
18-25
13-11
14-13
17-17
11-25
25-25
12-18
16-31
23-24
22-17
17-19
21-12
25-20
12-31
16-16
24-26
19-17
25-15
19-14
14-18
18-15
20-22
10-18
19-16
33-27
25-23
16-14
11-20
23-12
152.9Avg total
77.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.672.3147.0+2.365%
Season at home (12)75.873.8149.6+2.158%
Season away (11)73.370.8144.1+2.573%
Last 10 (10)77.275.7152.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)77.874.4152.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.287.5154.8-20.20%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.872.7146.5+1.146%
vs Weaker (12)79.269.1148.2+10.192%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
CearensePaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H03/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/01
NBB
Franca
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/01
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H24/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A06/02
NBB
78.2Avg total
38.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.278.2-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.138.377.3+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)38.940.179.0-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.578.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.278.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.640.679.1-2.056%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.038.477.4+0.650%-
vs Weaker (8)39.938.077.9+1.950%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H29/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H08/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A14/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A23/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A28/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A31/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/02
NBB
73.2Avg total
37.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.272.0+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.434.672.0+2.750%-
Last 30 away (16)36.335.872.1+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.573.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.874.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.044.276.2-12.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.635.771.3-0.138%-
vs Weaker (12)39.132.271.3+6.883%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.9
58.5%
51.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.25.9
26.6%
33.9%17.7
🏀 Free throws23.818.0
75.6%
72.6%18.0
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.4
52.8%
51.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.5
28.6%
33.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.812.7
71.3%
72.6%12.7
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
WLWWLLLLWW
Paulistano
WLWLWLLWWW
#8
League position
#7
+2.5
Net rating
+1.2
106.8
Offensive rating
100.9
104.3
Defensive rating
99.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
48.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.27
26.6%
3-point %
28.6%
47.4%
Assist %
63.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 100.9Defence104.3 · 99.7Shooting51.4% · 48.8%3-point %26.6% · 28.6%Ball care18.5% · 17.6%Off. rebounds28.3% · 27.6%Free throws0.41 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Cearense   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cearense wins
6
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Paulistano v Cearense80-73
06/02/23Paulistano v Cearense80-78
02/11/22Cearense v Paulistano55-78
10/03/22Paulistano v Cearense94-88 OT
09/12/21Cearense v Paulistano72-69 OT
13/04/21Cearense v Paulistano92-97 OT
05/01/21Paulistano v Cearense78-73
06/03/20Cearense v Paulistano99-95 OT
22/11/19Paulistano v Cearense76-78
08/04/19Paulistano v Cearense74-84
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24AUnifacisa80-73
27/01/24AMinas69-73
24/01/24HMogi93-75
22/01/24HSao Jose99-95 OT
18/01/24ABauru88-93 OT
16/01/24AFranca75-81
13/01/24HSao Paulo75-81
03/01/24HFranca72-77
29/12/23HBrasilia83-73
27/12/23HCerrado87-76
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24AUnifacisa75-69
31/01/24AFlamengo82-83
28/01/24AVasco76-62
23/01/24ASao Paulo71-90
14/01/24ABotafogo85-68
10/01/24HFranca76-98
08/01/24HBauru55-66
29/12/23HSao Jose92-79
27/12/23HMogi92-78
18/12/23ACerrado68-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW54%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %54%67%42%
Points / game79.880.679.0
Allowed / game77.675.879.5
Point differential+2.2+4.8-0.5
Avg total157.4156.3158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %12%8%17%
Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW65%
HomeLWWLL58%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%58%73%
Points / game74.675.873.3
Allowed / game72.373.870.8
Point differential+2.3+2.1+2.5
Avg total147.0149.6144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%42%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2421388%87.071.7+15.3
2 Flamengo2420483%86.274.7+11.6
3 Franca2218482%88.276.7+11.5
4 Vasco2417771%75.371.6+3.7
5 Paulistano2315865%74.672.3+2.3
6 Bauru2415962%79.578.1+1.4
7 Unifacisa25151060%82.779.2+3.5
8 Cearense24131154%79.877.6+2.2
9 Sao Jose23121152%79.776.3+3.4
10 Corinthians Paulista23111248%79.378.6+0.7
11 Pinheiros23111248%77.478.2-0.8
12 Sao Paulo24111346%78.080.2-2.1
13 Pato25111444%77.178.6-1.5
14 Caxias do Sul2481633%72.579.8-7.3
15 Uniao Corinthians2481633%72.581.1-8.5
16 Cerrado2471729%74.176.1-2.0
17 Botafogo2561924%77.486.2-8.8
18 Brasilia2442017%70.685.4-14.8
19 Mogi2332013%72.781.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1117131051
Paulistano241481864
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