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Cedevita Olimpija vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-75 (OT)
15-10 16-25 17-15 18-16 14-9
Position#6
Record13-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game80.2
Cedevita Olimpija 🏆
vs
Zadar
Position#10
Record11-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game75.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 23· Arena Sto
Domestic2024
Meetings · Cedevita Olimpija v Zadar
19 Oct 2025
COL97
ZAD72
16 Mar 2025
COL80
ZAD75
03 Dec 2023
COL73
ZAD79
26 Nov 2022
COL97
ZAD79
05 Dec 2021
COL73
ZAD74
20 Mar 2021
COL77
ZAD56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Split
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
72avg 81
A01/02
ABA League
Hamburg
#17
L
62-80
62
80
-18
46avg 81
A05/02
Eurocup
Igokea
#7
L
85-90
85
90
-5
80avg 81
H08/02
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#27
W
86-68
86
68
+18
84avg 81
H10/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#5
W
83-63
83
63
+20
80avg 81
A13/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
102-71
102
71
+31
96avg 81
H14/02
Slovenian Cup
Buducnost
#3
L
78-95
78
95
-17
72avg 81
A01/03
ABA League
Besiktas
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
90avg 81
H05/03
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
70avg 81
H09/03
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 81
A11/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
12-19
19-15
21-20
18-20
18-21
16-23
10-16
29-21
21-19
17-20
18-30
32-19
8-12
25-12
21-25
18-16
26-21
16-17
23-9
23-25
30-17
26-16
23-13
17-26
18-21
23-21
20-27
23-24
19-25
26-20
28-17
24-18
17-21
13-14
20-16
24-7
22-31
19-18
16-29
159.8Avg total
82.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.580.2163.7+3.359%
Season at home (11)87.579.8167.4+7.773%
Season away (11)79.580.6160.1-1.245%
Last 10 (10)82.277.6159.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)86.281.2167.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.878.2153.0-3.333%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.085.0172.0+2.062%
vs Weaker (16)89.873.5163.3+16.394%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 74
A01/02
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
85avg 74
A03/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
98-71
98
71
+27
98avg 74
H06/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
75-100
75
100
-25
72avg 74
A10/02
ABA League
Split
#1
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 74
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 74
A28/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
72avg 74
A02/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
68avg 74
H06/03
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 74
A09/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
75-65
75
65
+10
68avg 74
H14/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
20-24
20-26
18-16
21-21
24-8
26-29
12-16
38-21
30-11
13-22
17-17
16-22
19-29
25-21
15-28
21-21
22-18
15-16
12-16
13-10
18-28
22-19
15-22
10-20
31-19
13-19
22-29
13-8
16-21
16-14
27-20
26-16
17-21
23-16
25-18
25-10
21-19
20-20
9-16
155.0Avg total
78.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.775.1150.8+0.650%
Season at home (12)73.272.0145.2+1.250%
Season away (10)78.878.8157.6+0.050%
Last 10 (10)78.576.5155.0+2.050%
Last 5 (5)76.473.0149.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.885.5158.2-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (6)71.768.5140.2+3.250%
vs Weaker (19)76.966.1143.0+10.984%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
Cedevita OlimpijaZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#14
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A01/02
ABA League
Hamburg
#17
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A05/02
Eurocup
Igokea
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H08/02
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#27
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H10/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A13/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H14/02
Slovenian Cup
Buducnost
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A01/03
ABA League
Besiktas
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H05/03
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/03
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A11/03
Eurocup
82.0Avg total
42.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.580.8+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.038.683.6+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)39.138.477.5+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.882.0+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.086.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.736.874.5+0.883%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.143.987.0-0.838%-
vs Weaker (16)43.536.580.0+7.075%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A01/02
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A03/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H06/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A10/02
ABA League
Split
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A28/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H06/03
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H14/03
Premijer liga
78.5Avg total
42.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.035.176.2+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.532.776.2+10.892%-
Last 30 away (17)39.137.076.1+2.165%-
Last 10 (10)42.036.578.5+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.472.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.041.579.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.538.580.0+3.083%-
vs Weaker (19)41.332.473.7+8.879%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.5
53.1%
54.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.0
35.1%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.918.2
76.2%
75.6%18.2
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.6
50.7%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.7
37.5%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.614.2
76.3%
75.6%14.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita Olimpija
LWWLWWWLLW
Zadar
WWWLLLLWWL
#6
League position
#10
+6.2
Net rating
+2.0
109.7
Offensive rating
109.3
103.5
Defensive rating
107.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
52.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.1%
3-point %
37.5%
62.2%
Assist %
61.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 109.3Defence103.5 · 107.3Shooting52.9% · 52.8%3-point %35.1% · 37.5%Ball care17.1% · 18.1%Off. rebounds27.6% · 31.5%Free throws0.40 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Cedevita Olimpija   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cedevita Olimpija wins
5
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Zadar v Cedevita Olimpija81-73
16/03/24Zadar v Cedevita Olimpija88-65
03/12/23Cedevita Olimpija v Zadar73-79
12/03/23Zadar v Cedevita Olimpija81-59
26/11/22Cedevita Olimpija v Zadar97-79
19/03/22Zadar v Cedevita Olimpija77-92
05/12/21Cedevita Olimpija v Zadar73-74
20/03/21Cedevita Olimpija v Zadar77-56
10/01/21Zadar v Cedevita Olimpija78-80
Cedevita Olimpijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25ABahcesehir Kol.81-85
09/03/25HCrvena zvezda74-69
05/03/25HBesiktas96-86
01/03/25ABuducnost78-95
14/02/25HKK Krka Novo mesto102-71
13/02/25AKK Triglav Kranj83-63
10/02/25HPerspektiva Ilirija86-68
08/02/25HIgokea85-90
05/02/25AHamburg62-80
01/02/25ASplit75-69
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HGKK Sibenka75-65
09/03/25AOsijek91-71
06/03/25HKK Krka Novo mesto72-63
02/03/25ACrvena zvezda76-87
28/02/25AKvarner68-79
12/02/25ASplit70-71
10/02/25APartizan75-100
06/02/25HDinamo Zagreb98-71
03/02/25AGKK Sibenka83-74
01/02/25ABuducnost77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita Olimpija
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%73%45%
Points / game83.587.579.5
Allowed / game80.279.880.6
Point differential+3.3+7.7-1.2
Avg total163.7167.4160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWWWW50%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.773.278.8
Allowed / game75.172.078.8
Point differential+0.6+1.2+0.0
Avg total150.8145.2157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2220291%93.073.3+19.6
2 Buducnost2219386%90.676.0+14.6
3 Crvena zvezda2217577%88.779.0+9.7
4 Dubai2217577%88.178.6+9.5
5 Igokea2315865%84.384.9-0.7
6 Cedevita Olimpija2213959%83.580.2+3.3
7 Spartak Subotica23121152%83.982.3+1.6
8 FMP Beograd23121152%80.084.8-4.7
9 Mega Basket22111150%83.281.8+1.4
10 Zadar22111150%75.775.1+0.6
11 Borac Mozzart2281436%76.482.5-6.1
12 Studentski Centar2381535%82.985.4-2.5
13 Split2271532%76.182.1-6.0
14 Cibona2241818%75.487.4-12.0
15 KK Krka Novo mesto2341917%82.188.5-6.4
16 Mornar Bar231224%74.594.9-20.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cedevita Olimpija151617181480
Zadar10251516975
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