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Cedevita vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-80
26-20 18-17 28-22 22-21
Position#2
Record15-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#10
Record8-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game86.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 22
Domestic2018
Meetings · Cedevita v Mornar Bar
15 Mar 2019
CED94
MBA80
18 Nov 2017
CED99
MBA74
06 Nov 2016
CED99
MBA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A02/02
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H06/02
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H10/02
ABA League
Zabok
#12
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Gorica
#5
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#2
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A16/02
Croatian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A02/03
ABA League
Hermes
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H03/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A08/03
Premijer liga
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
98-70
98
70
+28
A10/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
19-13
19-26
19-21
23-19
16-13
16-23
20-24
19-26
24-23
27-22
17-14
28-17
20-20
23-17
27-19
25-11
26-20
23-14
19-18
28-17
15-23
22-15
24-19
24-15
12-26
19-23
16-18
24-15
22-16
17-23
20-25
24-18
18-19
18-19
12-18
29-29
22-11
20-14
27-16
159.8Avg total
84.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.180.4167.6+6.771%
Season at home (10)87.577.0164.5+10.580%
Season away (11)86.883.5170.4+3.364%
Last 10 (10)84.475.4159.8+9.070%
Last 5 (5)82.675.8158.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.388.7167.0-10.414%
vs Similar (7)79.381.1160.4-1.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.378.7167.0+9.780%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H29/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H13/01
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A19/01
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H28/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
71-102
71
102
-31
A04/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
57-90
57
90
-33
H09/02
ABA League
Igokea
#9
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A02/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H10/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
20-22
25-22
17-15
21-20
25-15
12-28
28-14
14-18
15-20
24-17
20-20
22-25
25-14
25-22
17-20
21-14
15-23
22-16
22-29
24-19
26-19
21-18
20-22
15-22
17-26
15-28
24-26
14-25
12-25
19-30
12-10
10-18
20-19
21-24
9-20
23-13
18-23
20-13
18-20
157.6Avg total
76.6Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.086.3167.3-5.438%
Season at home (11)86.686.6173.3+0.055%
Season away (10)74.786.0160.7-11.320%
Last 10 (10)76.681.0157.6-4.450%
Last 5 (5)71.684.0155.6-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.792.5171.2-13.818%
vs Similar (13)82.281.5163.6+0.754%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
CedevitaMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#9
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A02/02
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H06/02
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H10/02
ABA League
Zabok
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Gorica
#5
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A16/02
Croatian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A02/03
ABA League
Hermes
#10
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H03/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A08/03
Premijer liga
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A10/03
ABA League
80.5Avg total
43.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.183.0+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.383.5+2.862%-
Last 30 away (17)42.739.982.6+2.865%-
Last 10 (10)43.936.680.5+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.881.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.345.086.3-3.729%-
vs Similar (7)39.039.378.3-0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.038.383.3+6.780%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H29/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H13/01
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A19/01
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H28/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A04/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H09/02
ABA League
Igokea
#9
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A02/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H10/03
ABA League
77.1Avg total
37.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.244.184.3-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.944.687.5-1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)37.143.580.6-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.677.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.877.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.147.587.5-7.429%-
vs Similar (13)40.539.680.1+0.846%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.9
51.6%
51.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.48.2
38.3%
33.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.116.9
70.1%
72.5%16.9
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.2
50.4%
51.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.6
29.5%
33.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.114.8
70.1%
72.5%14.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita
WLWLWWWWLW
Mornar Bar
WLLLWLWLWW
#2
League position
#10
-4.0
Net rating
-5.0
105.0
Offensive rating
99.6
109.0
Defensive rating
104.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
47.9%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.8%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.3%
3-point %
29.5%
62.0%
Assist %
54.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 99.6Defence109.0 · 104.6Shooting53.8% · 47.9%3-point %38.3% · 29.5%Ball care18.6% · 17.8%Off. rebounds23.5% · 29.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Cedevita   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cedevita wins
0
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
15/12/18Mornar Bar v Cedevita102-103
10/02/18Mornar Bar v Cedevita89-94
18/11/17Cedevita v Mornar Bar99-74
04/02/17Mornar Bar v Cedevita74-79
06/11/16Cedevita v Mornar Bar99-73
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/19APetrol Olimpija98-70
08/03/19AZabok72-74
03/03/19HHermes83-79
02/03/19AKK Krka Novo mesto71-82
16/02/19ACibona89-74
14/02/19HGorica93-63
13/02/19HZabok98-73
10/02/19HFMP Beograd87-85
06/02/19HZenit Petersburg75-79
02/02/19AIgokea78-75
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/19HFMP Beograd79-69
02/03/19AIgokea60-81
09/02/19HCrvena zvezda57-90
04/02/19ABuducnost71-102
28/01/19HCibona91-78
19/01/19AMega Bemax80-82
13/01/19HZadar89-81
05/01/19APartizan73-75
29/12/18HKK Krka Novo mesto86-77
23/12/18HPetrol Olimpija80-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita
ABA League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%80%64%
Points / game87.187.586.8
Allowed / game80.477.083.5
Point differential+6.7+10.5+3.3
Avg total167.6164.5170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%55%20%
Points / game81.086.674.7
Allowed / game86.386.686.0
Point differential-5.4+0.0-11.3
Avg total167.3173.3160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)40% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2120195%84.568.6+15.9
2 Cedevita2115671%87.180.4+6.7
3 Buducnost2115671%80.674.0+6.6
4 Partizan2114767%81.375.7+5.6
5 Mega Bemax21101148%82.284.8-2.6
6 FMP Beograd2191243%79.281.6-2.4
7 Cibona2191243%79.181.9-2.7
8 Mornar Bar2181338%81.086.3-5.4
9 Zadar2171433%82.085.7-3.8
10 Igokea2171433%80.985.1-4.2
11 Petrol Olimpija2161529%77.482.0-4.5
12 KK Krka Novo mesto2161529%72.681.8-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita2618282294
Mornar Bar2017222180
← all games of the day
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