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Mornar Bar vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-69
23-13 18-23 20-13 18-20
Position#10
Record7-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#6
Record9-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 21
Domestic2018
Meetings · Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd
08 Dec 2024
MBA76
FBE81
23 Dec 2023
MBA75
FBE77
03 Jan 2023
MBA102
FBE113
22 Jan 2022
MBA82
FBE78
20 Dec 2020
MBA84
FBE74
10 Mar 2019
MBA79
FBE69
14 Oct 2017
MBA73
FBE81
14 Oct 2016
MBA82
FBE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#11
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A19/12
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H29/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H13/01
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A19/01
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H28/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
71-102
71
102
-31
A04/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
57-90
57
90
-33
H09/02
ABA League
Igokea
#9
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A02/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
22-14
17-20
13-20
18-16
20-22
25-22
17-15
21-20
25-15
12-28
28-14
14-18
15-20
24-17
20-20
22-25
25-14
25-22
17-20
21-14
15-23
22-16
22-29
24-19
26-19
21-18
20-22
15-22
17-26
15-28
24-26
14-25
12-25
19-30
12-10
10-18
20-19
21-24
9-20
156.6Avg total
75.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.087.2168.2-6.235%
Season at home (10)87.488.4175.8-1.050%
Season away (10)74.786.0160.7-11.320%
Last 10 (10)75.481.2156.6-5.840%
Last 5 (5)71.886.6158.4-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.792.5171.2-13.818%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.282.8164.0-1.746%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#7
W
106-89
106
89
+17
H28/12
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A04/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H14/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A19/01
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H26/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A03/02
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A10/02
ABA League
Sveti Djordje
#8
W
112-58
112
58
+54
H14/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H16/02
Korac cup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H04/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
30-32
13-21
32-14
28-23
13-24
15-22
15-21
16-20
16-28
16-13
22-26
9-18
12-22
23-16
18-23
23-20
17-25
21-22
26-11
12-23
16-17
23-22
25-9
26-19
23-24
22-27
14-17
23-23
31-11
29-9
29-15
16-21
20-18
21-24
14-20
17-13
9-23
22-13
16-14
158.9Avg total
80.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.781.8161.4-2.045%
Season at home (10)84.781.6166.3+3.160%
Season away (10)74.781.9156.6-7.230%
Last 10 (10)80.478.5158.9+1.950%
Last 5 (5)81.672.4154.0+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.984.0157.9-10.10%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.478.4158.8+2.164%
vs Weaker (5)87.271.8159.0+15.480%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
Mornar BarFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A19/12
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H29/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H13/01
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A19/01
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H28/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A04/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H09/02
ABA League
Igokea
#9
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A02/03
ABA League
76.2Avg total
37.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.944.284.1-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.145.188.2-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)36.843.380.1-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.176.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.842.076.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.147.587.5-7.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.839.979.7-0.238%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#7
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H28/12
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A04/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H14/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A19/01
ABA League
Igokea
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H26/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A03/02
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A10/02
ABA League
Sveti Djordje
#8
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H14/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H16/02
Korac cup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H04/03
ABA League
81.4Avg total
38.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.880.6-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.240.882.0+0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)38.140.878.9-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.681.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.477.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.644.780.3-9.110%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.539.679.1-0.150%-
vs Weaker (5)46.237.483.6+8.860%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.4
50.4%
51.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.4
28.5%
33.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
72.5%13.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.6
51.7%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.1
32.3%
33.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.313.6
67.0%
72.5%13.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLWLWLWWL
FMP Beograd
WLWLWWLLLW
#10
League position
#6
-7.1
Net rating
-3.6
97.7
Offensive rating
103.3
104.7
Defensive rating
106.9
47.3%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.2%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.5%
3-point %
32.3%
54.1%
Assist %
63.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 103.3Defence104.7 · 106.9Shooting47.3% · 50.4%3-point %28.5% · 32.3%Ball care18.6% · 17.2%Off. rebounds29.6% · 30.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mornar Bar wins
2
FMP Beograd wins
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/19AIgokea60-81
09/02/19HCrvena zvezda57-90
04/02/19ABuducnost71-102
28/01/19HCibona91-78
19/01/19AMega Bemax80-82
13/01/19HZadar89-81
05/01/19APartizan73-75
29/12/18HKK Krka Novo mesto86-77
23/12/18HPetrol Olimpija80-75
19/12/18ARytas67-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/19HPetrol Olimpija64-63
16/02/19HPartizan71-83
14/02/19HSveti Djordje112-58
10/02/19ACedevita85-87
03/02/19AKK Krka Novo mesto76-71
26/01/19HIgokea87-78
19/01/19ACrvena zvezda62-79
14/01/19HBuducnost70-87
04/01/19ACibona71-90
28/12/18HMega Bemax106-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL35%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%50%20%
Points / game81.087.474.7
Allowed / game87.288.486.0
Point differential-6.2-1.0-11.3
Avg total168.2175.8160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)40% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW45%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%60%30%
Points / game79.784.774.7
Allowed / game81.881.681.9
Point differential-2.0+3.1-7.2
Avg total161.4166.3156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2120195%84.568.6+15.9
2 Cedevita2115671%87.180.4+6.7
3 Buducnost2014670%80.874.2+6.5
4 Partizan2114767%81.375.7+5.6
5 Mega Bemax20101050%82.885.2-2.4
6 FMP Beograd2091145%79.781.8-2.0
7 Cibona2191243%79.181.9-2.7
8 Mornar Bar2071335%81.087.2-6.2
9 Zadar2171433%82.085.7-3.8
10 Igokea2171433%80.985.1-4.2
11 Petrol Olimpija2161529%77.482.0-4.5
12 KK Krka Novo mesto2161529%72.681.8-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2318201879
FMP Beograd1323132069
← all games of the day
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