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Central Michigan vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-67
37-22 34-45
Position#168
Record2-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#355
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Central Michigan v Valparaiso
06 Dec 2023
CENT71
VALP67
12 Dec 2020
CENT84
VALP79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#271
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
65-99
65
99
-34
H01/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A04/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
59-89
59
89
-30
A07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
67-94
67
94
-27
A14/11
NCAA
South Florida
#20
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A16/11
NCAA
Siena
#366
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A20/11
NCAA
Stetson
#97
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A21/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
61-88
61
88
-27
A30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-47
51-37
34-45
31-54
29-31
36-50
21-40
38-49
31-38
33-36
30-50
37-44
31-29
37-34
30-19
40-37
24-37
37-34
29-41
32-47
145.9Avg total
66.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)64.376.4140.7-12.129%
Season at home (1)64.074.0138.0-10.00%
Season away (6)64.376.8141.2-12.533%
Last 10 (10)66.079.9145.9-13.920%
Last 5 (5)65.474.4139.8-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)63.175.6138.7-12.526%
vs Similar (5)64.476.0140.4-11.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)66.563.0129.5+3.550%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
50-78
50
78
-28
A03/03
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
65-83
65
83
-18
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
33-32
25-38
25-40
62-23
38-38
25-21
31-45
26-31
38-28
45-38
19-49
34-27
39-39
31-24
40-35
36-37
29-46
34-43
34-34
140.0Avg total
68.7Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.169.8139.9+0.450%
Season at home (6)71.565.7137.2+5.867%
Season away (2)66.082.0148.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)68.771.3140.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)68.274.4142.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)65.674.2139.8-8.618%
vs Similar (9)70.772.6143.2-1.956%
vs Weaker (4)78.266.2144.5+12.075%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.9-8.91st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: -6.0-6.0
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.9-8.91st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: -6.0-6.0
Central MichiganValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#271
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H25/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H01/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A04/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H11/11
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A14/11
NCAA
South Florida
#20
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A16/11
NCAA
Siena
#366
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A20/11
NCAA
Stetson
#97
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A21/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A30/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
28.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.536.665.2-8.120%-
Last 30 at home (12)29.338.267.5-8.88%-
Last 30 away (18)28.035.663.6-7.628%-
Last 10 (10)28.837.766.5-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)28.835.264.0-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)28.538.266.7-9.717%-
vs Similar (5)29.034.063.0-5.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)27.525.052.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A03/03
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A18/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A02/12
NCAA
66.5Avg total
35.0Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.733.967.5-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.630.965.6+3.759%-
Last 30 away (13)32.437.770.1-5.338%-
Last 10 (10)35.031.566.5+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.869.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.435.767.1-4.335%-
vs Similar (9)34.734.369.0+0.356%-
vs Weaker (4)41.025.066.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Central Michigan wins
1
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
12/12/20Central Michigan v Valparaiso84-79
08/12/19Valparaiso v Central Michigan77-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23AOhio State61-88
21/11/23AStetson61-71
20/11/23ASiena70-56
16/11/23ASouth Florida68-63
14/11/23AFlorida State67-94
11/11/23HLouisiana Monroe64-74
07/11/23AOklahoma59-89
04/03/23AWestern Michigan65-81
01/03/23HToledo65-99
25/02/23HNorthern Illinois80-84
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ABelmont68-77
30/11/23HDrake65-83
25/11/23HSouthern Univ.71-59
22/11/23HWestern Illinois73-66
18/11/23AIllinois64-87
15/11/23HWisc. Green Bay64-59
11/11/23HIUPUI56-66
07/11/23HTrinity (IL)100-61
03/03/23AMurray State50-78
26/02/23AMurray State76-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL29%
HomeL0%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games716
Win %29%0%33%
Points / game64.364.064.3
Allowed / game76.474.076.8
Point differential-12.1-10.0-12.5
Avg total140.7138.0141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game70.171.566.0
Allowed / game69.865.782.0
Point differential+0.4+5.8-16.0
Avg total139.9137.2148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass54180%84.869.2+15.6
2 Ball State86275%76.864.1+12.6
3 Ohio75271%81.074.4+6.6
4 Kent State96367%84.472.0+12.4
5 Miami (Ohio)64267%73.065.7+7.3
6 Akron85362%75.265.5+9.8
7 Northern Illinois85362%82.480.0+2.4
8 Bowling Green85362%69.867.5+2.2
9 Eastern Michigan85362%67.473.0-5.6
10 Toledo73443%80.778.0+2.7
11 Central Michigan72529%64.376.4-12.1
12 Western Michigan82625%64.672.1-7.5
13 Buffalo91811%68.181.9-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State98189%87.472.8+14.7
2 Drake87188%79.869.8+10.0
3 Evansville97278%82.271.4+10.8
4 Southern Illinois86275%78.265.4+12.9
5 Bradley96367%72.770.8+1.9
6 Belmont96367%82.280.4+1.8
7 Illinois (Chi.)85362%74.462.6+11.8
8 Illinois State85362%67.866.6+1.1
9 Valparaiso84450%70.169.8+0.4
10 Murray State73443%77.073.4+3.6
11 Northern Iowa82625%75.475.2+0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Central Michigan373471
Valparaiso224567
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