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Charlotte Hornets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 117-90
31-23 26-25 35-24 25-18
Position#14
Record30-31
FormLWWWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game113.0
vs
Position#24
Record21-39
FormWWLLL
Points / game113.9
Allowed / game117.7
USANBA· Spectrum Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Dallas Mavericks
13 Feb 2027
CHA v DAL
upcoming
03 Mar 2026
CHA117
DAL90
20 Jan 2025
CHA110
DAL105
09 Apr 2024
CHA104
DAL130
26 Mar 2023
CHA110
DAL104
19 Mar 2022
CHA129
DAL108
13 Jan 2021
CHA93
DAL104
08 Feb 2020
CHA100
DAL116
02 Jan 2019
CHA84
DAL122
10 Jan 2018
CHA111
DAL115
01 Dec 2016
CHA97
DAL87
14 Mar 2016
CHA96
DAL107
17 Nov 2014
CHA80
DAL107
11 Feb 2014
CHA114
DAL89
10 Nov 2012
CHA101
DAL97
05 Feb 2011
CHA92
DAL101
01 Mar 2010
CHA84
DAL89
18 Nov 2008
CHA83
DAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
W
109-99
109
99
+10
99avg 107
A06/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
126-119
126
119
+7
124avg 107
A08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
104-110
104
110
-6
95avg 107
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
110-107
110
107
+3
100avg 107
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
101-105
101
105
-4
96avg 107
H20/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
113-118
113
118
-5
103avg 107
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
129-112
129
112
+17
128avg 107
A22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
131-99
131
99
+32
128avg 107
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
133-109
133
109
+24
138avg 107
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
109-93
109
93
+16
102avg 107
H28/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
32-23
30-26
18-24
32-35
28-25
38-30
28-29
33-29
24-32
21-27
26-22
35-27
23-22
31-26
21-32
33-24
19-29
26-27
23-25
20-30
33-29
36-31
24-28
38-37
23-19
44-28
24-28
31-31
25-24
42-16
33-28
31-34
36-12
40-36
26-27
29-17
22-26
23-24
35-26
223.6Avg total
116.5Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)116.0113.0229.1+3.049%
Season at home (29)112.9112.5225.4+0.345%
Season away (32)118.9113.5232.4+5.453%
Last 10 (10)116.5107.1223.6+9.470%
Last 5 (5)123.0106.2229.2+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)124.097.0221.0+27.0100%
vs Similar (13)110.4105.6216.0+4.854%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)121.1109.7230.8+11.469%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
123-135
123
135
-12
109avg 104
H06/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
125-138
125
138
-13
112avg 104
A07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
111-120
111
120
-9
101avg 104
A11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
104-124
104
124
-20
91avg 104
A13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
111-122
111
122
-11
95avg 104
A21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
134-130
134
130
+4
127avg 104
A22/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
123-114
123
114
+9
123avg 104
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
121-130
121
130
-9
114avg 104
H27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
105-124
105
124
-19
94avg 104
H28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-100
87
100
-13
78avg 104
H02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-38
28-36
33-25
27-36
32-39
35-42
24-33
34-24
16-36
32-29
27-31
36-24
31-36
32-28
19-32
22-28
25-40
32-29
31-27
23-26
36-33
35-33
32-29
31-35
36-29
40-35
23-27
24-23
28-42
28-26
32-32
33-30
20-34
24-30
26-37
35-23
25-36
24-22
20-25
18-17
238.1Avg total
114.4Scored
123.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)113.9117.7231.6-3.835%
Season at home (33)114.5116.6231.1-2.142%
Season away (27)113.1119.0232.1-5.826%
Last 10 (10)114.4123.7238.1-9.320%
Last 5 (5)114.0119.6233.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)112.5118.7231.2-6.221%
vs Similar (6)123.7122.8246.5+0.850%
vs Weaker (5)112.8112.0224.8+0.860%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
Charlotte HornetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A06/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H20/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
67-46
67
46
+21
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H28/02
NBA
110.7Avg total
57.6Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.453.0111.4+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.155.1111.2+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)60.451.2111.6+9.175%-
Last 10 (10)57.653.1110.7+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)57.651.8109.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.050.0117.0+17.0100%-
vs Similar (13)54.850.3105.2+4.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)60.855.4116.2+5.369%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H06/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A22/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H02/03
NBA
126.7Avg total
59.4Scored
67.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.461.4118.7-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.858.7114.4-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)59.264.4123.6-5.221%-
Last 10 (10)59.467.3126.7-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)59.264.0123.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)56.762.3119.0-5.621%-
vs Similar (6)61.060.5121.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (5)55.658.8114.4-3.240%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀50%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers58.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.4
48.8%
54.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.919.5
41.6%
35.8%58.5
🏀 Free throws20.217.2
85.1%
78.1%17.2
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.831.8
53.2%
54.8%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.2
32.6%
35.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws27.119.8
73.1%
78.1%19.8
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
WWWWLLWLWW
Dallas Mavericks
LLLWWLLLLL
#14
League position
#24
+9.6
Net rating
-10.3
118.9
Offensive rating
107.1
109.3
Defensive rating
117.4
56.0%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
13.2%
37.9%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
41.6%
3-point %
32.6%
65.9%
Assist %
57.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 107.1Defence109.3 · 117.4Shooting56.0% · 51.8%3-point %41.6% · 32.6%Ball care16.1% · 13.2%Off. rebounds37.9% · 24.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HPortland Trail Blazers109-93
27/02/26AIndiana Pacers133-109
25/02/26AChicago Bulls131-99
22/02/26AWashington Wizards129-112
21/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers113-118
20/02/26HHouston Rockets101-105
12/02/26HAtlanta Hawks110-107
10/02/26HDetroit Pistons104-110
08/02/26AAtlanta Hawks126-119
06/02/26AHouston Rockets109-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/26HOklahoma City Thunder87-100
28/02/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-124
27/02/26HSacramento Kings121-130
25/02/26ABrooklyn Nets123-114
22/02/26AIndiana Pacers134-130
21/02/26AMinnesota Timberwolves111-122
13/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers104-124
11/02/26APhoenix Suns111-120
07/02/26ASan Antonio Spurs125-138
06/02/26HSan Antonio Spurs123-135

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW49%
HomeLWLLW45%
AwayWWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games612932
Win %49%45%53%
Points / game116.0112.9118.9
Allowed / game113.0112.5113.5
Point differential+3.0+0.3+5.4
Avg total229.1225.4232.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%21%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)38% (8)17% (6)
Overtime %5%3%6%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL35%
HomeLLLLL42%
AwayLLLWW26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603327
Win %35%42%26%
Points / game113.9114.5113.1
Allowed / game117.7116.6119.0
Point differential-3.8-2.1-5.8
Avg total231.6231.1232.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)56% (9)43% (7)
Overtime %7%9%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder60461477%119.0108.1+10.9
2 Detroit Pistons59451476%117.3109.4+7.9
3 San Antonio Spurs58411771%117.8111.7+6.1
4 Boston Celtics61412067%114.9107.0+7.9
5 Houston Rockets60382263%114.7109.4+5.3
6 New York Knicks59372263%117.0111.2+5.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves61382362%119.1114.6+4.6
8 Denver Nuggets62382461%120.5116.1+4.4
9 Cleveland Cavaliers62382461%119.2115.0+4.2
10 Los Angeles Lakers59362361%115.9115.2+0.7
11 Toronto Raptors59352459%114.2111.9+2.3
12 Phoenix Suns59342558%112.5110.9+1.6
13 Philadelphia 76ers60332755%116.4115.9+0.5
14 Miami Heat60322853%120.0117.0+3.0
15 Orlando Magic57302753%114.4114.2+0.2
16 Golden State Warriors61313051%115.3114.1+1.3
17 Atlanta Hawks62313150%117.4117.4+0.0
18 Charlotte Hornets61303149%116.0113.0+3.0
19 Los Angeles Clippers60293148%112.1112.1+0.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers62293347%115.2118.4-3.1
21 Milwaukee Bucks60263443%111.3115.5-4.2
22 Chicago Bulls61253641%115.8120.1-4.3
23 Memphis Grizzlies59233639%115.7117.7-2.0
24 Dallas Mavericks60213935%113.9117.7-3.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans62194331%115.1120.4-5.3
26 Utah Jazz61184330%117.9125.8-7.9
27 Washington Wizards60164427%112.3123.0-10.7
28 Brooklyn Nets60154525%107.0115.4-8.5
29 Indiana Pacers61154625%111.4119.6-8.2
30 Sacramento Kings62144823%110.3121.2-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charlotte Hornets31263525117
Dallas Mavericks2325241890
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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