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Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 120-111
36-16 29-32 31-27 24-36
Position#16
Record31-21
FormWLWLL
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game110.9
vs
Position#24
Record19-33
FormLLLLL
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game117.2
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Dallas Mavericks
27 Nov 2026
PHX v DAL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
PHX112
DAL107
10 Feb 2026
PHX120
DAL111
27 Dec 2024
PHX89
DAL98
26 Oct 2024
PHX114
DAL102
25 Dec 2023
PHX114
DAL128
26 Jan 2023
PHX95
DAL99
19 Oct 2022
PHX107
DAL105
15 May 2022
PHX90
DAL123
10 May 2022
PHX110
DAL80
04 May 2022
PHX129
DAL109
02 May 2022
PHX121
DAL114
19 Nov 2021
PHX112
DAL104
17 Nov 2021
PHX105
DAL98
23 Dec 2020
PHX106
DAL102
13 Aug 2020
PHX128
DAL102
02 Aug 2020
PHX117
DAL115
29 Nov 2019
PHX113
DAL120
13 Dec 2018
PHX99
DAL89
17 Oct 2018
PHX121
DAL100
31 Jan 2018
PHX102
DAL88
09 Apr 2017
PHX124
DAL111
12 Jan 2017
PHX108
DAL113
28 Oct 2015
PHX95
DAL111
22 Mar 2015
PHX98
DAL92
23 Dec 2014
PHX124
DAL115
17 Jan 2014
PHX107
DAL110
21 Dec 2013
PHX123
DAL108
01 Feb 2013
PHX99
DAL109
06 Dec 2012
PHX94
DAL97
08 Mar 2012
PHX96
DAL94
30 Jan 2012
PHX99
DAL122
27 Mar 2011
PHX83
DAL91
17 Feb 2011
PHX106
DAL112
28 Jan 2010
PHX112
DAL106
10 Mar 2009
PHX117
DAL122
09 Jan 2009
PHX128
DAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
116-110
116
110
+6
106avg 105
A21/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
103-110
103
110
-7
91avg 105
A24/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
102-111
102
111
-9
83avg 105
H26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
106-102
106
102
+4
99avg 105
H28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
114-96
114
96
+18
110avg 105
H30/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
126-113
126
113
+13
126avg 105
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
93-117
93
117
-24
70avg 105
H02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
130-125
130
125
+5
121avg 105
A04/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
97-101
97
101
-4
88avg 105
H06/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
103-109
103
109
-6
92avg 105
H08/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
30-23
40-31
19-26
31-27
28-37
32-20
12-26
21-32
27-26
29-24
25-29
28-29
32-22
22-24
24-27
35-31
37-25
21-25
21-15
26-25
26-22
45-32
29-34
20-24
23-25
28-36
22-32
30-41
37-31
34-22
29-31
29-25
26-34
27-17
15-25
22-24
25-34
24-23
32-28
218.4Avg total
109.0Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)114.1110.9224.9+3.260%
Season at home (26)113.4107.8221.2+5.665%
Season away (26)114.7114.0228.7+0.854%
Last 10 (10)109.0109.4218.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)109.8113.0222.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)109.0103.0212.0+6.080%
vs Similar (17)109.9112.6222.5-2.835%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)117.9104.4222.2+13.5100%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
W
138-120
138
120
+18
136avg 103
H17/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
114-97
114
97
+17
111avg 103
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
123-115
123
115
+8
122avg 103
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
110-116
110
116
-6
94avg 103
H25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
105-118
105
118
-13
97avg 103
H29/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
121-123
121
123
-2
110avg 103
H30/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
107-111
107
111
-4
92avg 103
A01/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
100-110
100
110
-10
90avg 103
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
123-135
123
135
-12
109avg 103
H06/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
125-138
125
138
-13
112avg 103
A07/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
42-29
29-30
35-35
32-26
31-22
44-25
19-24
20-26
24-27
31-23
29-39
39-26
28-37
24-28
35-14
23-37
29-31
19-27
27-34
30-26
20-33
38-26
35-34
28-30
28-31
23-28
31-28
25-24
29-32
15-20
23-34
33-24
35-38
28-36
33-25
27-36
32-39
35-42
24-33
34-24
234.9Avg total
116.6Scored
118.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)114.2117.2231.4-3.037%
Season at home (30)115.5116.5232.0-0.947%
Season away (22)112.4118.3230.6-5.923%
Last 10 (10)116.6118.3234.9-1.730%
Last 5 (5)115.2123.4238.6-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)115.2118.7233.9-3.435%
vs Similar (6)124.8123.7248.5+1.233%
vs Weaker (4)109.8106.8216.5+3.075%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Phoenix SunsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A21/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A24/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H30/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A04/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H06/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H08/02
NBA
112.7Avg total
56.0Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.557.3115.8+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.954.6110.6+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)60.759.6120.3+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)56.056.7112.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)52.857.0109.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)58.855.4114.2+3.460%-
vs Similar (17)56.359.6115.9-3.335%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)62.953.6116.5+9.2100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H17/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
75-47
75
47
+28
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H29/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H30/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A01/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H06/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A07/02
NBA
118.8Avg total
58.4Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.660.4118.9-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.557.5116.1+1.053%-
Last 30 away (13)58.664.1122.7-5.523%-
Last 10 (10)58.460.4118.8-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)56.665.0121.6-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)57.961.4119.2-3.530%-
vs Similar (6)64.860.2125.0+4.767%-
vs Weaker (4)52.855.8108.5-3.050%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.825.2
51.6%
54.8%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.414.4
36.5%
35.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws19.215.4
80.2%
78.1%15.4
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 116.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.231.2
51.0%
54.8%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.6
37.3%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws27.019.4
71.9%
78.1%19.4
They take 92.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWLWWWLLW
Dallas Mavericks
LLLLLLLWWW
#16
League position
#24
-0.4
Net rating
-1.6
111.1
Offensive rating
111.4
111.5
Defensive rating
113.0
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.6%
Turnover %
11.5%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.5%
3-point %
37.3%
57.8%
Assist %
59.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 111.4Defence111.5 · 113.0Shooting53.1% · 52.7%3-point %36.5% · 37.3%Ball care13.6% · 11.5%Off. rebounds26.5% · 23.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Phoenix Suns wins
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HPhiladelphia 76ers103-109
06/02/26HGolden State Warriors97-101
04/02/26APortland Trail Blazers130-125
02/02/26HLos Angeles Clippers93-117
31/01/26HCleveland Cavaliers126-113
30/01/26HDetroit Pistons114-96
28/01/26HBrooklyn Nets106-102
26/01/26HMiami Heat102-111
24/01/26AAtlanta Hawks103-110
21/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers116-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ASan Antonio Spurs125-138
06/02/26HSan Antonio Spurs123-135
04/02/26HBoston Celtics100-110
01/02/26AHouston Rockets107-111
30/01/26HCharlotte Hornets121-123
29/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves105-118
25/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers110-116
23/01/26HGolden State Warriors123-115
19/01/26ANew York Knicks114-97
17/01/26HUtah Jazz138-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL60%
HomeWWLLL65%
AwayWWWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %60%65%54%
Points / game114.1113.4114.7
Allowed / game110.9107.8114.0
Point differential+3.2+5.6+0.8
Avg total224.9221.2228.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)60% (10)29% (7)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL37%
HomeLLLLL47%
AwayLLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523022
Win %37%47%23%
Points / game114.2115.5112.4
Allowed / game117.2116.5118.3
Point differential-3.0-0.9-5.9
Avg total231.4232.0230.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)56% (9)33% (6)
Overtime %8%10%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder52401277%119.8108.3+11.5
2 Detroit Pistons52391375%117.3109.6+7.8
3 San Antonio Spurs50341668%117.5112.2+5.3
4 Boston Celtics53341964%115.1108.4+6.7
5 Houston Rockets52331963%114.9109.7+5.2
6 Denver Nuggets54342063%120.3116.4+4.0
7 Los Angeles Lakers51321963%116.0115.6+0.4
8 New York Knicks52322062%117.4112.3+5.0
9 Cleveland Cavaliers54332161%119.6116.0+3.7
10 Toronto Raptors53322160%114.4112.2+2.2
11 Minnesota Timberwolves55332260%119.4114.9+4.6
12 Phoenix Suns52312160%114.1110.9+3.2
13 Philadelphia 76ers53302357%116.7115.5+1.2
14 Orlando Magic50272354%115.1115.0+0.0
15 Golden State Warriors54292554%115.6113.5+2.1
16 Miami Heat54282652%119.7117.3+2.4
17 Portland Trail Blazers54262848%116.1118.0-1.9
18 Atlanta Hawks55262947%117.5118.8-1.3
19 Los Angeles Clippers53252847%112.0112.5-0.5
20 Charlotte Hornets54252946%115.8113.9+1.9
21 Chicago Bulls54243044%117.0120.6-3.6
22 Milwaukee Bucks51213041%111.7115.8-4.0
23 Memphis Grizzlies52203238%115.2117.4-2.1
24 Dallas Mavericks52193337%114.2117.2-3.0
25 Utah Jazz54173731%118.2126.4-8.2
26 Brooklyn Nets52153729%107.6114.9-7.3
27 New Orleans Pelicans55154027%114.7120.4-5.7
28 Washington Wizards52143827%112.1122.8-10.7
29 Indiana Pacers54144026%111.1118.8-7.7
30 Sacramento Kings55124322%110.5120.6-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns36293124120
Dallas Mavericks16322736111
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