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Chemnitz vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-85
27-15 14-23 13-21 19-26
Position#14
Record10-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Position#5
Record19-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game83.1
GermanyBBLRound 28
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins
26 Dec 2023
CHE95
CME67
18 Nov 2022
CHE106
CME94
30 Dec 2021
CHE82
CME92
14 Apr 2021
CHE73
CME85
31 Mar 2018
CHE74
CME91
11 Feb 2017
CHE87
CME96
08 Feb 2014
CHE77
CME79
02 Nov 2012
CHE80
CME71
23 Mar 2012
CHE70
CME66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
60-96
60
96
-36
A09/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
77-93
77
93
-16
A14/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A21/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H24/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
92-98 OT
92
98
-6
H26/03
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A30/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A01/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A05/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A10/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
18-24
13-26
26-12
19-25
17-36
17-16
7-19
19-24
21-26
10-17
27-26
17-17
18-15
21-23
16-30
20-33
15-17
28-21
24-12
16-23
23-21
16-21
27-17
10-20
17-14
15-19
13-15
24-23
27-17
17-14
21-22
24-19
22-16
18-28
22-21
15-21
13-16
20-25
21-20
162.0Avg total
77.2Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.787.3167.0-7.637%
Season at home (12)84.687.8172.3-3.250%
Season away (15)75.886.9162.7-11.127%
Last 10 (10)77.284.8162.0-7.640%
Last 5 (5)78.281.6159.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.690.9169.6-12.329%
vs Similar (10)81.581.1162.6+0.450%
vs Weaker (3)105.399.0204.3+6.367%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#11
W
109-81
109
81
+28
A14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
62-100
62
100
-38
A28/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H03/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
78-97
78
97
-19
A05/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H14/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H21/03
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
102-77
102
77
+25
H27/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A04/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H07/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H09/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
22-20
30-29
31-16
8-24
17-25
16-26
21-25
21-28
20-18
19-21
24-27
14-28
27-24
19-22
18-23
14-18
26-8
15-14
13-18
15-16
20-15
20-27
19-21
22-22
26-20
29-9
25-26
22-21
22-21
15-21
25-29
25-16
15-31
20-16
31-25
20-21
20-27
16-19
21-15
167.7Avg total
82.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.983.1170.0+3.768%
Season at home (15)84.380.1164.3+4.273%
Season away (13)89.886.7176.5+3.262%
Last 10 (10)82.984.8167.7-1.940%
Last 5 (5)85.683.6169.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.985.7162.6-8.943%
vs Similar (7)84.788.1172.9-3.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.379.2169.6+11.181%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
ChemnitzCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
36-61
36
61
-25
A09/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A14/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A21/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H24/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H26/03
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A30/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A05/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A10/04
BBL
81.1Avg total
38.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.043.082.0-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.543.784.2-3.231%-
Last 30 away (17)37.942.480.3-4.541%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.881.1-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.076.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.444.481.7-7.029%-
vs Similar (10)40.339.379.6+1.050%-
vs Weaker (3)44.347.391.7-3.033%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A28/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H03/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A05/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H21/03
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H07/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H09/04
BBL
82.1Avg total
40.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.082.5+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.038.879.8+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)44.141.485.5+2.857%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.982.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.083.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.140.777.9-3.643%-
vs Similar (7)41.343.785.0-2.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.338.183.4+7.269%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.8
50.8%
54.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.4
36.2%
37.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.611.2
67.5%
78.0%11.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.516.7
51.4%
54.2%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.2
36.0%
37.1%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.215.1
78.6%
78.0%15.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LWWLLWLLLW
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLWLWLLLW
#14
League position
#5
-10.0
Net rating
-2.0
105.1
Offensive rating
109.6
115.1
Defensive rating
111.6
52.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
21.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.2%
3-point %
36.0%
60.7%
Assist %
67.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 109.6Defence115.1 · 111.6Shooting52.4% · 52.7%3-point %36.2% · 36.0%Ball care21.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds34.4% · 28.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Chemnitz wins
8
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/21AVechta69-82
05/04/21ASyntainics MBC86-84
01/04/21AFrankfurt89-76
30/03/21AGottingen55-68
26/03/21HOldenburg92-98 OT
24/03/21HBasketball Braunschweig87-83
21/03/21ABayreuth72-85
14/03/21ABasketball Braunschweig77-93
09/03/21ALudwigsburg60-96
14/02/21HBayern85-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/21HSyntainics MBC77-82
07/04/21HBonn91-88
04/04/21AFrankfurt84-92
27/03/21HGiessen102-77
21/03/21HBayern74-79
14/03/21HLudwigsburg68-58
05/03/21ABayreuth78-97
03/03/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg84-94
28/02/21AAlba Berlin62-100
14/02/21AGottingen109-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL37%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayLLWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %37%50%27%
Points / game79.784.675.8
Allowed / game87.387.886.9
Point differential-7.6-3.2-11.1
Avg total167.0172.3162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL68%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayWWLLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %68%73%62%
Points / game86.984.389.8
Allowed / game83.180.186.7
Point differential+3.7+4.2+3.2
Avg total170.0164.3176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%40%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg2826293%88.676.8+11.9
2 Alba Berlin2823582%85.975.6+10.3
3 Oldenburg2721678%94.884.4+10.4
4 Bayern3023777%87.878.1+9.8
5 Crailsheim Merlins2819968%86.983.1+3.7
6 Hamburg2718967%84.378.0+6.3
7 Ulm29181162%87.778.6+9.0
8 Bamberg26141254%83.480.9+2.5
9 Gottingen29121741%83.389.3-6.0
10 Frankfurt27111641%77.382.4-5.1
11 Bayreuth29111838%83.986.0-2.1
12 Chemnitz27101737%79.787.3-7.6
13 Basketball Braunschweig28101836%83.288.9-5.6
14 Bonn29101934%82.685.5-2.9
15 s.Oliver Wurzburg2781930%77.887.0-9.2
16 Syntainics MBC3082227%83.790.4-6.7
17 Giessen2962321%84.794.7-10.0
18 Vechta2852318%79.287.6-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2714131973
Crailsheim Merlins1523212685
← all games of the day
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