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Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-79
15-16 20-15 20-27 19-21
Position#5
Record17-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#4
Record19-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game78.2
GermanyBBLRound 24
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern
22 Oct 2023
CME62
BAY97
23 Apr 2023
CME69
BAY78
26 Dec 2021
CME77
BAY68
25 May 2021
CME72
BAY86
23 May 2021
CME96
BAY82
21 Mar 2021
CME74
BAY79
26 Oct 2020
CME63
BAY80
08 Jun 2020
CME79
BAY110
15 Apr 2020
CME v BAY
upcoming
04 Nov 2018
CME71
BAY96
22 Apr 2016
CME78
BAY89
23 Nov 2014
CME66
BAY103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bonn
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 81
A24/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
105-103 OT
105
103
+2
no box
A31/01
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
101-82
101
82
+19
96avg 81
A06/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
77-101
77
101
-24
70avg 81
H09/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
71avg 81
H12/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
109-81
109
81
+28
111avg 81
A14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
62-100
62
100
-38
44avg 81
A28/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
84-94
84
94
-10
81avg 81
H03/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
78-97
78
97
-19
73avg 81
A05/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
68-58
68
58
+10
62avg 81
H14/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
26-17
21-27
30-27
21-22
23-24
21-26
27-20
29-17
32-13
21-23
19-29
19-28
25-24
24-26
9-23
14-22
31-14
15-13
15-20
26-16
22-20
30-29
31-16
8-24
17-25
16-26
21-25
21-28
20-18
19-21
24-27
14-28
27-24
19-22
18-23
14-18
26-8
15-14
13-18
172.1Avg total
85.2Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.183.0170.2+4.174%
Season at home (11)83.679.5163.2+4.182%
Season away (12)90.386.2176.6+4.167%
Last 10 (10)85.286.9172.1-1.760%
Last 5 (5)80.286.0166.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.489.1166.6-11.733%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.790.8175.4-6.144%
vs Weaker (12)90.977.4168.3+13.592%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
72-70
72
70
+2
69avg 77
H25/02
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
97-76
97
76
+21
86avg 77
H28/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
78-76
78
76
+2
70avg 77
A02/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
76-71
76
71
+5
66avg 77
H04/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
84avg 77
A07/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
71avg 77
A12/03
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
W
108-102
108
102
+6
106avg 77
H14/03
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
70avg 77
H16/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
74avg 77
H19/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
19-17
14-20
21-12
27-25
18-15
27-15
25-21
15-10
16-25
19-22
28-19
14-21
23-15
20-19
19-16
22-26
25-18
26-15
20-19
18-12
25-20
21-26
30-21
15-17
18-16
12-27
26-18
18-20
28-22
23-32
39-28
14-19
20-31
20-10
24-9
18-23
19-23
22-17
21-16
162.5Avg total
84.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.578.2166.7+10.383%
Season at home (12)90.276.5166.7+13.792%
Season away (11)86.780.0166.7+6.773%
Last 10 (10)84.777.8162.5+6.990%
Last 5 (5)86.281.4167.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.876.8154.5+1.075%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.382.1164.4+0.258%
vs Weaker (14)86.277.9164.1+8.386%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +7.4+7.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +7.4+7.4
Crailsheim MerlinsBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#13
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A24/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A31/01
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
61-30
61
30
+31
A06/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H09/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H12/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A28/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H03/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A05/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/03
BBL
83.4Avg total
43.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.383.6+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.039.979.9+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)44.742.787.4+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.383.4+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.880.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.643.181.7-4.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.146.887.9-5.733%-
vs Weaker (12)46.135.881.9+10.275%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H25/02
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A02/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A07/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#10
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A12/03
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H14/03
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H16/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H19/03
Euroleague
78.6Avg total
39.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.079.4-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.139.980.0+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.178.9-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.678.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.679.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.042.281.2-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.440.379.8-0.950%-
vs Weaker (14)39.639.178.6+0.550%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.8
52.7%
54.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.6
36.9%
37.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.214.5
75.5%
78.0%14.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.4
53.3%
54.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.98.2
39.2%
37.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.114.9
82.3%
78.0%14.9
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
WLLLWWLWWW
Bayern
WWWLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#4
-1.6
Net rating
+10.5
103.5
Offensive rating
117.9
105.2
Defensive rating
107.4
53.9%
Effective FG%
55.2%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
19.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.9%
3-point %
39.2%
60.2%
Assist %
58.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 117.9Defence105.2 · 107.4Shooting53.9% · 55.2%3-point %36.9% · 39.2%Ball care19.5% · 16.1%Off. rebounds26.5% · 33.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Crailsheim Merlins wins
9
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21HLudwigsburg68-58
05/03/21ABayreuth78-97
03/03/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg84-94
28/02/21AAlba Berlin62-100
14/02/21AGottingen109-81
12/02/21HBasketball Braunschweig75-69
09/02/21HAlba Berlin77-101
06/02/21AGiessen101-82
31/01/21ABayern105-103 OT
24/01/21ABonn93-84
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/21HAnadolu Efes80-79
16/03/21HBonn78-69
14/03/21HOldenburg108-102
12/03/21ABaskonia71-78
09/03/21ABasketball Braunschweig94-79
07/03/21AVechta93-78
04/03/21HPanathinaikos76-71
02/03/21ACrvena zvezda78-76
28/02/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg97-76
25/02/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv72-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW74%
HomeWLWLW82%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%82%67%
Points / game87.183.690.3
Allowed / game83.079.586.2
Point differential+4.1+4.1+4.1
Avg total170.2163.2176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%45%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Bayern
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %83%92%73%
Points / game88.590.286.7
Allowed / game78.276.580.0
Point differential+10.3+13.7+6.7
Avg total166.7166.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg2321291%87.576.5+11.0
2 Alba Berlin2320387%86.473.9+12.5
3 Bayern2319483%88.578.2+10.3
4 Oldenburg2418675%93.384.7+8.6
5 Crailsheim Merlins2317674%87.183.0+4.1
6 Hamburg2213959%84.378.7+5.6
7 Ulm24141058%86.779.1+7.6
8 Bamberg23121152%83.481.1+2.3
9 Bayreuth24101442%83.585.0-1.5
10 Frankfurt24101442%77.182.2-5.0
11 Basketball Braunschweig2281436%84.689.0-4.4
12 s.Oliver Wurzburg2281436%79.785.7-6.0
13 Bonn2381535%82.584.7-2.2
14 Gottingen2381535%82.191.7-9.6
15 Chemnitz2171433%79.788.9-9.1
16 Syntainics MBC2471729%84.990.8-5.9
17 Vechta2442017%79.087.5-8.4
18 Giessen2442017%83.894.2-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1520201974
Bayern1615272179
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