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Alba Berlin vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 100-62
24-8 25-17 26-16 25-21
Position#1
Record15-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#5
Record16-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game82.2
GermanyBBLRound 21
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Crailsheim Merlins
02 Oct 2023
ABE110
CME75
28 Jan 2023
ABE100
CME77
13 Feb 2022
ABE106
CME74
28 Feb 2021
ABE100
CME62
27 Jan 2020
ABE98
CME82
12 Oct 2018
ABE115
CME76
16 Apr 2016
ABE90
CME68
24 Apr 2015
ABE92
CME71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H29/01
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H31/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A02/02
BBL
Bayern
#5
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
A05/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H07/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
101-77
101
77
+24
A09/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H12/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A14/02
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A19/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H26/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
16-18
17-19
16-13
17-26
26-18
21-15
22-11
26-18
15-17
27-16
18-24
26-10
17-23
23-25
21-29
17-6
17-21
26-22
23-16
28-19
24-25
26-24
23-9
21-20
26-18
21-14
12-16
20-20
18-16
15-17
14-23
22-24
20-21
18-22
24-22
11-17
17-17
22-19
24-12
157.7Avg total
81.9Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.974.8159.7+10.188%
Season at home (10)87.673.5161.1+14.1100%
Season away (7)81.076.7157.7+4.371%
Last 10 (10)81.975.8157.7+6.160%
Last 5 (5)81.275.0156.2+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.683.9160.5-7.225%
vs Similar (9)79.379.2158.6+0.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.972.9158.8+13.092%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H29/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A10/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H16/01
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
A24/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
105-103 OT
105
103
+2
A31/01
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
101-82
101
82
+19
A06/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
77-101
77
101
-24
H09/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H12/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
109-81
109
81
+28
A14/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
22-17
26-36
19-15
22-18
21-21
24-21
19-20
15-26
20-27
13-18
24-18
17-19
19-16
27-21
19-21
16-13
26-17
21-27
30-27
21-22
23-24
21-26
27-20
29-17
32-13
21-23
19-29
19-28
25-24
24-26
9-23
14-22
31-14
15-13
15-20
26-16
22-20
30-29
31-16
173.6Avg total
88.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.182.2172.3+7.984%
Season at home (9)85.380.3165.7+5.089%
Season away (10)94.483.8178.2+10.680%
Last 10 (10)88.685.0173.6+3.680%
Last 5 (5)93.487.2180.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.290.8173.0-8.538%
vs Similar (9)86.989.0175.9-2.156%
vs Weaker (13)90.578.1168.6+12.592%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
Alba BerlinCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H29/01
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H31/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/02
BBL
Bayern
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A05/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H07/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A09/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H12/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A14/02
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A19/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H26/02
Euroleague
77.4Avg total
39.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.078.4+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.137.177.2+3.171%-
Last 30 away (13)40.839.279.9+1.662%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.677.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.480.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.640.579.1-1.950%-
vs Similar (9)36.736.473.1+0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.137.581.5+6.692%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H29/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A10/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/01
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A24/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A31/01
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
61-30
61
30
+31
A06/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H09/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H12/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/02
BBL
82.9Avg total
43.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.885.3+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.841.181.9-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)46.142.688.7+3.547%-
Last 10 (10)43.939.082.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)48.440.088.4+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.645.085.6-4.425%-
vs Similar (9)42.145.887.9-3.744%-
vs Weaker (13)46.137.283.2+8.969%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.316.7
47.3%
54.2%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.3
36.1%
37.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws12.811.2
87.5%
78.0%11.2
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.3
54.4%
54.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.911.0
40.9%
37.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.415.3
75.0%
78.0%15.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLWWWLWWL
Crailsheim Merlins
WWLWWWWLWW
#1
League position
#5
+9.2
Net rating
+6.4
104.5
Offensive rating
110.9
95.3
Defensive rating
104.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
57.4%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.7%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.1%
3-point %
40.9%
57.5%
Assist %
53.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 110.9Defence95.3 · 104.5Shooting50.5% · 57.4%3-point %36.1% · 40.9%Ball care17.9% · 19.7%Off. rebounds32.2% · 32.6%Free throws0.19 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alba Berlin wins
1
Crailsheim Merlins wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/21HPanathinaikos74-65
19/02/21AFenerbahce84-89
14/02/21ABamberg67-76
12/02/21HBayreuth80-68
09/02/21ACrailsheim Merlins101-77
07/02/21HChemnitz83-65
05/02/21ABayern95-101 OT
02/02/21AGottingen86-75
31/01/21HVechta86-70
29/01/21HReal Madrid63-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/21AGottingen109-81
12/02/21HBasketball Braunschweig75-69
09/02/21HAlba Berlin77-101
06/02/21AGiessen101-82
31/01/21ABayern105-103 OT
24/01/21ABonn93-84
16/01/21HBayreuth82-77
10/01/21AHamburg72-89
03/01/21As.Oliver Wurzburg86-80
29/12/20HUlm86-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %88%100%71%
Points / game84.987.681.0
Allowed / game74.873.576.7
Point differential+10.1+14.1+4.3
Avg total159.7161.1157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW84%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %84%89%80%
Points / game90.185.394.4
Allowed / game82.280.383.8
Point differential+7.9+5.0+10.6
Avg total172.3165.7178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1918195%88.377.2+11.1
2 Alba Berlin1715288%84.974.8+10.1
3 Crailsheim Merlins1916384%90.182.2+7.9
4 Bayern1915479%87.577.4+10.2
5 Oldenburg1915479%92.683.5+9.2
6 Ulm2013765%88.178.2+9.9
7 Hamburg1810856%84.278.9+5.3
8 Bamberg21101148%82.580.7+1.9
9 Basketball Braunschweig156940%84.889.0-4.2
10 Bonn1871139%82.284.2-2.0
11 Chemnitz1871139%81.488.4-7.1
12 Frankfurt2071335%76.681.8-5.2
13 s.Oliver Wurzburg1861233%79.886.3-6.4
14 Gottingen1961332%80.991.4-10.5
15 Bayreuth2061430%82.086.9-4.8
16 Syntainics MBC1851328%83.990.6-6.7
17 Giessen2041620%85.295.5-10.4
18 Vechta2031715%79.087.2-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin24252625100
Crailsheim Merlins817162162
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