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Oldenburg vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 104-94
34-21 27-30 20-22 23-21
Position#9
Record15-16
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#7
Record18-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game84.5
GermanyBBLRound 34· Gro
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Oldenburg v Chemnitz
14 Mar 2027
OLD v CHE
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
OLD89
CHE72
11 May 2025
OLD104
CHE94
03 Dec 2023
OLD58
CHE79
03 Jan 2023
OLD83
CHE81
13 Mar 2022
OLD92
CHE87
04 Dec 2020
OLD119
CHE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oldenburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#13
W
99-81
99
81
+18
104avg 83
H15/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
79-66
79
66
+13
75avg 83
A22/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
95-97
95
97
-2
93avg 83
H29/03
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
76-81
76
81
-5
65avg 83
A06/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
L
72-83
72
83
-11
60avg 83
A09/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
83-94
83
94
-11
79avg 83
H13/04
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
92-119
92
119
-27
87avg 83
A21/04
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
92-79
92
79
+13
91avg 83
H26/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
96-93
96
93
+3
91avg 83
A01/05
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
91-75
91
75
+16
91avg 83
H03/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
23-31
17-24
34-9
19-9
23-27
13-9
24-21
23-23
23-24
24-27
25-23
15-19
16-26
14-19
31-17
15-20
19-30
21-17
17-16
20-16
22-38
21-21
20-19
24-25
17-25
18-37
33-32
25-21
20-17
25-18
22-23
13-29
33-17
18-24
32-23
16-20
30-18
27-16
18-21
174.3Avg total
87.5Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)88.888.7177.6+0.148%
Season at home (15)92.983.1176.0+9.980%
Season away (16)85.094.1179.1-9.119%
Last 10 (10)87.586.8174.3+0.750%
Last 5 (5)90.892.0182.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.092.0180.0-4.040%
vs Similar ◀ (20)87.987.1175.0+0.845%
vs Weaker (5)92.089.4181.4+2.660%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
90-83
90
83
+7
82avg 73
A16/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 73
A30/03
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
87-117
87
117
-30
81avg 73
A06/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
99-98 OT
99
98
+1
94avg 73
H13/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
60avg 73
A16/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
95-97
95
97
-2
86avg 73
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
81-103
81
103
-22
71avg 73
H27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
102avg 73
H01/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
108-102 OT
108
102
+6
98avg 73
H04/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
93-88
93
88
+5
87avg 73
A07/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
21-22
22-21
28-26
17-14
18-21
10-14
25-16
8-34
28-22
24-26
27-35
25-25
25-22
22-20
15-20
22-23
28-19
9-15
7-24
32-17
20-32
20-29
23-19
23-27
4-35
28-21
26-20
19-21
13-25
26-25
32-19
18-21
29-25
23-16
24-32
12-29
23-21
24-22
34-16
182.7Avg total
89.3Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.484.5166.9-2.258%
Season at home (16)86.386.8173.1-0.469%
Season away (15)78.182.2160.3-4.147%
Last 10 (10)89.393.4182.7-4.160%
Last 5 (5)96.298.0194.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.589.2169.7-8.823%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.685.2167.9-2.657%
vs Weaker (3)83.073.7156.7+9.3100%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
OldenburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#13
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H15/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A22/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H29/03
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A06/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A09/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H13/04
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A21/04
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H26/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A01/05
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/05
BBL
87.3Avg total
42.1Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.785.3-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.939.983.8+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.547.186.6-7.619%-
Last 10 (10)42.145.287.3-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)44.045.289.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.043.084.0-2.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.943.285.2-1.445%-
vs Weaker (5)40.846.287.0-5.440%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A16/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A30/03
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A06/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H13/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A16/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
27-62
27
62
-35
H27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H01/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H04/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A07/05
BBL
87.3Avg total
40.4Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.142.581.6-3.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.942.080.9-3.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.443.082.4-3.643%-
Last 10 (10)40.446.987.3-6.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.650.689.2-12.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.243.079.2-6.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.143.184.3-2.064%-
vs Weaker (3)42.337.079.3+5.333%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.3
53.5%
52.3%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.6
31.8%
33.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.619.3
78.5%
73.5%19.3
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.4
55.4%
52.3%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.8
35.2%
33.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws24.117.1
71.0%
73.5%17.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oldenburg
WWWLLLLLWW
Chemnitz
WWWLLLWLWW
#9
League position
#7
+1.1
Net rating
-5.3
110.0
Offensive rating
108.5
108.9
Defensive rating
113.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
54.2%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
21.6%
Turnover %
18.6%
39.1%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.8%
3-point %
35.2%
65.6%
Assist %
64.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 108.5Defence108.9 · 113.7Shooting51.4% · 54.2%3-point %31.8% · 35.2%Ball care21.6% · 18.6%Off. rebounds39.1% · 28.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Oldenburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Oldenburg wins
4
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Chemnitz v Oldenburg87-78
10/02/24Chemnitz v Oldenburg87-69
03/12/23Oldenburg v Chemnitz58-79
15/04/23Chemnitz v Oldenburg89-91
03/01/23Oldenburg v Chemnitz83-81
13/03/22Oldenburg v Chemnitz92-87
25/09/21Chemnitz v Oldenburg79-78
26/03/21Chemnitz v Oldenburg92-98 OT
04/12/20Oldenburg v Chemnitz119-73
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HVechta91-75
01/05/25AGottingen96-93
26/04/25HRostock92-79
21/04/25AUlm92-119
13/04/25HBayern83-94
09/04/25AFrankfurt72-83
06/04/25ABonn76-81
29/03/25HSyntainics MBC95-97
22/03/25ALudwigsburg79-66
15/03/25HHamburg99-81
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/25AHamburg93-88
04/05/25HRostock108-102 OT
01/05/25HLudwigsburg104-100 OT
27/04/25HAlba Berlin81-103
19/04/25ASyntainics MBC95-97
16/04/25AHeidelberg66-81
13/04/25HBamberg99-98 OT
06/04/25AUlm87-117
30/03/25AFrankfurt70-65
16/03/25AWurzburg90-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oldenburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeWLLWW80%
AwayWLLLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %48%80%19%
Points / game88.892.985.0
Allowed / game88.783.194.1
Point differential+0.1+9.9-9.1
Avg total177.6176.0179.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%60%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeLWLWW69%
AwayWLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %58%69%47%
Points / game82.486.378.1
Allowed / game84.586.882.2
Point differential-2.2-0.4-4.1
Avg total166.9173.1160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)75% (4)62% (8)
Overtime %10%19%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3123874%83.576.4+7.1
2 Ulm3122971%88.880.5+8.3
3 Basketball Braunschweig31191261%84.081.1+2.9
4 Wurzburg31181358%83.480.5+2.9
5 Chemnitz31181358%82.484.5-2.2
6 Alba Berlin32181456%87.079.8+7.2
7 Heidelberg31171455%80.181.0-0.9
8 Ludwigsburg31161552%76.474.6+1.7
9 Rostock31161552%81.380.9+0.4
10 Syntainics MBC31161552%84.685.1-0.5
11 Vechta31161552%80.181.5-1.5
12 Oldenburg31151648%88.888.7+0.1
13 Hamburg31151648%81.783.6-1.9
14 Bonn31141745%83.983.8+0.1
15 Bamberg31112035%83.786.5-2.8
16 Frankfurt3182326%75.682.5-6.9
17 Gottingen312296%80.895.2-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oldenburg34272023104
Chemnitz2130222194
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