PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lietkabelis vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 100-76
27-13 30-13 21-28 22-22
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game83.0
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Nevezis
27 Apr 2027
LIE v NEV
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
LIE v NEV
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
LIE105
NEV72
28 Sep 2025
LIE100
NEV76
22 Apr 2025
LIE71
NEV79
19 Jan 2025
LIE77
NEV67
01 Dec 2024
LIE93
NEV82
06 May 2024
LIE92
NEV93
30 Sep 2023
LIE100
NEV79
14 Feb 2023
LIE111
NEV108
07 Nov 2021
LIE60
NEV67
01 Feb 2020
LIE85
NEV69
17 Nov 2019
LIE75
NEV51
14 Apr 2019
LIE101
NEV60
03 Nov 2018
LIE87
NEV66
10 Feb 2018
LIE82
NEV72
15 Oct 2017
LIE83
NEV69
19 Mar 2017
LIE100
NEV69
25 Sep 2016
LIE85
NEV81
09 Mar 2016
LIE64
NEV59
24 Jan 2016
LIE76
NEV66
23 Dec 2015
LIE96
NEV75
14 Oct 2015
LIE78
NEV71
27 Feb 2015
LIE88
NEV71
28 Nov 2014
LIE97
NEV67
18 Mar 2014
LIE96
NEV69
30 Nov 2013
LIE77
NEV82
15 Oct 2013
LIE71
NEV100
04 Oct 2012
LIE76
NEV62
07 Jan 2012
LIE100
NEV58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
69avg 78
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-87
86
87
-1
76avg 78
A04/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 78
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
70-94
70
94
-24
57avg 78
A08/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
83avg 78
H11/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
104-85
104
85
+19
106avg 78
A13/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 78
H16/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 78
A18/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
84-96
84
96
-12
80avg 78
H20/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
105avg 78
H23/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
18-21
16-21
19-19
14-20
22-20
23-15
27-32
23-20
20-18
20-15
24-23
17-24
16-27
26-24
11-19
22-23
21-17
22-19
18-31
17-21
27-21
28-20
32-23
16-18
23-25
24-13
29-22
15-22
16-15
31-19
19-17
21-26
18-18
22-29
23-23
21-13
31-17
21-21
28-23
169.0Avg total
86.4Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.585.0177.5+7.550%
Season at home (2)92.585.0177.5+7.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.482.6169.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)92.481.2173.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.983.6162.4-4.733%
vs Similar (5)81.484.8166.2-3.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.479.1168.5+10.488%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
80-102
80
102
-22
66avg 82
H26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
88-105
88
105
-17
78avg 82
A29/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
90-96
90
96
-6
82avg 82
A04/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
106-107
106
107
-1
103avg 82
H07/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-80
109
80
+29
109avg 82
H11/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
91-101
91
101
-10
86avg 82
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
92-104
92
104
-12
85avg 82
H17/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
101-105
101
105
-4
85avg 82
H21/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
64-82
64
82
-18
47avg 82
H21/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
90-84
90
84
+6
75avg 82
A25/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
19-17
22-30
17-33
18-24
30-27
23-29
17-25
20-27
18-20
26-21
26-28
26-20
27-29
25-23
28-35
28-25
29-15
25-18
27-22
22-29
24-29
22-22
23-21
29-36
17-17
23-26
23-25
28-24
20-23
28-29
25-29
21-23
14-27
16-17
13-15
29-20
25-22
15-23
21-19
187.7Avg total
91.1Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.083.0160.0-6.050%
Season at home (1)64.082.0146.0-18.00%
Season away (1)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.196.6187.7-5.520%
Last 5 (5)87.695.2182.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)84.592.0176.5-7.512%
vs Similar (14)92.689.4182.0+3.350%
vs Weaker (8)97.189.2186.4+7.950%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
LietkabelisNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A04/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A08/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A13/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A18/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H23/09
LKL
79.9Avg total
40.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.983.5+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.738.081.7+5.762%-
Last 30 away (14)41.444.185.6-2.736%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.879.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.280.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.340.279.6-0.944%-
vs Similar (5)43.041.884.8+1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.440.985.3+3.456%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A29/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A04/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H07/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H11/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H17/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H21/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H21/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A25/09
LKL
94.2Avg total
46.6Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.545.791.2-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.243.488.6+1.867%-
Last 30 away (18)45.847.292.9-1.439%-
Last 10 (10)46.647.694.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.850.095.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)45.047.192.1-2.138%-
vs Similar (14)44.645.389.9-0.650%-
vs Weaker (8)47.644.992.5+2.862%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.3
55.0%
55.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.1
36.5%
35.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.7
76.0%
74.3%17.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.8
52.1%
55.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.8
33.9%
35.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws26.921.3
79.2%
74.3%21.3
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLWWWLLWLW
Nevezis
WLLLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#9
+5.6
Net rating
-6.7
113.2
Offensive rating
113.9
107.6
Defensive rating
120.6
54.9%
Effective FG%
51.6%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.5%
3-point %
33.9%
70.4%
Assist %
62.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 113.9Defence107.6 · 120.6Shooting54.9% · 51.6%3-point %36.5% · 33.9%Ball care18.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.2% · 33.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lietkabelis wins
5
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
22/04/25Lietkabelis v Nevezis71-79
15/04/25Nevezis v Lietkabelis97-82
19/01/25Lietkabelis v Nevezis77-67
23/12/24Nevezis v Lietkabelis79-78
01/12/24Lietkabelis v Nevezis93-82
05/10/24Nevezis v Lietkabelis78-85
06/05/24Lietkabelis v Nevezis92-93
17/12/23Nevezis v Lietkabelis106-94
30/09/23Lietkabelis v Nevezis100-79
19/03/23Nevezis v Lietkabelis77-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/25HJonava101-74
20/09/25HNeptunas84-96
18/06/25AJonava81-73
16/06/25HJonava92-78
13/06/25AJonava104-85
11/06/25HJonava83-90
08/06/25ARytas70-94
06/06/25HRytas87-76
04/06/25ARytas86-87
01/06/25HRytas76-73
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/25AJuventus90-84
21/09/25HRytas64-82
21/05/25HRytas101-105
17/05/25HSiauliai92-104
14/05/25AJuventus91-101
11/05/25HMazeikiai109-80
07/05/25HBC Wolves106-107
04/05/25ANeptunas90-96
29/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas88-105
26/04/25HJonava80-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game92.592.5-
Allowed / game85.085.0-
Point differential+7.5+7.5-
Avg total177.5177.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Nevezis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game77.064.090.0
Allowed / game83.082.084.0
Point differential-6.0-18.0+6.0
Avg total160.0146.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas330100%91.074.0+17.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%88.073.7+14.3
3 Siauliai32167%86.085.3+0.7
4 Lietkabelis21150%92.585.0+7.5
5 Neptunas21150%83.584.0-0.5
6 Nevezis21150%77.083.0-6.0
7 Juventus2020%84.591.0-6.5
8 Gargzdai2020%79.096.0-17.0
9 Jonava3030%76.793.7-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis27302122100
Nevezis1313282276
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.