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Hamburg vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 88-93
29-12 21-23 22-24 16-34
Position#13
Record15-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#7
Record17-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game84.4
GermanyBBLRound 33· Edel-optics.de Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Hamburg v Chemnitz
25 Sep 2026
HAM94
CHE90
31 Jan 2026
HAM86
CHE69
07 May 2025
HAM88
CHE93
04 May 2024
HAM79
CHE85
11 Dec 2022
HAM81
CHE104
29 Sep 2021
HAM82
CHE90
27 Dec 2020
HAM75
CHE95
28 Apr 2019
HAM98
CHE96
23 Apr 2019
HAM81
CHE78
23 Mar 2019
HAM77
CHE80
14 Oct 2017
HAM80
CHE72
19 Nov 2016
HAM63
CHE79
31 Oct 2015
HAM67
CHE60
07 Dec 2014
HAM88
CHE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
W
78-77
78
77
+1
63avg 72
H08/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
81-99
81
99
-18
67avg 72
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 72
H22/03
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
96-93
96
93
+3
88avg 72
A29/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 72
H05/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
92-75
92
75
+17
92avg 72
A09/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
66avg 72
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
78-89
78
89
-11
78avg 72
A26/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
93-114
93
114
-21
83avg 72
H30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 72
A03/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
15-28
22-12
22-24
17-25
31-23
24-17
9-34
19-12
29-14
21-27
17-20
32-27
15-18
24-31
25-17
18-22
23-22
21-18
26-19
20-18
27-23
23-12
22-22
17-17
13-15
24-10
20-28
25-27
19-27
23-20
11-15
30-28
19-31
27-26
17-29
19-27
18-30
22-21
22-24
172.0Avg total
84.7Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.583.3164.8-1.850%
Season at home (14)83.681.6165.3+2.071%
Season away (16)79.684.8164.3-5.231%
Last 10 (10)84.787.3172.0-2.660%
Last 5 (5)83.690.0173.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.184.3162.4-6.230%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.283.9165.1-2.759%
vs Weaker (3)89.078.3167.3+10.7100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#17
W
94-90
94
90
+4
67avg 73
A08/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
90-83
90
83
+7
82avg 73
A16/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 73
A30/03
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
87-117
87
117
-30
81avg 73
A06/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
99-98 OT
99
98
+1
94avg 73
H13/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
60avg 73
A16/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
95-97
95
97
-2
86avg 73
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
81-103
81
103
-22
71avg 73
H27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
102avg 73
H01/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
108-102 OT
108
102
+6
98avg 73
H04/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
26-29
16-24
34-17
19-14
21-22
22-21
28-26
17-14
18-21
10-14
25-16
8-34
28-22
24-26
27-35
25-25
25-22
22-20
15-20
22-23
28-19
9-15
7-24
32-17
20-32
20-29
23-19
23-27
4-35
28-21
26-20
19-21
13-25
26-25
32-19
18-21
29-25
23-16
24-32
183.0Avg total
89.4Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.084.4166.4-2.457%
Season at home (16)86.386.8173.1-0.469%
Season away (14)77.181.8158.9-4.743%
Last 10 (10)89.493.6183.0-4.260%
Last 5 (5)90.896.6187.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.589.2169.7-8.823%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.885.0166.8-3.254%
vs Weaker (4)86.277.2163.5+9.0100%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
HamburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H08/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H22/03
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A29/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H05/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A03/05
BBL
87.2Avg total
42.5Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.343.282.4-3.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.542.883.3-2.320%-
Last 30 away (15)38.043.581.5-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.787.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.448.690.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.745.383.0-7.610%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.543.082.5-3.524%-
vs Weaker (3)43.037.080.0+6.067%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#17
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A08/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A16/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A30/03
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A06/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H13/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A16/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
27-62
27
62
-35
H27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H01/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H04/05
BBL
88.1Avg total
41.3Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.281.8-2.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.541.981.5-2.453%-
Last 30 away (13)39.742.582.2-2.846%-
Last 10 (10)41.346.888.1-5.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.649.090.6-7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.243.079.2-6.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.642.684.2-1.069%-
vs Weaker (4)44.038.082.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.2
54.7%
52.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.6
36.6%
33.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.315.7
67.4%
73.5%15.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.6
52.8%
52.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.4
36.7%
33.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws23.616.8
71.2%
73.5%16.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLLWWWWWLW
Chemnitz
WWLLLWLWWW
#13
League position
#7
-3.3
Net rating
-5.7
109.8
Offensive rating
109.1
113.1
Defensive rating
114.8
54.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.6%
3-point %
36.7%
59.4%
Assist %
66.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 109.1Defence113.1 · 114.8Shooting54.7% · 53.8%3-point %36.6% · 36.7%Ball care18.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.3% · 29.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Hamburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hamburg wins
8
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
17/01/25Chemnitz v Hamburg69-60
04/05/24Hamburg v Chemnitz79-85
24/11/23Chemnitz v Hamburg96-87
29/04/23Chemnitz v Hamburg87-80
11/12/22Hamburg v Chemnitz81-104
24/03/22Chemnitz v Hamburg85-89
29/09/21Hamburg v Chemnitz82-90
19/04/21Chemnitz v Hamburg98-97
27/12/20Hamburg v Chemnitz75-95
30/04/19Chemnitz v Hamburg72-78
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ASyntainics MBC81-102
30/04/25HBamberg93-114
26/04/25ALudwigsburg78-89
20/04/25HBayern74-70
09/04/25AGottingen92-75
05/04/25HHeidelberg88-81
29/03/25ABonn96-93
22/03/25HVechta86-73
15/03/25AOldenburg81-99
08/03/25HRostock78-77
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HRostock108-102 OT
01/05/25HLudwigsburg104-100 OT
27/04/25HAlba Berlin81-103
19/04/25ASyntainics MBC95-97
16/04/25AHeidelberg66-81
13/04/25HBamberg99-98 OT
06/04/25AUlm87-117
30/03/25AFrankfurt70-65
16/03/25AWurzburg90-83
08/03/25AGottingen94-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %50%71%31%
Points / game81.583.679.6
Allowed / game83.381.684.8
Point differential-1.8+2.0-5.2
Avg total164.8165.3164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeLWLWW69%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %57%69%43%
Points / game82.086.377.1
Allowed / game84.486.881.8
Point differential-2.4-0.4-4.7
Avg total166.4173.1158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)75% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %10%19%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3022873%83.276.1+7.2
2 Ulm3021970%88.780.7+8.0
3 Wurzburg30181260%83.379.7+3.6
4 Basketball Braunschweig30181260%84.682.2+2.4
5 Chemnitz30171357%82.084.4-2.4
6 Alba Berlin31171455%86.680.1+6.5
7 Rostock30161453%82.481.4+1.0
8 Syntainics MBC30161453%84.985.1-0.2
9 Heidelberg30161453%79.480.9-1.5
10 Vechta31161552%80.181.5-1.5
11 Ludwigsburg30151550%76.174.6+1.5
12 Hamburg30151550%81.583.3-1.8
13 Oldenburg31151648%88.888.7+0.1
14 Bonn30141647%83.983.6+0.3
15 Bamberg30111937%83.986.3-2.4
16 Frankfurt3182326%75.682.5-6.9
17 Gottingen302287%81.295.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg2921221688
Chemnitz1223243493
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