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Lietkabelis vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 92-78
16-18 23-25 24-13 29-22
Position#3
Record25-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#5
Record22-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game90.3
LithuaniaLKLLKL - 3rd place· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Jonava
04 May 2027
LIE v JON
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
LIE65
JON71
15 Mar 2026
LIE91
JON80
23 Sep 2025
LIE101
JON74
16 Jun 2025
LIE92
JON78
11 Jun 2025
LIE83
JON90
13 May 2025
LIE72
JON68
08 Feb 2025
LIE86
JON88
24 Mar 2024
LIE90
JON80
04 Nov 2023
LIE84
JON79
09 Jun 2023
LIE84
JON72
05 Jun 2023
LIE63
JON82
31 May 2023
LIE80
JON89
16 Apr 2023
LIE85
JON72
07 Jan 2023
LIE86
JON84
03 Mar 2022
LIE103
JON71
02 Jan 2022
LIE88
JON69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
94-89
94
89
+5
91avg 77
H20/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
78avg 77
H25/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 77
A27/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
70avg 77
A30/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
69avg 77
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-87
86
87
-1
76avg 77
A04/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 77
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
70-94
70
94
-24
57avg 77
A08/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
83avg 77
H11/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
104-85
104
85
+19
106avg 77
A13/06
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
22-26
22-15
18-28
28-25
18-21
23-13
14-18
19-25
23-26
22-17
29-22
24-27
18-15
24-23
16-21
23-12
18-21
16-21
19-19
14-20
22-20
23-15
27-32
23-20
20-18
20-15
24-23
17-24
16-27
26-24
11-19
22-23
21-17
22-19
18-31
17-21
27-21
28-20
32-23
170.5Avg total
85.8Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)83.881.8165.5+2.056%
Season at home (22)83.180.2163.3+2.964%
Season away (23)84.483.2167.7+1.248%
Last 10 (10)85.884.7170.5+1.160%
Last 5 (5)86.086.4172.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.783.8162.5-5.136%
vs Similar (4)80.882.0162.8-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.980.0168.9+8.980%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
55avg 79
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
79avg 79
A18/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
93-98 OT
93
98
-5
91avg 79
H20/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
103-102
103
102
+1
86avg 79
A24/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
102-98
102
98
+4
101avg 79
H26/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
61-73
61
73
-12
46avg 79
A29/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-98
74
98
-24
63avg 79
H31/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 79
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
90-83
90
83
+7
79avg 79
A11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
85-104
85
104
-19
74avg 79
H13/06
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
8-16
19-21
17-20
30-22
14-28
23-14
20-27
18-18
20-13
31-18
12-32
21-30
24-18
26-25
32-29
25-26
32-22
22-18
23-32
17-16
10-22
25-14
9-21
18-26
28-27
13-31
15-14
25-28
15-18
18-22
20-18
23-22
17-21
19-22
31-18
21-17
21-27
20-28
23-32
174.6Avg total
84.1Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)88.790.3179.0-1.651%
Season at home (21)90.390.6181.0-0.352%
Season away (22)87.190.0177.2-2.950%
Last 10 (10)84.190.5174.6-6.430%
Last 5 (5)77.688.8166.4-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.089.9169.9-9.923%
vs Similar (15)93.792.9186.5+0.867%
vs Weaker (2)111.570.5182.0+41.0100%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -4.1-4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -4.1-4.1
LietkabelisJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H20/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H25/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A27/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A30/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A04/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A08/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A13/06
LKL
85.3Avg total
42.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.184.0+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.937.981.8+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)42.043.985.9-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.985.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.282.0-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.440.880.2-1.545%-
vs Similar (4)44.041.285.2+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.241.286.4+4.067%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A18/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H20/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A24/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H26/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A29/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H31/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H13/06
LKL
84.3Avg total
41.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.943.588.4+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.543.592.0+5.057%-
Last 30 away (16)41.843.585.3-1.731%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.284.3-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.883.8-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.045.386.3-4.323%-
vs Similar (15)46.543.389.8+3.153%-
vs Weaker (2)59.033.092.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.5
52.7%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.8
35.5%
35.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws26.620.4
76.7%
75.0%20.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.0
52.9%
55.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.8
35.3%
35.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.615.5
75.2%
75.0%15.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLLWLWLWWW
Jonava
LWLLLWWLLL
#3
League position
#5
+1.5
Net rating
-9.3
115.0
Offensive rating
113.7
113.5
Defensive rating
123.1
52.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
61.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.5%
3-point %
35.3%
66.4%
Assist %
57.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 113.7Defence113.5 · 123.1Shooting52.9% · 52.9%3-point %35.5% · 35.3%Ball care16.8% · 14.8%Off. rebounds32.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.44 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lietkabelis wins
4
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
13/06/25Jonava v Lietkabelis85-104
11/06/25Lietkabelis v Jonava83-90
13/05/25Lietkabelis v Jonava72-68
22/03/25Jonava v Lietkabelis92-87
08/02/25Lietkabelis v Jonava86-88
17/11/24Jonava v Lietkabelis84-82
24/03/24Lietkabelis v Jonava90-80
09/03/24Jonava v Lietkabelis74-92
04/11/23Lietkabelis v Jonava84-79
09/06/23Lietkabelis v Jonava84-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/06/25AJonava104-85
11/06/25HJonava83-90
08/06/25ARytas70-94
06/06/25HRytas87-76
04/06/25ARytas86-87
01/06/25HRytas76-73
30/05/25ARytas82-86
27/05/25AJuventus93-90
25/05/25HJuventus83-77
20/05/25HJuventus94-89
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/06/25HLietkabelis85-104
11/06/25ALietkabelis90-83
03/06/25AZalgiris Kaunas78-86
31/05/25HZalgiris Kaunas74-98
29/05/25AZalgiris Kaunas61-73
26/05/25HBC Wolves102-98
24/05/25ABC Wolves103-102
20/05/25HNeptunas93-98 OT
18/05/25ABC Wolves87-91
13/05/25ALietkabelis68-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeWWWWL64%
AwayWLLLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %56%64%48%
Points / game83.883.184.4
Allowed / game81.880.283.2
Point differential+2.0+2.9+1.2
Avg total165.5163.3167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)75% (8)33% (9)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL51%
HomeLLWLL52%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %51%52%50%
Points / game88.790.387.1
Allowed / game90.390.690.0
Point differential-1.6-0.3-2.9
Avg total179.0181.0177.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%14%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)60% (10)56% (9)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas4340393%90.773.9+16.8
2 Rytas45351078%92.983.8+9.1
3 Lietkabelis45252056%83.881.8+2.0
4 BC Wolves38201853%90.989.8+1.0
5 Jonava43222151%88.790.3-1.6
6 Juventus38162242%85.387.7-2.4
7 Neptunas38142437%84.188.7-4.7
8 Siauliai38142437%90.396.2-5.8
9 Nevezis36112531%90.890.8+0.0
10 Mazeikiai363338%79.098.5-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1623242992
Jonava1825132278
← all games of the day
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