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Chemnitz vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-84
31-15 26-24 18-27 18-18
Position#5
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#28
Record0-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEurocupRound 2· Messe Chemnitz
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jena
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H18/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
62-89
62
89
-27
H27/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A03/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
H07/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
90-104
90
104
-14
A10/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#11
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A18/09
BBL
Hamburg
#18
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
A25/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#15
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
H27/09
BBL
Tofas
#6
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A29/09
Eurocup
Jena
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A04/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
22-19
8-22
17-12
20-27
20-16
10-25
12-21
27-20
25-19
16-26
16-17
24-18
22-13
14-19
11-21
14-22
21-30
18-28
37-24
20-21
23-20
19-18
20-30
22-22
21-20
17-15
23-26
19-24
20-23
22-20
20-14
15-22
15-24
23-14
16-22
19-21
19-19
16-22
22-20
167.9Avg total
80.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)80.987.0167.9-6.140%
Last 5 (5)82.288.0170.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.981.7155.6-7.836%
vs Similar (13)81.284.0165.2-2.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.589.5174.0-5.033%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
90-103
90
103
-13
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
99-84
99
84
+15
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#22
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H03/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
13-30
34-23
20-25
31-14
15-23
23-25
17-11
28-18
13-13
13-25
14-24
15-24
25-13
10-15
16-11
28-26
22-16
20-22
21-18
18-20
16-20
17-21
18-32
18-16
31-20
28-20
22-28
24-18
20-16
27-24
7-29
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
161.2Avg total
80.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.076.0149.0-3.00%
Season at home (1)73.076.0149.0-3.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.980.3161.2+0.650%
Last 5 (5)81.680.4162.0+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.393.3170.7-16.00%
vs Similar (10)82.881.3164.1+1.550%
vs Weaker (17)89.685.6175.2+3.953%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
ChemnitzNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jena
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H18/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A03/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H07/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A10/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A18/09
BBL
Hamburg
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A25/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#15
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/09
BBL
Tofas
#6
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A29/09
Eurocup
Jena
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/10
BBL
83.7Avg total
41.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.881.5-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.137.878.8+3.358%-
Last 30 away (18)40.542.883.3-2.339%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.083.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.041.381.3-1.345%-
vs Similar (13)41.539.881.3+1.854%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.342.282.5-1.833%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#22
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/10
LKL
80.1Avg total
43.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.287.0+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.542.589.0+4.056%-
Last 30 away (12)44.839.384.1+5.467%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.080.1+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.633.677.2+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)40.047.087.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)43.837.681.4+6.270%-
vs Weaker (17)48.042.490.4+5.665%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.7
51.3%
54.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.58.7
29.5%
34.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.815.2
76.8%
75.6%15.2
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.2
52.8%
54.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.6
33.7%
34.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.918.0
75.3%
75.6%18.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLWLLLWWLW
Neptunas
WLLWLWWLWL
#5
League position
#28
-5.6
Net rating
+0.2
86.7
Offensive rating
95.7
92.3
Defensive rating
95.5
48.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.40
29.5%
3-point %
33.7%
56.7%
Assist %
64.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence86.7 · 95.7Defence92.3 · 95.5Shooting48.2% · 51.8%3-point %29.5% · 33.7%Ball care18.1% · 15.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
0
Neptunas wins
No previous meetings.
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26AJena76-82
29/09/26ATofas69-82
27/09/26HPhoenix Hagen94-93 OT
25/09/26AHamburg90-94 OT
18/09/26AAlba Berlin82-89
10/05/26ABasketball Braunschweig90-104
07/05/26HFrankfurt86-82 OT
03/05/26AAlba Berlin84-82
27/04/26HBamberg62-89
18/04/26HJena76-73
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HNevezis89-62
29/09/26HTrento73-76
26/09/26AGargzdai78-87
23/09/26HJuventus99-84
20/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas69-93
13/06/26ALietkabelis91-82
11/06/26HLietkabelis66-63
08/06/26ALietkabelis68-80
06/06/26HLietkabelis86-73
03/06/26AJuventus90-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game69.0-69.0
Allowed / game82.0-82.0
Point differential-13.0--13.0
Avg total151.0-151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Neptunas
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential-3.0-3.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.220100%96.069.0+27.0
2 Hapoel Jerusalem220100%84.568.5+16.0
3 Ulm110100%98.084.0+14.0
4 Aris110100%87.074.0+13.0
5 Basket Napoli220100%88.575.5+13.0
6 Tofas220100%85.575.5+10.0
7 PAOK220100%84.075.0+9.0
8 San Pablo Burgos110100%85.081.0+4.0
9 Lietkabelis110100%75.072.0+3.0
10 Venezia21150%98.085.0+13.0
11 Maxima Roma21150%83.073.5+9.5
12 London Lions21150%80.075.5+4.5
13 Turk Telekom21150%83.579.5+4.0
14 Buducnost21150%87.084.0+3.0
15 Rigas Zelli21150%86.085.5+0.5
16 Siauliai21150%72.575.0-2.5
17 Tenerife21150%79.582.0-2.5
18 Trento21150%78.583.5-5.0
19 Slask Wroclaw21150%84.590.0-5.5
20 Rostock21150%80.090.0-10.0
21 Frankfurt21150%75.587.5-12.0
22 Cluj-Napoca21150%76.590.5-14.0
23 Tortona1010%84.086.0-2.0
24 KK Bosna2020%72.075.0-3.0
25 Neptunas1010%73.076.0-3.0
26 Cedevita Olimpija2020%72.580.0-7.5
27 JL Bourg2020%79.086.5-7.5
28 BC Roma1010%78.091.0-13.0
29 Chemnitz1010%69.082.0-13.0
30 Le Mans1010%74.087.0-13.0
31 Manresa1010%78.093.0-15.0
32 Balkan2020%72.099.5-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz3126181893
Neptunas1524271884
← all games of the day
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