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Cherno More vs Beroe Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
6.7/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game87.8
BulgariaNBLRound 21· DKS - Varna
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cherno More v Beroe
17 Mar 2027
CHER v BERO
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
CHER117
BERO76
22 Nov 2025
CHER96
BERO90
30 Apr 2025
CHER100
BERO96
26 Apr 2025
CHER96
BERO81
13 Mar 2025
CHER88
BERO84
10 Feb 2025
CHER102
BERO88
25 Nov 2023
CHER94
BERO76
16 Feb 2023
CHER98
BERO109
01 Nov 2021
CHER80
BERO82
04 Apr 2021
CHER76
BERO80
18 Dec 2020
CHER62
BERO78
01 Feb 2020
CHER79
BERO89
18 Apr 2019
CHER88
BERO105
01 Feb 2019
CHER98
BERO97
02 Dec 2017
CHER97
BERO91
10 May 2017
CHER68
BERO94
17 Dec 2016
CHER63
BERO86
09 Jan 2016
CHER80
BERO88
27 Feb 2015
CHER86
BERO76
13 Dec 2014
CHER101
BERO78
02 Nov 2013
CHER106
BERO69
26 Oct 2012
CHER69
BERO62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
62avg 81
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
59-77
59
77
-18
48avg 81
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
93avg 81
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
84avg 81
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
85avg 81
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
87-61
87
61
+26
87avg 81
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
95-62
95
62
+33
90avg 81
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
70avg 81
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A07/11
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
27-19
19-14
18-20
14-19
14-16
20-13
11-29
22-33
28-25
29-28
20-22
22-25
17-26
23-26
32-23
25-18
18-19
24-22
26-17
19-12
28-19
20-19
20-11
18-20
23-13
25-13
29-16
20-16
20-24
17-16
17-24
18-24
14-22
15-19
22-20
20-10
21-28
25-15
19-13
162.8Avg total
83.3Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.871.7155.5+12.267%
Season at home (3)82.069.0151.0+13.067%
Season away (3)85.774.3160.0+11.367%
Last 10 (10)83.379.5162.8+3.840%
Last 5 (5)82.070.8152.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.678.8158.4+0.820%
vs Similar (5)82.890.0172.8-7.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.478.1170.5+14.380%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
76-117
76
117
-41
60avg 78
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 78
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
54avg 78
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 78
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 78
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
92avg 78
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
104-110
104
110
-6
99avg 78
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
99-58
99
58
+41
98avg 78
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
20-29
11-37
24-19
27-27
23-24
19-22
20-23
19-22
15-22
17-22
18-23
14-19
25-23
18-23
23-25
30-22
22-24
9-21
25-23
21-24
19-15
28-26
19-22
28-31
23-27
34-24
19-28
23-19
36-17
17-13
23-9
20-30
19-23
22-22
23-14
14-16
22-17
23-21
17-28
177.7Avg total
85.8Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.787.8178.5+2.817%
Season at home (3)90.079.3169.3+10.733%
Season away (3)91.396.3187.7-5.00%
Last 10 (10)85.891.9177.7-6.110%
Last 5 (5)91.687.4179.0+4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)82.194.8176.9-12.710%
vs Similar (4)88.583.0171.5+5.575%
vs Weaker (6)88.781.0169.7+7.750%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
Cherno MoreBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A07/11
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/11
NBL
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.983.9+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.242.083.2-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.581.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.677.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
vs Similar (5)38.847.085.8-8.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.139.484.5+5.875%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
NBL
90.4Avg total
44.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.387.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.584.6+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.148.290.3-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.146.390.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.888.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.645.987.5-4.230%-
vs Similar (4)44.241.285.5+3.075%-
vs Weaker (6)47.241.288.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.9
56.7%
55.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.0
31.2%
29.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.215.4
66.4%
71.2%15.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.025.6
54.5%
55.5%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.5
26.6%
29.8%16.5
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
71.2%19.0
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
WLLWWWLLLL
Beroe
LLWLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#11
+6.3
Net rating
-0.6
100.0
Offensive rating
96.6
93.8
Defensive rating
97.1
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.2%
3-point %
26.6%
56.0%
Assist %
62.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 96.6Defence93.8 · 97.1Shooting52.5% · 50.0%3-point %31.2% · 26.6%Ball care13.4% · 14.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Cherno More   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Cherno More wins
0
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
16/04/26Cherno More v Beroe117-76
08/02/26Beroe v Cherno More84-86
22/11/25Cherno More v Beroe96-90 OT
02/05/25Beroe v Cherno More86-91
30/04/25Cherno More v Beroe100-96 OT
26/04/25Cherno More v Beroe96-81
13/03/25Cherno More v Beroe88-84
10/02/25Cherno More v Beroe102-88
09/12/24Beroe v Cherno More76-95
29/01/24Beroe v Cherno More80-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPolytechnica85-66
07/11/26ALok. Plovdiv69-85
31/10/26HSpartak Pleven74-80
24/10/26ACSKA Sofia95-62
18/10/26HYambol87-61
12/10/26ALevski93-76
25/05/26HRilski Sportist94-100
23/05/26ARilski Sportist99-108
14/05/26HBalkan59-77
11/05/26ABalkan78-80
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRilski Sportist76-82
07/11/26ABotev 201284-89
31/10/26HPolytechnica99-58
23/10/26AMinyor104-110
17/10/26HLok. Plovdiv95-98 OT
11/10/26ABotev Academic86-90
02/05/26HRilski Sportist80-90
30/04/26ARilski Sportist69-89
20/04/26HBalkan89-96
16/04/26ACherno More76-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game83.882.085.7
Allowed / game71.769.074.3
Point differential+12.2+13.0+11.3
Avg total155.5151.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Beroe
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game90.790.091.3
Allowed / game87.879.396.3
Point differential+2.8+10.7-5.0
Avg total178.5169.3187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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