PythiaBasketballBETA
B League· LaLa arena TOKYO-BAY
Chiba hosts NeoPhoenix on 16 November 2026 in the B League, with NeoPhoenix the clear favourite as the model assigns a 72% chance of victory to the road side and a 28% chance to the home side, projecting a 86-93 scoreline and a 179.1 total. Chiba finished the season 9-9, averaging 92.2 points and conceding 95.1, while NeoPhoenix sits 9-3, scoring 87.4 and allowing 81.6; the latter's record is better across all games, and it has won 9 of 12 on the road. Chiba's home form is 4-6, with a 89.4 points per game average and 96.5 allowed, yet it has won its last five games, including a 106-94 victory over Osaka at home on 10 November and a 90-87 win against Shiga away on 12 November. NeoPhoenix has gone 3-2 in its last five, with recent wins over Altiri Chiba and Levanga Hokkaido and a loss to Alvark. Historically, NeoPhoenix leads the 10-meeting series 6-4, most recently defeating Chiba 104-94 on 15 February 2026. The model gives NeoPhoenix a 5% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (18) | 92.2 | 95.1 | 187.3 | -2.9 | 50% |
| Season at home (10) | 89.4 | 96.5 | 185.9 | -7.1 | 40% |
| Season away (8) | 95.6 | 93.4 | 189.0 | +2.2 | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.3 | 90.8 | 179.1 | -2.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 96.4 | 90.2 | 186.6 | +6.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 89.4 | 99.5 | 188.9 | -10.1 | 30% |
| vs Similar (9) | 85.2 | 86.6 | 171.8 | -1.3 | 56% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 94.9 | 84.5 | 179.4 | +10.5 | 82% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 87.4 | 81.6 | 169.0 | +5.8 | 75% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (12) | 87.4 | 81.6 | 169.0 | +5.8 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.8 | 82.2 | 170.0 | +5.6 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.8 | 85.0 | 172.8 | +2.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 86.7 | 83.3 | 170.0 | +3.3 | 67% |
| vs Similar (13) | 89.6 | 85.8 | 175.4 | +3.8 | 69% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 89.9 | 81.2 | 171.1 | +8.7 | 82% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 47.3 | 43.6 | 90.9 | +3.7 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 45.1 | 42.7 | 87.8 | +2.4 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 50.6 | 44.9 | 95.5 | +5.7 | 58% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.7 | 43.7 | 88.4 | +1.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.4 | 39.4 | 86.8 | +8.0 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 46.4 | 48.9 | 95.3 | -2.5 | 30% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 41.9 | 44.1 | 86.0 | -2.2 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker (11) | 52.5 | 38.3 | 90.8 | +14.3 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.6 | 43.3 | 87.9 | +1.3 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 at home (8) | 42.6 | 44.2 | 86.9 | -1.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (22) | 45.3 | 43.0 | 88.3 | +2.4 | 64% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.0 | 41.5 | 87.5 | +4.5 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.2 | 42.2 | 88.4 | +4.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 39.8 | 43.8 | 83.7 | -4.0 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 44.5 | 43.4 | 87.8 | +1.1 | 54% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 47.4 | 42.9 | 90.3 | +4.5 | 82% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.4 | 19.8 | 53.6% | 39.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.1 | 10.3 | 32.9% | 30.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.4 | 16.3 | 73.8% | 16.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.1 | 21.2 | 53.6% | 42.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.6 | 10.0 | 32.9% | 30.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.3 | 15.4 | 73.8% | 15.4 |
Chiba
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 | NeoPhoenix v Chiba | 104-94 |
| 14/02/26 | NeoPhoenix v Chiba | 92-81 |
| 08/12/24 | NeoPhoenix v Chiba | 99-84 |
| 07/12/24 | NeoPhoenix v Chiba | 87-79 |
| 31/12/23 | Chiba v NeoPhoenix | 94-96 |
| 30/12/23 | Chiba v NeoPhoenix | 81-90 |
| 01/01/23 | Chiba v NeoPhoenix | 85-69 |
| 31/12/22 | Chiba v NeoPhoenix | 100-70 |
| 12/12/21 | NeoPhoenix v Chiba | 80-87 |
| 11/12/21 | NeoPhoenix v Chiba | 89-101 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Nagasaki | 86-80 |
| 12/11/26 | A | Shiga | 90-87 |
| 10/11/26 | H | Osaka | 106-94 OT |
| 08/11/26 | A | Saga | 111-103 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 89-87 OT |
| 01/11/26 | H | Toyama | 78-83 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Toyama | 93-100 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Osaka | 87-65 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Kyoto | 79-102 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 64-107 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Altiri Chiba | 86-69 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Levanga Hokkaido | 110-96 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Alvark | 67-88 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Ryukyu | 96-86 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Ryukyu | 80-86 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Kobe | 91-89 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Hiroshima D. | 75-77 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Shinshu | 83-81 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Saga | 93-89 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Saga | 97-61 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 50% |
| Home | LLWWW | 40% |
| Away | WLWWW | 62% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 18 | 10 | 8 |
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 62% |
| Points / game | 92.2 | 89.4 | 95.6 |
| Allowed / game | 95.1 | 96.5 | 93.4 |
| Point differential | -2.9 | -7.1 | +2.2 |
| Avg total | 187.3 | 185.9 | 189.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 20% | 12% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 60% (5) | 50% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Overtime % | 22% | 30% | 12% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWW | 75% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | LWLWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | - | 12 |
| Win % | 75% | - | 75% |
| Points / game | 87.4 | - | 87.4 |
| Allowed / game | 81.6 | - | 81.6 |
| Point differential | +5.8 | - | +5.8 |
| Avg total | 169.0 | - | 169.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | - | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 75% (4) | - | 75% (4) |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Diamond Dolphins | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 92.6 | 76.7 | +15.9 |
| 2 |  Hiroshima D. | 16 | 13 | 3 | 81% | 89.9 | 82.1 | +7.9 |
| 3 |  SeaHorses Mikawa | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 91.9 | 79.9 | +11.9 |
| 4 |  Alvark | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 92.9 | 82.3 | +10.6 |
| 5 |  Sendai | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 88.6 | 80.2 | +8.4 |
| 6 |  Gunma | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 82.8 | 73.8 | +9.1 |
| 7 | NeoPhoenix | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 87.4 | 81.6 | +5.8 |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 89.9 | 80.3 | +9.6 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 16 | 10 | 6 | 62% | 96.7 | 94.6 | +2.1 |
| 10 |  Kyoto | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 84.3 | 79.2 | +5.1 |
| 11 |  Toyama | 17 | 9 | 8 | 53% | 82.6 | 88.4 | -5.8 |
| 12 |  Ibaraki Robots | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 83.7 | 79.8 | +3.9 |
| 13 |  Ryukyu | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.4 | 81.6 | +1.8 |
| 14 | Chiba | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 92.2 | 95.1 | -2.9 |
| 15 |  Utsunomiya Brex | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 81.9 | 83.6 | -1.7 |
| 16 |  Shiga | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 86.4 | 88.8 | -2.4 |
| 17 |  Yokohama | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41% | 78.3 | 83.8 | -5.5 |
| 18 |  Shimane | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 83.5 | 81.9 | +1.6 |
| 19 |  Altiri Chiba | 18 | 7 | 11 | 39% | 79.8 | 84.7 | -4.8 |
| 20 |  Shinshu | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 83.9 | 86.8 | -2.9 |
| 21 |  Nagasaki | 18 | 6 | 12 | 33% | 77.3 | 82.2 | -4.9 |
| 22 |  Brave Thunders | 17 | 5 | 12 | 29% | 79.2 | 83.9 | -4.8 |
| 23 |  Kobe | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 79.9 | 87.3 | -7.4 |
| 24 |  Akita | 17 | 4 | 13 | 24% | 83.4 | 91.5 | -8.2 |
| 25 |  Saga | 15 | 1 | 14 | 7% | 77.8 | 94.9 | -17.1 |
| 26 |  Osaka | 16 | 1 | 15 | 6% | 70.1 | 90.9 | -20.9 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
