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Hiroshima D. vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 80-61
26-13 18-12 19-18 17-18
Position#6
Record5-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#15
Record5-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game73.0
JapanB League· Hiroshima Sun Plaza (Hiroshima)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hiroshima D. v Saga
03 Feb 2027
HIRO v SAGA
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
HIRO91
SAGA79
18 Oct 2025
HIRO114
SAGA92
13 Oct 2024
HIRO81
SAGA90
12 Oct 2024
HIRO64
SAGA81
08 Nov 2023
HIRO80
SAGA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
63-81
63
81
-18
55avg 70
A08/10
B League
Saga
#15
W
93-69
93
69
+24
91avg 70
A14/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
71-72 OT
71
72
-1
no box
A15/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
83-81
83
81
+2
68avg 70
H21/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
60-71
60
71
-11
47avg 70
H22/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
89-93
89
93
-4
68avg 70
A25/10
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
76-80
76
80
-4
61avg 70
A28/10
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
90-65
90
65
+25
91avg 70
A29/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
91-57
91
57
+34
91avg 70
H04/11
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
86-75
86
75
+11
83avg 70
H05/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
17-17
11-11
18-25
28-15
29-19
19-24
17-11
12-16
23-17
13-12
16-19
27-13
12-20
21-24
23-24
10-18
15-21
20-13
15-19
23-23
20-20
15-25
31-25
16-24
20-21
27-20
13-15
18-14
22-5
25-23
25-23
23-5
26-19
21-21
21-12
19-17
22-24
29-19
16-15
154.6Avg total
80.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.874.4153.2+4.545%
Season at home (4)80.071.0151.0+9.075%
Season away (7)78.176.3154.4+1.929%
Last 10 (10)80.274.4154.6+5.850%
Last 5 (5)86.474.0160.4+12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.083.2158.2-8.240%
vs Similar (10)80.483.8164.2-3.430%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.372.1155.3+11.273%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
no box
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
69-93
69
93
-24
57avg 62
H14/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
72-71 OT
72
71
+1
no box
H15/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
74-87
74
87
-13
71avg 62
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
58-61
58
61
-3
47avg 62
A22/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 62
H25/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 62
A28/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
74-68
74
68
+6
70avg 62
A29/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
51avg 62
H04/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
70-64
70
64
+6
62avg 62
H05/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
21-17
16-19
15-17
15-28
19-29
24-19
11-17
16-12
17-23
12-13
19-16
18-25
24-15
13-25
19-22
21-14
6-15
11-18
20-14
20-21
21-15
21-21
18-17
19-16
20-18
18-8
23-17
19-14
19-18
12-18
24-18
15-24
21-11
11-14
18-17
15-14
17-15
21-23
17-12
144.4Avg total
72.1Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.373.0144.3-1.745%
Season at home (7)71.175.4146.6-4.343%
Season away (4)71.568.8140.2+2.850%
Last 10 (10)72.172.3144.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)73.866.2140.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)70.582.0152.5-11.550%
vs Similar (8)70.470.6141.0-0.238%
vs Weaker (1)80.074.0154.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
Hiroshima D.Saga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A08/10
B League
Saga
#15
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A14/10
B League
Saga
#15
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H22/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A25/10
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A28/10
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
40-19
40
19
+21
A29/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H04/11
B League
Kyoto
#21
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H05/11
B League
75.5Avg total
39.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.076.5+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.434.877.2+7.669%-
Last 30 away (17)37.438.676.1-1.241%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.675.5+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.476.2+7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.840.873.6-8.040%-
vs Similar (10)39.938.678.5+1.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.634.676.2+7.067%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H14/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A22/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A28/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A29/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H04/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/11
B League
72.4Avg total
36.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)35.936.972.8-1.064%-
Last 30 at home (7)35.638.774.3-3.157%-
Last 30 away (4)36.533.870.2+2.875%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.272.4+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.270.4+4.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.546.079.5-12.50%-
vs Similar (8)35.934.870.6+1.175%-
vs Weaker (1)41.036.077.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.0
53.1%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.310.7
33.1%
33.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.210.3
67.8%
72.0%10.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.616.8
45.9%
50.9%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.0
28.5%
33.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.314.9
66.7%
72.0%14.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hiroshima D.
WWWLLLWLWL
Saga
WLWWWLLWLL
#6
League position
#15
+6.5
Net rating
-2.7
110.4
Offensive rating
97.7
103.9
Defensive rating
100.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
44.6%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.1%
3-point %
28.5%
53.3%
Assist %
58.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 97.7Defence103.9 · 100.4Shooting51.4% · 44.6%3-point %33.1% · 28.5%Ball care15.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds33.3% · 29.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Hiroshima D.   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hiroshima D. wins
1
Saga wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.72-71 OT
14/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.69-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HKyoto86-75
04/11/23HKyoto91-57
29/10/23AYokohama90-65
28/10/23AYokohama76-80
25/10/23ADiamond Dolphins89-93
22/10/23HUtsunomiya Brex60-71
21/10/23HUtsunomiya Brex83-81
15/10/23ASaga71-72 OT
14/10/23ASaga93-69
08/10/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles63-81
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HAkita70-64
04/11/23HAkita65-66
29/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya74-68
28/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya80-59
25/10/23HShinshu80-74
22/10/23AShimane58-61
21/10/23AShimane74-87
15/10/23HHiroshima D.72-71 OT
14/10/23HHiroshima D.69-93
07/10/23HRyukyu79-80 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW45%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%75%29%
Points / game78.880.078.1
Allowed / game74.471.076.3
Point differential+4.5+9.0+1.9
Avg total153.2151.0154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %9%0%14%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW45%
HomeLWWLW43%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %45%43%50%
Points / game71.371.171.5
Allowed / game73.075.468.8
Point differential-1.7-4.3+2.8
Avg total144.3146.6140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %18%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1110191%81.161.6+19.5
2 NeoPhoenix119282%86.777.4+9.4
3 Osaka119282%86.578.5+7.9
4 Brave Thunders119282%81.575.8+5.7
5 Ryukyu118373%81.576.1+5.4
6 Diamond Dolphins118373%82.677.6+5.0
7 Nagasaki118373%87.783.0+4.7
8 Utsunomiya Brex118373%76.772.8+3.9
9 Shimane117464%79.976.7+3.2
10 SeaHorses Mikawa116555%83.777.9+5.8
11 Chiba116555%85.584.8+0.6
12 Hiroshima D.115645%78.874.4+4.5
13 Sendai115645%81.080.5+0.5
14 Saga115645%71.373.0-1.7
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles115645%71.774.7-3.0
16 Yokohama115645%75.881.4-5.5
17 Gunma115645%76.282.0-5.8
18 Shinshu114736%79.584.4-4.9
19 Hokkaido113827%74.780.1-5.4
20 Akita113827%70.577.7-7.2
21 Sun Rockers Shibuya112918%74.381.8-7.5
22 Ibaraki Robots111109%79.387.3-8.0
23 Kyoto111109%72.383.8-11.5
24 Toyama110110%71.586.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hiroshima D.2618191780
Saga1312181861
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