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Shimane vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 04:35
Final 87-74
25-18 15-24 25-13 22-19
Position#12
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game75.8
Shimane 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#15
Record1-3
FormLLLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game81.0
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium (Matsue)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shimane v Saga
27 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
SHIM80
SAGA77
14 Mar 2026
SHIM91
SAGA96
15 Oct 2025
SHIM79
SAGA87
11 Dec 2024
SHIM85
SAGA55
27 Mar 2024
SHIM64
SAGA66
22 Oct 2023
SHIM61
SAGA58
21 Oct 2023
SHIM87
SAGA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#5
W
87-65
87
65
+22
no box
H30/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#19
W
81-62
81
62
+19
no box
A06/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#19
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A07/05
B League
Alvark
#6
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H12/05
B League
Alvark
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
no box
H13/05
B League
Alvark
#6
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H15/05
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
76-71
76
71
+5
77avg 73
H07/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
61avg 73
H08/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
no box
A14/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
85-65
85
65
+20
80avg 73
A15/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-5
22-23
27-21
23-16
20-20
20-15
25-18
16-9
16-22
28-10
19-18
14-14
13-20
31-15
23-25
19-11
12-14
22-16
14-32
24-20
10-22
24-18
21-20
27-23
20-19
21-16
24-19
11-17
13-22
25-30
18-11
18-17
14-28
26-14
24-17
19-24
23-24
21-17
15-11
26-13
154.3Avg total
81.3Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.075.8157.8+6.275%
Season at home (2)75.075.5150.5-0.550%
Season away (2)89.076.0165.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.373.0154.3+8.370%
Last 5 (5)82.077.2159.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.877.7158.5+3.157%
vs Weaker (16)82.073.4155.4+8.688%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
63-80
63
80
-17
51avg 54
H05/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
no box
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
69-93
69
93
-24
57avg 54
H14/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
72-71 OT
72
71
+1
no box
H15/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
17-26
16-17
14-19
19-18
21-17
16-19
15-17
15-28
19-29
24-19
11-17
16-12
17-23
12-13
19-16
151.8Avg total
70.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.881.0151.8-10.225%
Season at home (4)70.881.0151.8-10.225%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (4)70.881.0151.8-10.225%
Last 5 (4)70.881.0151.8-10.225%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.582.0152.5-11.550%
vs Similar ◀ (2)71.080.0151.0-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
ShimaneSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#5
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H30/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#19
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#19
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A07/05
B League
Alvark
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/05
B League
Alvark
#6
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H13/05
B League
Alvark
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/05
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H08/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A15/10
B League
76.6Avg total
39.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.975.8+2.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.137.075.1+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)39.736.776.5+3.073%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.076.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.081.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.638.576.1-0.950%-
vs Weaker (16)40.135.475.5+4.681%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H05/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H14/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/10
B League
77.8Avg total
35.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)35.042.877.8-7.825%-
Last 30 at home (4)35.042.877.8-7.825%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (4)35.042.877.8-7.825%-
Last 5 (4)35.042.877.8-7.825%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.546.079.5-12.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)36.539.576.0-3.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.3
49.1%
50.9%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.7
32.6%
33.5%29.0
🏀 Free throws16.714.0
84.0%
72.0%14.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.518.0
44.4%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.06.0
22.2%
33.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.012.0
70.6%
72.0%12.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/2 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
WWLWLLWWWW
Saga
WLLL
#12
League position
#15
+9.1
Net rating
-24.9
112.1
Offensive rating
89.0
102.9
Defensive rating
113.9
49.0%
Effective FG%
40.0%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.0%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.6%
3-point %
22.2%
64.2%
Assist %
54.2%
70%
Form (last 10/4)
25%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 89.0Defence102.9 · 113.9Shooting49.0% · 40.0%3-point %32.6% · 22.2%Ball care17.1% · 16.0%Off. rebounds37.4% · 26.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/4)70% · 25%
■ Shimane   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shimane wins
0
Saga wins
No previous meetings.
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23AAkita85-65
14/10/23AAkita93-87 OT
08/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa74-80
07/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa76-71
15/05/23HAlvark82-83
13/05/23HAlvark72-82
12/05/23HAlvark86-71
07/05/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles77-64
06/05/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles81-62
30/04/23HHiroshima D.87-65
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HHiroshima D.72-71 OT
14/10/23HHiroshima D.69-93
07/10/23HRyukyu79-80 OT
05/10/23HRyukyu63-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game82.075.089.0
Allowed / game75.875.576.0
Point differential+6.2-0.5+13.0
Avg total157.8150.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%0%50%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLLLW25%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %25%25%-
Points / game70.870.8-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential-10.2-10.2-
Avg total151.8151.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %50%50%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osaka440100%88.075.2+12.8
2 Nagoya Fighting Eagles440100%79.869.8+10.0
3 Diamond Dolphins440100%86.878.0+8.8
4 Nagasaki440100%92.583.8+8.8
5 Ryukyu440100%84.277.5+6.8
6 Brave Thunders54180%85.278.8+6.4
7 Alvark43175%80.267.5+12.8
8 Shimane43175%82.075.8+6.2
9 NeoPhoenix43175%86.581.0+5.5
10 Utsunomiya Brex53260%73.872.8+1.0
11 Yokohama42250%82.280.8+1.5
12 Chiba42250%87.887.0+0.8
13 Shinshu42250%85.886.2-0.5
14 Gunma42250%79.282.0-2.8
15 Hiroshima D.52340%75.075.4-0.4
16 SeaHorses Mikawa41325%79.582.5-3.0
17 Akita41325%72.879.0-6.2
18 Hokkaido41325%76.582.8-6.2
19 Saga41325%70.881.0-10.2
20 Sun Rockers Shibuya4040%78.083.0-5.0
21 Ibaraki Robots4040%78.284.8-6.5
22 Kyoto4040%76.886.8-10.0
23 Toyama5050%77.491.2-13.8
24 Sendai4040%72.587.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane2515252287
Saga1824131974
← all games of the day
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