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Shimane vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 04:35
Final 61-58
14-21 15-6 18-11 14-20
Position#12
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game75.4
Shimane 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#15
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game82.2
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium (Matsue)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shimane v Saga
27 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
SHIM80
SAGA77
14 Mar 2026
SHIM91
SAGA96
15 Oct 2025
SHIM79
SAGA87
11 Dec 2024
SHIM85
SAGA55
27 Mar 2024
SHIM64
SAGA66
22 Oct 2023
SHIM61
SAGA58
21 Oct 2023
SHIM87
SAGA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#19
W
81-62
81
62
+19
no box
A06/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#19
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A07/05
B League
Alvark
#6
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H12/05
B League
Alvark
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
no box
H13/05
B League
Alvark
#6
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H15/05
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
76-71
76
71
+5
77avg 74
H07/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
61avg 74
H08/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
no box
A14/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
85-65
85
65
+20
80avg 74
A15/10
B League
Saga
#15
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 74
H21/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
20-15
25-18
16-9
16-22
28-10
19-18
14-14
13-20
31-15
23-25
19-11
12-14
22-16
14-32
24-20
10-22
24-18
21-20
27-23
20-19
21-16
24-19
11-17
13-22
25-30
18-11
18-17
14-28
26-14
24-17
19-24
23-24
21-17
15-11
26-13
25-18
15-24
25-13
22-19
155.2Avg total
81.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.075.4158.4+7.680%
Season at home (3)79.075.0154.0+4.067%
Season away (2)89.076.0165.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.373.9155.2+7.470%
Last 5 (5)83.075.4158.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.378.8161.1+3.557%
vs Weaker (16)82.073.4155.4+8.688%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
63-80
63
80
-17
51avg 60
H05/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
no box
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
69-93
69
93
-24
57avg 60
H14/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
72-71 OT
72
71
+1
no box
H15/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
74-87
74
87
-13
71avg 60
A21/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
17-26
16-17
14-19
19-18
21-17
16-19
15-17
15-28
19-29
24-19
11-17
16-12
17-23
12-13
19-16
18-25
24-15
13-25
19-22
153.6Avg total
71.4Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.482.2153.6-10.820%
Season at home (4)70.881.0151.8-10.225%
Season away (1)74.087.0161.0-13.00%
Last 10 (5)71.482.2153.6-10.820%
Last 5 (5)71.482.2153.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.582.0152.5-11.550%
vs Similar ◀ (3)72.082.3154.3-10.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
ShimaneSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#19
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#19
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A07/05
B League
Alvark
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/05
B League
Alvark
#6
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H13/05
B League
Alvark
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/05
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H08/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A15/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H21/10
B League
78.3Avg total
39.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.576.5+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.338.376.6-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.736.776.5+3.073%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.478.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.483.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.839.977.7-2.143%-
vs Weaker (16)40.135.475.5+4.681%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H05/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H14/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/10
B League
78.6Avg total
36.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)36.442.278.6-5.840%-
Last 30 at home (4)35.042.877.8-7.825%-
Last 30 away (1)42.040.082.0+2.0100%-
Last 10 (5)36.442.278.6-5.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.278.6-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.546.079.5-12.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.339.778.0-1.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.0
49.3%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.5
35.0%
33.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.012.5
83.3%
72.0%12.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.3
47.0%
50.9%36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.0
24.7%
33.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws18.713.3
71.4%
72.0%13.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
WWWLWLLWWW
Saga
LWLLL
#12
League position
#15
+12.2
Net rating
-23.8
115.1
Offensive rating
93.4
102.9
Defensive rating
117.2
50.8%
Effective FG%
43.2%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
35.9%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.0%
3-point %
24.7%
62.3%
Assist %
57.5%
70%
Form (last 10/5)
20%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 93.4Defence102.9 · 117.2Shooting50.8% · 43.2%3-point %35.0% · 24.7%Ball care15.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds35.9% · 28.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/5)70% · 20%
■ Shimane   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shimane wins
0
Saga wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Shimane v Saga87-74
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HSaga87-74
15/10/23AAkita85-65
14/10/23AAkita93-87 OT
08/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa74-80
07/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa76-71
15/05/23HAlvark82-83
13/05/23HAlvark72-82
12/05/23HAlvark86-71
07/05/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles77-64
06/05/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles81-62
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AShimane74-87
15/10/23HHiroshima D.72-71 OT
14/10/23HHiroshima D.69-93
07/10/23HRyukyu79-80 OT
05/10/23HRyukyu63-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game83.079.089.0
Allowed / game75.475.076.0
Point differential+7.6+4.0+13.0
Avg total158.4154.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%0%50%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %20%25%0%
Points / game71.470.874.0
Allowed / game82.281.087.0
Point differential-10.8-10.2-13.0
Avg total153.6151.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %40%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osaka550100%90.476.8+13.6
2 Diamond Dolphins550100%83.875.2+8.6
3 Brave Thunders65183%83.075.3+7.7
4 Alvark54180%78.665.6+13.0
5 NeoPhoenix54180%87.878.4+9.4
6 Shimane54180%83.075.4+7.6
7 Nagasaki54180%89.684.0+5.6
8 Nagoya Fighting Eagles54180%75.470.2+5.2
9 Ryukyu54180%80.679.8+0.8
10 Yokohama53260%83.677.8+5.8
11 Utsunomiya Brex53260%73.872.8+1.0
12 SeaHorses Mikawa52340%80.479.0+1.4
13 Hiroshima D.52340%75.075.4-0.4
14 Chiba52340%84.686.2-1.6
15 Shinshu52340%81.483.4-2.0
16 Akita52340%74.479.2-4.8
17 Gunma52340%77.084.2-7.2
18 Sun Rockers Shibuya51420%79.482.0-2.6
19 Hokkaido51420%74.283.0-8.8
20 Sendai51420%74.684.2-9.6
21 Saga51420%71.482.2-10.8
22 Kyoto5050%77.485.6-8.2
23 Ibaraki Robots5050%79.287.8-8.6
24 Toyama6060%74.288.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane1415181461
Saga216112058
← all games of the day
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