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Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 23 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 116-123
Projected total 239.2
Scheduled
Position#27
Record3-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game125.9
Vs
30%
70%
■ CHI 30%■ DEN 70%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· United Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Chicago Bulls v Denver Nuggets
22 Nov 2026
CHI v DEN
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
CHI120
DEN136
27 Jan 2025
CHI129
DEN121
12 Dec 2023
CHI106
DEN114
13 Nov 2022
CHI103
DEN126
06 Dec 2021
CHI109
DEN97
01 Mar 2021
CHI112
DEN118
23 Mar 2020
CHI v DEN
upcoming
31 Oct 2018
CHI107
DEN108
21 Mar 2018
CHI102
DEN135
28 Feb 2017
CHI107
DEN125
02 Dec 2015
CHI99
DEN90
01 Jan 2015
CHI106
DEN101
21 Feb 2014
CHI117
DEN89
18 Mar 2013
CHI118
DEN119
26 Mar 2012
CHI91
DEN108
08 Nov 2010
CHI94
DEN92
10 Nov 2009
CHI89
DEN90
20 Feb 2009
CHI116
DEN99
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Chicago Bulls host Denver Nuggets in the NBA. Pythia makes Denver Nuggets the favourite at 70% and projects 116-123, about 239 points in all. Overtime chance: 6%. Chicago Bulls are 3-9 this season (114.6 scored, 125.9 allowed a game), form LLLWW; Denver Nuggets are 7-4 this season (114.6 scored, 112.8 allowed a game), form WWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago Bulls win
29.9%fair 3.34
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
70.1%fair 1.43
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulls
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
L
120-124
120
124
-4
110avg 107
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
99-134
99
134
-35
78avg 107
A26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
127-133
127
133
-6
119avg 107
H29/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
111-125
111
125
-14
91avg 107
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
107-126
107
126
-19
92avg 107
A03/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
105-135
105
135
-30
81avg 107
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
121-127
121
127
-6
118avg 107
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
119-124
119
124
-5
126avg 107
H12/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
125-117 OT
125
117
+8
126avg 107
H14/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
117-106
117
106
+11
114avg 107
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
35-29
20-40
38-27
21-33
33-33
21-39
24-29
33-34
29-22
34-34
31-43
25-44
24-34
25-21
37-26
23-30
36-34
20-26
28-36
21-43
31-41
27-29
26-22
33-34
28-34
32-31
28-28
41-29
29-27
19-34
30-34
33-24
27-29
24-30
26-27
29-17
29-28
30-35
29-26
240.2Avg total
115.1Scored
125.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)114.6125.9240.5-11.325%
Season at home (5)122.4125.0247.4-2.620%
Season away (7)109.0126.6235.6-17.629%
Last 10 (10)115.1125.1240.2-10.020%
Last 5 (5)117.4121.8239.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)114.6128.2242.8-13.717%
vs Similar (5)128.4130.2258.6-1.840%
vs Weaker (2)124.0103.0227.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 113
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 113
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 113
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 113
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 113
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 113
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 113
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 113
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 113
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
117avg 113
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
29-23
27-28
30-31
30-26
232.2Avg total
117.7Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.6112.8227.5+1.864%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (7)109.7106.4216.1+3.371%
Last 10 (10)117.7114.5232.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)116.2109.4225.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.0113.2228.2+1.850%
vs Similar (13)113.9115.5229.4-1.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)126.5116.8243.2+9.792%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%8%11%0%1901%1951%2002%2054%2105%2157%2209%22510%23011%23511%24010%2458%2506%2555%2603%2652%2702%2751%2801%2850%2900%295
1%1952%2055%2159%22511%23510%2456%2553%2652%2751%2850%295
Pythia expects about 239 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 235-239 (11%).
Over/Under 220.5
Over 220.5
84.0%
Under 220.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 225.5
Over 225.5
76.4%
Under 225.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 230.5
Over 230.5
67.2%
Under 230.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Chicago Bulls total 109.5
Over 109.5
70.4%
Under 109.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chicago Bulls total 113.5
Over 113.5
57.7%
Under 113.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chicago Bulls total 117.5
Over 117.5
44.4%
Under 117.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Denver Nuggets total 108
Over 108
90.7%
Under 108
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Denver Nuggets total 112
Over 112
83.6%
Under 112
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Denver Nuggets total 116
Over 116
73.5%
Under 116
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%4%7%9%0%-450%-421%-391%-362%-333%-303%-274%-246%-217%-188%-159%-129%-99%-68%-35%+07%+36%+64%+93%+122%+152%+181%+211%+240%+27
0%-421%-363%-304%-247%-189%-129%-65%+06%+63%+122%+181%+24
Margin from Chicago Bulls's side (positive = Chicago Bulls win). Pythia's expected margin is -7.0; Chicago Bulls win by 1+ in 25% of simulations.
Spread Chicago Bulls -3
CHI -3
24.4%
DEN +3
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
CHI
No market prices yet.
DEN
No market prices yet.
Spread Chicago Bulls 0
CHI 0
29.9%
DEN 0
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
CHI
No market prices yet.
DEN
No market prices yet.
Spread Chicago Bulls +3
CHI +3
35.3%
DEN -3
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
CHI
No market prices yet.
DEN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
Chicago BullsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H29/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
49-78
49
78
-29
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A03/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
52-84
52
84
-32
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H12/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H14/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A15/11
NBA
121.4Avg total
58.7Scored
62.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.662.9119.5-6.340%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.861.5120.3-2.750%-
Last 30 away (18)55.163.8118.9-8.733%-
Last 10 (10)58.762.7121.4-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)60.261.2121.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)55.663.5119.0-7.935%-
vs Similar (5)60.467.6128.0-7.240%-
vs Weaker (2)59.044.0103.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A15/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
59.6Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.2118.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.762.4124.1-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)57.853.5111.3+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)59.656.8116.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.853.0110.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.553.8111.2+3.875%-
vs Similar (13)58.258.0116.2+0.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)62.359.8122.2+2.554%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.829.4
57.9%
54.0%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.412.7
32.2%
35.1%38.1
🏀 Free throws26.721.1
79.0%
77.3%21.1
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.3%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chicago Bulls
WWLLLLLLLL
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLWWLW
#27
League position
#10
-8.3
Net rating
-1.6
103.7
Offensive rating
110.1
112.0
Defensive rating
111.6
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.7%
Turnover %
11.1%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
16.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.2%
3-point %
32.2%
66.0%
Assist %
65.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 110.1Defence112.0 · 111.6Shooting53.7% · 53.6%3-point %32.2% · 32.2%Ball care15.7% · 11.1%Off. rebounds22.8% · 16.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Chicago Bulls   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Chicago Bulls wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves117-106
14/11/26HAtlanta Hawks125-117 OT
12/11/26HSan Antonio Spurs119-124
08/11/26HPhiladelphia 76ers121-127
05/11/26ANew York Knicks105-135
03/11/26APhiladelphia 76ers107-126
30/10/26ABoston Celtics111-125
29/10/26HNew York Knicks127-133
26/10/26ABoston Celtics99-134
25/10/26HWashington Wizards120-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans116-108
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago Bulls
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW25%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%20%29%
Points / game114.6122.4109.0
Allowed / game125.9125.0126.6
Point differential-11.3-2.6-17.6
Avg total240.5247.4235.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %8%20%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game114.6123.2109.7
Allowed / game112.8124.0106.4
Point differential+1.8-0.8+3.3
Avg total227.5247.2216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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