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Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 129-121
32-35 29-33 34-28 34-25
Position#19
Record19-27
FormLLWLL
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game120.0
vs
Position#9
Record28-17
FormWWWWL
Points / game120.6
Allowed / game116.0
USANBA· United Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Chicago Bulls v Denver Nuggets
22 Nov 2026
CHI v DEN
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
CHI120
DEN136
27 Jan 2025
CHI129
DEN121
12 Dec 2023
CHI106
DEN114
13 Nov 2022
CHI103
DEN126
06 Dec 2021
CHI109
DEN97
01 Mar 2021
CHI112
DEN118
23 Mar 2020
CHI v DEN
upcoming
31 Oct 2018
CHI107
DEN108
21 Mar 2018
CHI102
DEN135
28 Feb 2017
CHI107
DEN125
02 Dec 2015
CHI99
DEN90
01 Jan 2015
CHI106
DEN101
21 Feb 2014
CHI117
DEN89
18 Mar 2013
CHI118
DEN119
26 Mar 2012
CHI91
DEN108
08 Nov 2010
CHI94
DEN92
10 Nov 2009
CHI89
DEN90
20 Feb 2009
CHI116
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago Bulls winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulls
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
113-129
113
129
-16
104avg 108
A09/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
138-105
138
105
+33
146avg 108
H11/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
119-124
119
124
-5
110avg 108
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
113-119
113
119
-6
109avg 108
H15/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
94-110
94
110
-16
91avg 108
H16/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
123-125
123
125
-2
122avg 108
H18/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
102-113
102
113
-11
91avg 108
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
112-99
112
99
+13
104avg 108
A21/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
106-131
106
131
-25
93avg 108
A24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
97-109
97
109
-12
93avg 108
H26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
26-34
32-37
37-29
36-26
32-32
41-24
29-23
30-32
33-29
32-36
24-27
33-29
26-24
27-33
27-33
25-27
22-34
31-25
16-24
29-36
42-37
32-25
20-27
34-22
19-31
24-34
25-26
25-18
23-32
36-16
28-33
33-30
31-33
16-31
26-37
28-30
25-30
30-20
14-29
228.1Avg total
111.7Scored
116.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)116.4120.0236.4-3.541%
Season at home (24)115.0119.1234.1-4.133%
Season away (22)118.0121.0239.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)111.7116.4228.1-4.720%
Last 5 (5)108.0115.4223.4-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)118.9123.9242.7-5.043%
vs Similar (13)117.0121.7238.7-4.738%
vs Weaker (10)115.7110.4226.1+5.350%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
126-103
126
103
+23
124avg 111
H09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
124-105
124
105
+19
126avg 111
H11/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
112-101
112
101
+11
105avg 111
A12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
118-99
118
99
+19
121avg 111
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
108-128
108
128
-20
102avg 111
H16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
133-113
133
113
+20
133avg 111
A18/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
113-100
113
100
+13
118avg 111
A19/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
144-109
144
109
+35
158avg 111
H22/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
132-123
132
123
+9
126avg 111
H24/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
104-133
104
133
-29
98avg 111
A25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-19
33-31
32-27
28-26
32-36
33-23
29-20
30-26
17-32
41-29
21-28
33-12
36-21
35-24
20-22
27-32
23-28
25-41
33-33
27-26
30-24
37-31
31-31
35-27
28-29
26-23
39-25
20-23
35-27
42-40
40-27
27-15
40-31
34-21
36-33
22-38
31-40
29-31
31-38
13-24
232.8Avg total
121.4Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)120.6116.0236.5+4.662%
Season at home (22)121.5116.2237.8+5.364%
Season away (23)119.7115.7235.3+4.061%
Last 10 (10)121.4111.4232.8+10.080%
Last 5 (5)125.2115.6240.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)118.3131.0249.3-12.70%
vs Similar (14)120.6116.7237.4+3.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)124.6113.1237.7+11.569%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
Chicago BullsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A09/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H11/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H15/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
47-61
47
61
-14
H16/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H18/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A21/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H26/01
NBA
116.5Avg total
57.0Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.058.5115.5-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (18)57.760.4118.2-2.739%-
Last 30 away (12)55.955.6111.5+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)57.059.5116.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)57.859.8117.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)58.662.0120.6-3.414%-
vs Similar (13)55.459.5114.8-4.146%-
vs Weaker (10)58.054.8112.8+3.260%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H11/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
71-45
71
45
+26
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A18/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A19/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H22/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H24/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A25/01
NBA
122.1Avg total
64.0Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.860.5122.3+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.361.2122.5+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)62.259.9122.2+2.338%-
Last 10 (10)64.058.1122.1+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)66.459.4125.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.367.7129.0-6.30%-
vs Similar (14)61.258.8120.0+2.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)62.560.8123.3+1.846%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 111.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.227.8
53.3%
54.3%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.413.8
35.9%
35.9%41.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.7
78.2%
77.8%14.7
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.533.4
59.1%
54.3%66.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.712.3
40.1%
35.9%36.9
🏀 Free throws23.217.7
76.3%
77.8%17.7
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chicago Bulls
LLWLLLLLWL
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWLWWWW
#19
League position
#9
-4.6
Net rating
+9.9
109.2
Offensive rating
120.6
113.8
Defensive rating
110.6
53.5%
Effective FG%
59.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.0%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.9%
3-point %
40.1%
64.4%
Assist %
65.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 120.6Defence113.8 · 110.6Shooting53.5% · 59.5%3-point %35.9% · 40.1%Ball care13.8% · 14.0%Off. rebounds24.9% · 29.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Chicago Bulls   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chicago Bulls wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HPhiladelphia 76ers97-109
24/01/25AGolden State Warriors106-131
21/01/25ALos Angeles Clippers112-99
20/01/25APortland Trail Blazers102-113
18/01/25HCharlotte Hornets123-125
16/01/25HAtlanta Hawks94-110
15/01/25HNew Orleans Pelicans113-119
12/01/25HSacramento Kings119-124
11/01/25HWashington Wizards138-105
09/01/25AIndiana Pacers113-129
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AMinnesota Timberwolves104-133
24/01/25HSacramento Kings132-123
22/01/25HPhiladelphia 76ers144-109
19/01/25AOrlando Magic113-100
18/01/25AMiami Heat133-113
16/01/25HHouston Rockets108-128
15/01/25ADallas Mavericks118-99
12/01/25ADallas Mavericks112-101
11/01/25HBrooklyn Nets124-105
09/01/25HLos Angeles Clippers126-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago Bulls
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %41%33%50%
Points / game116.4115.0118.0
Allowed / game120.0119.1121.0
Point differential-3.5-4.1-3.0
Avg total236.4234.1239.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%21%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)60% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayWWWWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %62%64%61%
Points / game120.6121.5119.7
Allowed / game116.0116.2115.7
Point differential+4.6+5.3+4.0
Avg total236.5237.8235.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%41%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4335881%116.7104.5+12.1
2 Cleveland Cavaliers4637980%121.8112.1+9.7
3 Houston Rockets43301370%115.1108.8+6.3
4 Boston Celtics47321568%117.2108.5+8.7
5 New York Knicks46311567%118.2110.8+7.3
6 Memphis Grizzlies47311666%123.3115.6+7.7
7 Denver Nuggets45281762%120.6116.0+4.6
8 Los Angeles Lakers44261859%111.5112.6-1.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers45261958%110.0106.8+3.2
10 Milwaukee Bucks41231856%114.4111.4+3.1
11 Indiana Pacers45252056%115.5114.8+0.8
12 Dallas Mavericks45242153%115.3112.0+3.3
13 Minnesota Timberwolves45242153%110.6108.1+2.5
14 Phoenix Suns44232152%112.7113.6-0.9
15 Sacramento Kings46242252%116.9114.6+2.3
16 Miami Heat45232251%111.0110.4+0.6
17 Orlando Magic47242351%104.0104.7-0.8
18 Golden State Warriors44222250%111.8111.9-0.2
19 Detroit Pistons46232350%111.8113.0-1.3
20 Atlanta Hawks43212249%116.8119.6-2.8
21 San Antonio Spurs43202347%112.0113.5-1.5
22 Chicago Bulls46192741%116.4120.0-3.5
23 Philadelphia 76ers44172739%108.1112.4-4.3
24 Portland Trail Blazers46172937%107.8115.3-7.5
25 Toronto Raptors46143230%111.3117.1-5.8
26 Brooklyn Nets47143330%105.5113.3-7.9
27 Charlotte Hornets43123128%107.5112.2-4.7
28 New Orleans Pelicans47123526%109.1117.7-8.6
29 Utah Jazz43103323%111.3118.5-7.2
30 Washington Wizards4463814%107.8122.1-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chicago Bulls32293434129
Denver Nuggets35332825121
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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