PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 24 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Postponed
Position#23
Record22-43
FormWLLLW
Points / game106.8
Allowed / game109.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#9
Record43-22
FormLWLWL
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game107.4
USANBA· United Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Chicago Bulls v Denver Nuggets
22 Nov 2026
CHI v DEN
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
CHI120
DEN136
27 Jan 2025
CHI129
DEN121
12 Dec 2023
CHI106
DEN114
13 Nov 2022
CHI103
DEN126
06 Dec 2021
CHI109
DEN97
01 Mar 2021
CHI112
DEN118
23 Mar 2020
CHI v DEN
upcoming
31 Oct 2018
CHI107
DEN108
21 Mar 2018
CHI102
DEN135
28 Feb 2017
CHI107
DEN125
02 Dec 2015
CHI99
DEN90
01 Jan 2015
CHI106
DEN101
21 Feb 2014
CHI117
DEN89
18 Mar 2013
CHI118
DEN119
26 Mar 2012
CHI91
DEN108
08 Nov 2010
CHI94
DEN92
10 Nov 2009
CHI89
DEN90
20 Feb 2009
CHI116
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago Bulls win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulls
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
93-103
93
103
-10
80avg 94
H21/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
104-112
104
112
-8
91avg 94
H23/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
126-117
126
117
+9
121avg 94
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
122-124
122
124
-2
109avg 94
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
115-125
115
125
-10
101avg 94
A29/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
109-107
109
107
+2
96avg 94
H03/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
L
108-115
108
115
-7
95avg 94
A05/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
102-108
102
108
-6
91avg 94
H07/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
107-110
107
110
-3
87avg 94
A08/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
108-103
108
103
+5
104avg 94
H11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
24-27
29-19
20-24
24-22
33-25
23-36
24-29
35-31
38-27
28-27
25-32
28-36
27-36
38-19
29-33
25-31
28-35
33-23
29-36
19-29
29-29
33-17
28-32
29-22
29-33
21-33
29-27
25-29
21-33
26-27
30-19
23-22
27-36
20-19
37-33
27-29
27-23
24-26
30-25
221.8Avg total
109.4Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)106.8109.9216.8-3.134%
Season at home (34)106.1107.6213.7-1.541%
Season away (31)107.6112.5220.1-4.826%
Last 10 (10)109.4112.4221.8-3.030%
Last 5 (5)106.8108.6215.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)104.9114.2219.1-9.28%
vs Similar (15)109.5114.1223.6-4.533%
vs Weaker (3)114.7108.3223.0+6.3100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
101-113
101
113
-12
94avg 103
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
128-116
128
116
+12
123avg 103
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
115-98
115
98
+17
121avg 103
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
103-132
103
132
-29
87avg 103
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
133-118
133
118
+15
137avg 103
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
100-116
100
116
-16
94avg 103
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
114-112
114
112
+2
112avg 103
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
102-104
102
104
-2
94avg 103
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
109-95
109
95
+14
103avg 103
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
97-113
97
113
-16
89avg 103
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
31-21
29-30
24-35
43-38
30-27
24-22
31-29
29-23
30-23
23-26
33-26
27-37
29-29
23-32
24-34
40-32
33-37
27-27
33-22
25-26
33-23
23-33
19-34
31-34
29-17
20-31
34-30
33-23
28-35
22-27
19-19
39-24
23-30
14-17
33-24
29-33
21-24
35-27
12-29
221.9Avg total
110.2Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)110.4107.4217.8+3.066%
Season at home (33)111.3105.3216.6+6.076%
Season away (32)109.5109.7219.1-0.256%
Last 10 (10)110.2111.7221.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)104.4108.0212.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)117.0114.0231.0+3.067%
vs Similar (13)109.1108.5217.5+0.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)113.5110.6224.2+2.964%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
Chicago BullsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H21/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H23/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
55-72
55
72
-17
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A29/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H03/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A05/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H07/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A08/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H11/03
NBA
112.6Avg total
53.8Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.658.1111.7-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.458.5111.9-5.133%-
Last 30 away (15)53.957.7111.5-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)53.858.8112.6-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)51.257.0108.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)50.657.6108.2-7.017%-
vs Similar (15)55.557.9113.5-2.440%-
vs Weaker (3)56.360.7117.0-4.367%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A12/03
NBA
116.3Avg total
60.0Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.456.0112.4+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.053.2111.2+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)55.058.5113.5-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)60.056.3116.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)58.253.8112.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.061.5123.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (13)52.454.6107.0-2.231%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)58.154.7112.8+3.473%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.429.9
54.0%
52.3%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.412.2
35.5%
35.7%36.6
🏀 Free throws18.313.0
71.0%
77.2%13.0
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.432.1
57.9%
52.3%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.7
36.3%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
77.2%13.9
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chicago Bulls
WLLLWLLWLL
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWLWWL
#23
League position
#9
-3.0
Net rating
-1.5
108.6
Offensive rating
111.4
111.6
Defensive rating
113.0
53.7%
Effective FG%
56.7%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.5%
3-point %
36.3%
56.5%
Assist %
62.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 111.4Defence111.6 · 113.0Shooting53.7% · 56.7%3-point %35.5% · 36.3%Ball care15.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds26.0% · 23.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Chicago Bulls   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Chicago Bulls wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/20HCleveland Cavaliers108-103
08/03/20ABrooklyn Nets107-110
07/03/20HIndiana Pacers102-108
05/03/20AMinnesota Timberwolves108-115
03/03/20HDallas Mavericks109-107
29/02/20ANew York Knicks115-125
26/02/20HOklahoma City Thunder122-124
24/02/20HWashington Wizards126-117
23/02/20HPhoenix Suns104-112
21/02/20HCharlotte Hornets93-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/20ADallas Mavericks97-113
10/03/20HMilwaukee Bucks109-95
08/03/20ACleveland Cavaliers102-104
06/03/20ACharlotte Hornets114-112
04/03/20HGolden State Warriors100-116
01/03/20HToronto Raptors133-118
29/02/20ALos Angeles Clippers103-132
26/02/20HDetroit Pistons115-98
23/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves128-116
22/02/20AOklahoma City Thunder101-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago Bulls
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW34%
HomeWLWLW41%
AwayLLLLL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653431
Win %34%41%26%
Points / game106.8106.1107.6
Allowed / game109.9107.6112.5
Point differential-3.1-1.5-4.8
Avg total216.8213.7220.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%12%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)56% (9)29% (7)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL66%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653332
Win %66%76%56%
Points / game110.4111.3109.5
Allowed / game107.4105.3109.7
Point differential+3.0+6.0-0.2
Avg total217.8216.6219.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)57% (7)58% (12)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks65531282%118.6107.4+11.3
2 Los Angeles Lakers63491478%114.3106.9+7.4
3 Toronto Raptors64461872%113.0106.5+6.5
4 Los Angeles Clippers64442069%116.2109.7+6.5
5 Boston Celtics64432167%113.0106.8+6.2
6 Denver Nuggets65432266%110.4107.4+3.0
7 Utah Jazz64412364%111.0107.9+3.2
8 Miami Heat65412463%112.2108.9+3.2
9 Houston Rockets64402462%118.1114.4+3.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder64402462%110.8108.3+2.5
11 Philadelphia 76ers65392660%109.6107.4+2.2
12 Indiana Pacers65392660%109.3107.4+1.9
13 Dallas Mavericks67402760%116.4110.3+6.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies65323349%112.6113.7-1.1
15 Brooklyn Nets64303447%110.8111.4-0.6
16 Orlando Magic65303546%106.4107.3-1.0
17 Portland Trail Blazers66293744%113.6115.2-1.6
18 New Orleans Pelicans64283644%116.2117.0-0.8
19 Sacramento Kings64283644%109.0110.9-1.9
20 San Antonio Spurs63273643%113.2114.9-1.8
21 Phoenix Suns65263940%112.6113.9-1.4
22 Washington Wizards64244038%115.6119.7-4.0
23 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
24 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.