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Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 120-97
30-32 21-34 36-23 33-8
Position#22
Record24-36
FormLLLLL
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game120.5
vs
Position#21
Record26-32
FormWLWWL
Points / game112.1
Allowed / game115.6
USANBA· United Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Chicago Bulls v Milwaukee Bucks
05 Jan 2027
CHI v MIL
upcoming
01 Mar 2026
CHI120
MIL97
27 Dec 2025
CHI103
MIL112
28 Dec 2024
CHI116
MIL111
23 Dec 2024
CHI91
MIL112
01 Mar 2024
CHI97
MIL113
30 Nov 2023
CHI120
MIL113
16 Feb 2023
CHI100
MIL112
28 Dec 2022
CHI119
MIL113
24 Apr 2022
CHI95
MIL119
22 Apr 2022
CHI81
MIL111
05 Apr 2022
CHI106
MIL127
04 Mar 2022
CHI112
MIL118
16 May 2021
CHI118
MIL112
30 Apr 2021
CHI98
MIL108
30 Dec 2019
CHI102
MIL123
18 Nov 2019
CHI101
MIL115
25 Feb 2019
CHI106
MIL117
11 Feb 2019
CHI99
MIL112
23 Mar 2018
CHI105
MIL118
28 Jan 2018
CHI96
MIL110
31 Dec 2016
CHI96
MIL116
16 Dec 2016
CHI69
MIL95
07 Mar 2016
CHI100
MIL90
05 Jan 2016
CHI117
MIL106
27 Apr 2015
CHI88
MIL94
20 Apr 2015
CHI91
MIL82
18 Apr 2015
CHI103
MIL91
23 Feb 2015
CHI87
MIL71
10 Jan 2015
CHI95
MIL87
04 Apr 2014
CHI102
MIL90
10 Dec 2013
CHI74
MIL78
09 Jan 2013
CHI96
MIL104
26 Nov 2012
CHI92
MIL93
22 Feb 2012
CHI110
MIL91
27 Jan 2012
CHI107
MIL100
24 Jan 2011
CHI92
MIL83
28 Dec 2010
CHI90
MIL77
06 Apr 2010
CHI74
MIL79
03 Nov 2009
CHI83
MIL81
06 Mar 2009
CHI117
MIL102
28 Oct 2008
CHI108
MIL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago Bulls winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulls
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
115-131
115
131
-16
105avg 111
A04/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
107-123
107
123
-16
98avg 111
A06/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
120-136
120
136
-16
107avg 111
H08/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
115-123
115
123
-8
98avg 111
A10/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
105-124
105
124
-19
93avg 111
A12/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
101-110
101
110
-9
92avg 111
H20/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
110-126
110
126
-16
106avg 111
H22/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
99-105
99
105
-6
92avg 111
H23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
99-131
99
131
-32
84avg 111
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
112-121
112
121
-9
110avg 111
H27/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-39
28-38
37-28
26-26
25-33
33-32
30-35
19-23
36-39
29-20
39-38
16-39
31-27
23-33
35-29
26-34
27-36
17-36
26-26
35-26
23-25
22-28
33-34
23-23
30-28
20-25
26-44
34-29
27-25
26-27
25-31
21-22
31-31
24-25
16-42
28-33
34-32
29-37
23-24
26-28
231.3Avg total
108.3Scored
123.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)115.7120.5236.2-4.740%
Season at home (32)114.4117.9232.2-3.547%
Season away (28)117.3123.4240.7-6.132%
Last 10 (10)108.3123.0231.3-14.70%
Last 5 (5)104.2118.6222.8-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)109.5119.7229.2-10.124%
vs Similar ◀ (6)119.2117.8237.0+1.350%
vs Weaker (3)116.0112.3228.3+3.733%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
141-137 OT
141
137
+4
145avg 106
H05/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
105-99
105
99
+6
98avg 106
H07/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
99-118
99
118
-19
88avg 106
A10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
116-108
116
108
+8
114avg 106
A12/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
110-93
110
93
+17
102avg 106
A13/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
139-118
139
118
+21
133avg 106
A21/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
94-122
94
122
-28
82avg 106
H22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
128-117
128
117
+11
119avg 106
H25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
118-116
118
116
+2
112avg 106
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
98-127
98
127
-29
89avg 106
H28/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-34
33-36
36-34
29-24
23-29
31-18
29-18
22-34
22-27
32-24
20-36
25-31
20-24
32-27
36-32
28-25
30-25
37-30
22-18
21-20
33-38
38-27
32-31
36-22
27-22
24-38
22-32
21-30
30-29
33-29
26-35
39-24
33-33
29-30
31-31
25-22
30-38
27-39
26-26
15-24
230.3Avg total
114.8Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)112.1115.6227.7-3.545%
Season at home (28)115.4117.7233.1-2.250%
Season away (30)109.0113.7222.7-4.740%
Last 10 (10)114.8115.5230.3-0.770%
Last 5 (5)115.4120.0235.4-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)107.6115.2222.8-7.740%
vs Similar ◀ (8)119.8111.1230.9+8.688%
vs Weaker (2)106.0111.5217.5-5.50%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
Chicago BullsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A04/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A06/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H08/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A10/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
44-72
44
72
-28
A12/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H20/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H22/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H27/02
NBA
115.5Avg total
53.9Scored
61.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.058.6113.6-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.457.1115.5+1.344%-
Last 30 away (12)50.060.8110.8-10.817%-
Last 10 (10)53.961.6115.5-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)53.256.6109.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)53.758.6112.3-4.924%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)59.859.8119.7+0.067%-
vs Weaker (3)54.756.0110.7-1.333%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H05/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H07/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A12/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A13/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A21/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H28/02
NBA
119.1Avg total
59.4Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.358.2114.5-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.562.1118.6-5.625%-
Last 30 away (18)56.255.6111.8+0.756%-
Last 10 (10)59.459.7119.1-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)60.864.6125.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)54.859.5114.3-4.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)61.254.0115.2+7.275%-
vs Weaker (2)52.561.0113.5-8.50%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.7
52.3%
54.8%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.814.9
35.6%
35.8%44.7
🏀 Free throws20.716.2
78.3%
78.1%16.2
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.428.6
59.1%
54.8%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.515.2
38.5%
35.8%45.6
🏀 Free throws15.112.0
79.5%
78.1%12.0
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chicago Bulls
LLLLLLLLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWLWWWLWW
#22
League position
#21
-14.2
Net rating
-0.7
104.9
Offensive rating
116.0
119.2
Defensive rating
116.7
52.9%
Effective FG%
58.5%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
16.6%
Turnover %
13.9%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.17
35.6%
3-point %
38.5%
63.7%
Assist %
56.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 116.0Defence119.2 · 116.7Shooting52.9% · 58.5%3-point %35.6% · 38.5%Ball care16.6% · 13.9%Off. rebounds23.2% · 24.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Chicago Bulls   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chicago Bulls wins
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HPortland Trail Blazers112-121
25/02/26HCharlotte Hornets99-131
23/02/26HNew York Knicks99-105
22/02/26HDetroit Pistons110-126
20/02/26HToronto Raptors101-110
12/02/26ABoston Celtics105-124
10/02/26ABrooklyn Nets115-123
08/02/26HDenver Nuggets120-136
06/02/26AToronto Raptors107-123
04/02/26AMilwaukee Bucks115-131
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HNew York Knicks98-127
26/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers118-116
25/02/26HMiami Heat128-117
22/02/26HToronto Raptors94-122
21/02/26ANew Orleans Pelicans139-118
13/02/26AOklahoma City Thunder110-93
12/02/26AOrlando Magic116-108
10/02/26AOrlando Magic99-118
07/02/26HIndiana Pacers105-99
05/02/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-137 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago Bulls
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeLLLLL47%
AwayLLLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603228
Win %40%47%32%
Points / game115.7114.4117.3
Allowed / game120.5117.9123.4
Point differential-4.7-3.5-6.1
Avg total236.2232.2240.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%22%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won63% (19)75% (8)55% (11)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL45%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game112.1115.4109.0
Allowed / game115.6117.7113.7
Point differential-3.5-2.2-4.7
Avg total227.7233.1222.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%32%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)57% (7)44% (9)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder59451476%119.3108.5+10.8
2 Detroit Pistons58441476%117.5109.7+7.8
3 San Antonio Spurs58411771%117.8111.7+6.1
4 Boston Celtics59392066%115.0107.5+7.5
5 New York Knicks59372263%117.0111.2+5.8
6 Houston Rockets59372263%114.5109.2+5.3
7 Denver Nuggets60372362%120.5115.9+4.6
8 Minnesota Timberwolves60372362%119.2114.7+4.5
9 Cleveland Cavaliers61372461%119.4115.2+4.2
10 Los Angeles Lakers58352360%115.7115.4+0.3
11 Toronto Raptors59352459%114.2111.9+2.3
12 Phoenix Suns59342558%112.5110.9+1.6
13 Philadelphia 76ers59332656%116.7115.9+0.7
14 Orlando Magic56302654%114.8114.4+0.4
15 Miami Heat60322853%120.0117.0+3.0
16 Golden State Warriors60312952%115.6114.1+1.5
17 Charlotte Hornets61303149%116.0113.0+3.0
18 Atlanta Hawks61303149%117.1117.6-0.5
19 Portland Trail Blazers61293248%115.5118.1-2.6
20 Los Angeles Clippers58273147%111.7112.2-0.6
21 Milwaukee Bucks58263245%112.1115.6-3.5
22 Chicago Bulls60243640%115.7120.5-4.7
23 Memphis Grizzlies58223638%115.6117.9-2.3
24 Dallas Mavericks59213836%114.4118.0-3.6
25 New Orleans Pelicans61194231%115.0120.1-5.0
26 Utah Jazz60184230%117.8125.7-8.0
27 Washington Wizards59164327%112.2123.0-10.8
28 Brooklyn Nets59154425%107.0115.6-8.6
29 Indiana Pacers60154525%111.5119.5-8.0
30 Sacramento Kings61144723%110.4121.1-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chicago Bulls30213633120
Milwaukee Bucks323423897
← all games of the day
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