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Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 94-122
27-22 24-38 22-32 21-30
Position#21
Record24-30
FormWLWWW
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game115.2
vs
Position#11
Record33-22
FormLWWLW
Points / game113.9
Allowed / game112.0
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
06 Nov 2026
MIL107
TOR121
22 Feb 2026
MIL94
TOR122
18 Dec 2025
MIL105
TOR111
17 Jan 2025
MIL130
TOR112
12 Nov 2024
MIL99
TOR85
05 Apr 2024
MIL111
TOR117
19 Mar 2023
MIL118
TOR111
17 Jan 2023
MIL130
TOR122
15 Jan 2022
MIL96
TOR103
05 Jan 2022
MIL111
TOR117
18 Feb 2021
MIL96
TOR110
16 Feb 2021
MIL113
TOR124
10 Aug 2020
MIL106
TOR114
02 Nov 2019
MIL115
TOR105
23 May 2019
MIL v TOR
upcoming
17 May 2019
MIL125
TOR103
15 May 2019
MIL108
TOR100
05 Jan 2019
MIL116
TOR123
29 Oct 2018
MIL124
TOR109
05 Jan 2018
MIL110
TOR129
27 Apr 2017
MIL89
TOR92
22 Apr 2017
MIL76
TOR87
20 Apr 2017
MIL104
TOR77
04 Mar 2017
MIL101
TOR94
25 Nov 2016
MIL99
TOR105
15 Mar 2016
MIL89
TOR107
26 Dec 2015
MIL90
TOR111
19 Jan 2015
MIL89
TOR92
05 Apr 2014
MIL98
TOR102
02 Nov 2013
MIL90
TOR97
06 Apr 2013
MIL100
TOR83
02 Mar 2013
MIL122
TOR114
23 Apr 2012
MIL92
TOR86
11 Apr 2011
MIL93
TOR86
08 Feb 2011
MIL92
TOR74
20 Jan 2010
MIL113
TOR107
09 Dec 2009
MIL117
TOR95
05 Jan 2009
MIL107
TOR97
01 Nov 2008
MIL87
TOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
122-139
122
139
-17
116avg 106
A28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
99-109
99
109
-10
85avg 106
A30/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
79-107
79
107
-28
64avg 106
A01/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
131-115
131
115
+16
129avg 106
H04/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
141-137 OT
141
137
+4
145avg 106
H05/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
105-99
105
99
+6
98avg 106
H07/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
99-118
99
118
-19
88avg 106
A10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
116-108
116
108
+8
114avg 106
A12/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
110-93
110
93
+17
102avg 106
A13/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
139-118
139
118
+21
133avg 106
A21/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-42
28-29
33-35
27-33
23-25
20-32
29-25
27-27
26-26
16-30
19-22
18-29
39-24
38-28
28-37
26-26
30-34
33-36
36-34
29-24
23-29
31-18
29-18
22-34
22-27
32-24
20-36
25-31
20-24
32-27
36-32
28-25
30-25
37-30
22-18
21-20
33-38
38-27
32-31
36-22
228.4Avg total
114.1Scored
114.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)112.3115.2227.5-2.944%
Season at home (24)116.4117.2233.6-0.850%
Season away (30)109.0113.7222.7-4.740%
Last 10 (10)114.1114.3228.4-0.260%
Last 5 (5)113.8107.2221.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)107.7113.6221.4-5.937%
vs Similar (9)115.6112.9228.4+2.778%
vs Weaker (2)106.0111.5217.5-5.50%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
110-98
110
98
+12
109avg 106
A24/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
103-101
103
101
+2
99avg 106
A26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
92-119
92
119
-27
83avg 106
H29/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
120-130
120
130
-10
118avg 106
A31/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
107-100
107
100
+7
97avg 106
H01/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
126-128
126
128
-2
122avg 106
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
123-107
123
107
+16
123avg 106
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
122-104
122
104
+18
117avg 106
H08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
95-113
95
113
-18
87avg 106
H12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
110-101
110
101
+9
100avg 106
A20/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
31-31
26-31
34-24
25-30
29-20
25-31
24-20
28-18
23-29
19-35
22-37
28-29
29-21
42-36
21-44
28-23
23-33
35-28
21-16
35-32
37-27
32-35
22-34
33-25
32-33
35-30
23-19
21-20
25-28
44-26
32-30
19-29
33-38
22-27
21-19
25-23
28-22
34-33
23-23
220.9Avg total
110.8Scored
110.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)113.9112.0225.9+2.060%
Season at home (28)114.2112.5226.6+1.757%
Season away (27)113.7111.4225.1+2.363%
Last 10 (10)110.8110.1220.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)115.2110.6225.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)100.6114.0214.6-13.420%
vs Similar (16)115.4111.4226.9+4.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)112.0106.8218.8+5.278%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
Milwaukee BucksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A30/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A01/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H04/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H05/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H07/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A12/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A13/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A21/02
NBA
116.0Avg total
58.5Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.857.9113.7-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (10)55.861.1116.9-5.320%-
Last 30 away (20)55.856.3112.1-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)58.557.5116.0+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)59.653.8113.4+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)54.358.8113.1-4.632%-
vs Similar (9)59.855.2115.0+4.667%-
vs Weaker (2)52.561.0113.5-8.50%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A24/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H29/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A31/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H01/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
52-67
52
67
-15
H12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A20/02
NBA
107.4Avg total
55.1Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.255.5111.7+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.958.3116.3-0.460%-
Last 30 away (15)54.552.7107.2+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)55.152.3107.4+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)57.655.4113.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.656.2109.8-2.660%-
vs Similar (16)57.955.9113.8+2.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)54.754.6109.2+0.144%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.428.8
56.0%
54.8%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.115.0
39.4%
35.8%45.0
🏀 Free throws15.211.5
75.7%
78.1%11.5
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.229.8
54.0%
54.8%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.4
34.4%
35.8%31.2
🏀 Free throws25.520.0
78.4%
78.1%20.0
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWLWWWLLL
Toronto Raptors
WLWWLWLLWW
#21
League position
#11
-0.2
Net rating
+0.7
115.6
Offensive rating
109.6
115.8
Defensive rating
108.9
57.3%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
12.6%
Turnover %
14.1%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.4%
3-point %
34.4%
58.9%
Assist %
67.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 109.6Defence115.8 · 108.9Shooting57.3% · 53.2%3-point %39.4% · 34.4%Ball care12.6% · 14.1%Off. rebounds25.0% · 27.4%Free throws0.17 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ANew Orleans Pelicans139-118
13/02/26AOklahoma City Thunder110-93
12/02/26AOrlando Magic116-108
10/02/26AOrlando Magic99-118
07/02/26HIndiana Pacers105-99
05/02/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-137 OT
04/02/26HChicago Bulls131-115
01/02/26ABoston Celtics79-107
30/01/26AWashington Wizards99-109
28/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers122-139
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26AChicago Bulls110-101
12/02/26HDetroit Pistons95-113
08/02/26HIndiana Pacers122-104
06/02/26HChicago Bulls123-107
05/02/26HMinnesota Timberwolves126-128
01/02/26HUtah Jazz107-100
31/01/26AOrlando Magic120-130
29/01/26HNew York Knicks92-119
26/01/26AOklahoma City Thunder103-101
24/01/26APortland Trail Blazers110-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW44%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542430
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game112.3116.4109.0
Allowed / game115.2117.2113.7
Point differential-2.9-0.8-4.7
Avg total227.5233.6222.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)50% (6)44% (9)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayWWWLW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552827
Win %60%57%63%
Points / game113.9114.2113.7
Allowed / game112.0112.5111.4
Point differential+2.0+1.7+2.3
Avg total225.9226.6225.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%36%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)56% (9)100% (2)
Overtime %7%11%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder56431377%119.3108.0+11.3
2 Detroit Pistons55421376%117.6109.3+8.2
3 San Antonio Spurs54381670%118.4111.9+6.5
4 Boston Celtics55361965%115.4108.4+7.0
5 Denver Nuggets57362163%120.9116.1+4.8
6 Los Angeles Lakers54342063%116.1115.9+0.3
7 Cleveland Cavaliers58362262%119.7115.4+4.3
8 New York Knicks55342162%117.5112.1+5.4
9 Houston Rockets55342162%114.3109.4+4.9
10 Minnesota Timberwolves57352261%119.7114.7+5.0
11 Toronto Raptors55332260%113.9112.0+2.0
12 Phoenix Suns56332359%113.7111.5+2.2
13 Miami Heat57312654%120.2116.9+3.4
14 Philadelphia 76ers56302654%115.9116.1-0.2
15 Orlando Magic53282553%115.1114.6+0.5
16 Golden State Warriors56292752%115.4113.8+1.6
17 Los Angeles Clippers56272948%112.1112.6-0.4
18 Portland Trail Blazers57273047%116.1119.0-2.9
19 Atlanta Hawks58273147%116.9118.6-1.6
20 Charlotte Hornets57263146%115.4113.7+1.7
21 Milwaukee Bucks54243044%112.3115.2-2.9
22 Chicago Bulls57243342%116.4120.5-4.1
23 Memphis Grizzlies55213438%115.5117.7-2.3
24 Dallas Mavericks55193635%113.9117.5-3.6
25 Utah Jazz57183932%118.2125.9-7.7
26 Washington Wizards55163929%112.5122.7-10.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans58164228%114.8120.6-5.7
28 Brooklyn Nets55154027%106.8114.7-7.9
29 Indiana Pacers57154226%111.2118.7-7.5
30 Sacramento Kings58124621%110.1121.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2724222194
Toronto Raptors22383230122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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