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Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 97-113
24-33 20-25 28-24 25-31
Position#20
Record28-31
FormLLWLW
Points / game111.9
Allowed / game113.1
vs
Position#8
Record38-20
FormLWWWW
Points / game121.3
Allowed / game117.1
USANBA· United Center (Chicago)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Chicago Bulls v Milwaukee Bucks
05 Jan 2027
CHI v MIL
upcoming
01 Mar 2026
CHI120
MIL97
27 Dec 2025
CHI103
MIL112
28 Dec 2024
CHI116
MIL111
23 Dec 2024
CHI91
MIL112
01 Mar 2024
CHI97
MIL113
30 Nov 2023
CHI120
MIL113
16 Feb 2023
CHI100
MIL112
28 Dec 2022
CHI119
MIL113
24 Apr 2022
CHI95
MIL119
22 Apr 2022
CHI81
MIL111
05 Apr 2022
CHI106
MIL127
04 Mar 2022
CHI112
MIL118
16 May 2021
CHI118
MIL112
30 Apr 2021
CHI98
MIL108
30 Dec 2019
CHI102
MIL123
18 Nov 2019
CHI101
MIL115
25 Feb 2019
CHI106
MIL117
11 Feb 2019
CHI99
MIL112
23 Mar 2018
CHI105
MIL118
28 Jan 2018
CHI96
MIL110
31 Dec 2016
CHI96
MIL116
16 Dec 2016
CHI69
MIL95
07 Mar 2016
CHI100
MIL90
05 Jan 2016
CHI117
MIL106
27 Apr 2015
CHI88
MIL94
20 Apr 2015
CHI91
MIL82
18 Apr 2015
CHI103
MIL91
23 Feb 2015
CHI87
MIL71
10 Jan 2015
CHI95
MIL87
04 Apr 2014
CHI102
MIL90
10 Dec 2013
CHI74
MIL78
09 Jan 2013
CHI96
MIL104
26 Nov 2012
CHI92
MIL93
22 Feb 2012
CHI110
MIL91
27 Jan 2012
CHI107
MIL100
24 Jan 2011
CHI92
MIL83
28 Dec 2010
CHI90
MIL77
06 Apr 2010
CHI74
MIL79
03 Nov 2009
CHI83
MIL81
06 Mar 2009
CHI117
MIL102
28 Oct 2008
CHI108
MIL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago Bulls winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulls
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
115-123
115
123
-8
108avg 103
H04/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
129-123 OT
129
123
+6
121avg 103
H07/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
118-110
118
110
+8
119avg 103
A09/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
90avg 103
A11/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
136-126
136
126
+10
131avg 103
A13/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
105-108
105
108
-3
96avg 103
A15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
112-129
112
129
-17
106avg 103
H23/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
114-106
114
106
+8
108avg 103
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
95-105
95
105
-10
76avg 103
H28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
132-123 OT
132
123
+9
127avg 103
H29/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
27-39
29-20
34-32
22-33
25-36
36-23
32-23
27-31
25-25
28-25
38-29
24-26
26-26
36-28
15-21
26-33
34-26
37-33
39-34
32-25
17-18
27-28
29-37
23-31
39-28
21-37
29-33
28-21
29-39
24-22
33-24
29-22
26-28
22-29
18-26
23-32
29-21
26-28
25-22
233.1Avg total
116.4Scored
116.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)111.9113.1225.0-1.247%
Season at home (30)112.2111.2223.4+1.053%
Season away (29)111.6115.1226.7-3.641%
Last 10 (10)116.4116.7233.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)111.6114.2225.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)108.7113.7222.4-5.043%
vs Similar ◀ (12)116.7120.0236.7-3.333%
vs Weaker (11)112.8105.4218.2+7.582%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
106-114
106
114
-8
93avg 114
A07/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
105-129
105
129
-24
104avg 114
H09/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
120-84
120
84
+36
114avg 114
H10/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
112-95
112
95
+17
114avg 114
H13/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
97-123
97
123
-26
89avg 114
H14/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
110-113
110
113
-3
101avg 114
A16/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
112-107
112
107
+5
105avg 114
A24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
119-98
119
98
+21
126avg 114
A25/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
123-85
123
85
+38
124avg 114
H28/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
111-99
111
99
+12
102avg 114
A01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
26-26
24-31
33-35
26-30
27-33
22-39
30-27
31-17
35-21
33-25
21-21
28-23
32-21
31-19
21-32
28-40
24-29
24-29
21-25
26-29
31-28
28-37
25-19
31-27
20-30
36-13
25-37
35-21
34-27
26-34
24-16
32-16
26-10
38-23
27-36
35-25
35-26
22-23
19-25
216.2Avg total
111.5Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)121.3117.1238.4+4.166%
Season at home (29)122.7116.0238.7+6.779%
Season away (29)119.8118.3238.1+1.652%
Last 10 (10)111.5104.7216.2+6.860%
Last 5 (5)115.0100.4215.4+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)135.0102.0237.0+33.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)116.2117.9234.1-1.850%
vs Weaker (11)121.5113.3234.7+8.264%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
Chicago BullsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
52-71
52
71
-19
H04/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
47-69
47
69
-22
H07/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A09/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A11/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A13/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H23/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H29/02
NBA
110.8Avg total
53.6Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.155.2110.3-0.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.454.9110.3+0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)54.755.5110.3-0.853%-
Last 10 (10)53.657.2110.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)55.053.0108.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)53.060.4113.4-7.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)56.257.4113.7-1.242%-
vs Weaker (11)55.149.5104.6+5.582%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A07/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H09/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H10/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H13/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H14/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A16/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
69-48
69
48
+21
A25/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
58-26
58
26
+32
H28/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
70-51
70
51
+19
A01/03
NBA
108.6Avg total
58.5Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.656.6116.2+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.553.9114.5+6.669%-
Last 30 away (17)58.958.6117.6+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)58.550.1108.6+8.460%-
Last 5 (5)61.047.8108.8+13.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.038.0113.0+37.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)57.358.3115.6-1.150%-
vs Weaker (11)62.155.5117.5+6.673%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 116.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.231.8
52.0%
54.4%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.2
34.8%
36.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws22.919.2
83.8%
78.2%19.2
They take 93.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.826.2
56.0%
54.4%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.514.8
37.5%
36.3%44.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.7
75.4%
78.2%14.7
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chicago Bulls
WLWLLWLWWL
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLLWWLL
#20
League position
#8
-0.3
Net rating
+6.9
113.8
Offensive rating
113.8
114.1
Defensive rating
106.8
52.0%
Effective FG%
56.1%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
11.4%
Turnover %
12.0%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.8%
3-point %
37.5%
58.1%
Assist %
65.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 113.8Defence114.1 · 106.8Shooting52.0% · 56.1%3-point %34.8% · 37.5%Ball care11.4% · 12.0%Off. rebounds28.2% · 20.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Chicago Bulls   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chicago Bulls wins
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24HCleveland Cavaliers132-123 OT
28/02/24HDetroit Pistons95-105
26/02/24ANew Orleans Pelicans114-106
23/02/24HBoston Celtics112-129
15/02/24ACleveland Cavaliers105-108
13/02/24AAtlanta Hawks136-126
11/02/24AOrlando Magic108-114 OT
09/02/24AMemphis Grizzlies118-110
07/02/24HMinnesota Timberwolves129-123 OT
04/02/24HSacramento Kings115-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24ACharlotte Hornets111-99
28/02/24HCharlotte Hornets123-85
25/02/24APhiladelphia 76ers119-98
24/02/24AMinnesota Timberwolves112-107
16/02/24AMemphis Grizzlies110-113
14/02/24HMiami Heat97-123
13/02/24HDenver Nuggets112-95
10/02/24HCharlotte Hornets120-84
09/02/24HMinnesota Timberwolves105-129
07/02/24APhoenix Suns106-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago Bulls
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW47%
HomeLWLLW53%
AwayWLWLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %47%53%41%
Points / game111.9112.2111.6
Allowed / game113.1111.2115.1
Point differential-1.2+1.0-3.6
Avg total225.0223.4226.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%27%3%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)57% (7)20% (5)
Overtime %15%20%10%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeLWWLW79%
AwayLLWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582929
Win %66%79%52%
Points / game121.3122.7119.8
Allowed / game117.1116.0118.3
Point differential+4.1+6.7+1.6
Avg total238.4238.7238.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)100% (7)38% (8)
Overtime %5%7%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics58471181%121.1110.0+11.1
2 Minnesota Timberwolves60421870%113.7106.6+7.0
3 Oklahoma City Thunder59411869%121.2113.3+7.9
4 Denver Nuggets60411968%114.4110.2+4.2
5 Cleveland Cavaliers59392066%114.6109.6+5.1
6 Milwaukee Bucks58382066%121.3117.1+4.1
7 Los Angeles Clippers57372065%117.5112.9+4.5
8 Phoenix Suns58352360%117.6114.4+3.2
9 New Orleans Pelicans59352459%116.5111.3+5.3
10 New York Knicks59352459%113.4109.3+4.1
11 Sacramento Kings58342459%118.2117.7+0.5
12 Philadelphia 76ers59342558%117.1113.7+3.4
13 Orlando Magic60342657%111.5110.2+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks60342657%118.8118.0+0.8
15 Miami Heat59332656%110.4109.7+0.6
16 Golden State Warriors59322754%119.1116.8+2.3
17 Indiana Pacers59322754%123.5122.3+1.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers59312853%117.1118.3-1.2
19 Chicago Bulls59283147%111.9113.1-1.2
20 Utah Jazz60273345%117.5120.4-2.9
21 Atlanta Hawks59263344%120.7122.9-2.1
22 Houston Rockets59253442%112.7113.1-0.4
23 Brooklyn Nets59233639%112.1114.5-2.4
24 Toronto Raptors60223837%114.5117.8-3.4
25 Memphis Grizzlies60204033%106.2112.9-6.7
26 Portland Trail Blazers58164228%107.5115.9-8.4
27 Charlotte Hornets60154525%107.6118.1-10.5
28 San Antonio Spurs60124820%112.3120.6-8.3
29 Detroit Pistons5995015%112.5121.1-8.7
30 Washington Wizards5995015%114.6124.4-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chicago Bulls2420282597
Milwaukee Bucks33252431113
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