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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 93-110
25-30 30-37 18-22 20-21
Position#1
Record41-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game120.1
Allowed / game108.3
vs
Position#21
Record22-30
FormWWWLW
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game115.6
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks
29 Dec 2026
OKC v MIL
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
OKC93
MIL110
03 Feb 2025
OKC125
MIL96
12 Apr 2024
OKC125
MIL107
09 Nov 2022
OKC132
MIL136
08 Mar 2022
OKC115
MIL142
14 Feb 2021
OKC114
MIL109
10 Nov 2019
OKC119
MIL121
27 Jan 2019
OKC118
MIL112
29 Dec 2017
OKC95
MIL97
04 Apr 2017
OKC110
MIL79
29 Dec 2015
OKC131
MIL123
09 Dec 2014
OKC114
MIL101
11 Jan 2014
OKC101
MIL85
17 Apr 2013
OKC89
MIL95
13 Apr 2011
OKC106
MIL110
27 Nov 2009
OKC108
MIL90
29 Oct 2008
OKC87
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
114-117
114
117
-3
104avg 110
H24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
101-103
101
103
-2
92avg 110
H26/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
104-95
104
95
+9
100avg 110
H28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
111-123
111
123
-12
103avg 110
A30/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
121-111
121
111
+10
111avg 110
A02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
128-92
128
92
+36
129avg 110
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
106-116
106
116
-10
96avg 110
A05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
106-112
106
112
-6
98avg 110
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
119-110
119
110
+9
110avg 110
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
136-109
136
109
+27
132avg 110
A12/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-39
25-19
32-31
29-28
30-25
20-29
31-25
20-24
17-14
31-32
31-23
25-26
22-34
28-29
30-33
31-27
32-26
30-29
39-30
20-26
39-14
29-27
26-27
34-24
26-39
32-34
27-22
21-21
28-28
24-18
22-34
32-32
31-30
36-28
26-33
26-19
37-25
38-27
37-28
24-29
223.4Avg total
114.6Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)120.1108.3228.4+11.877%
Season at home (26)119.4107.3226.7+12.181%
Season away (27)120.7109.3230.0+11.474%
Last 10 (10)114.6108.8223.4+5.850%
Last 5 (5)119.0107.8226.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)109.2115.2224.5-6.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)119.4108.3227.7+11.169%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
102-122
102
122
-20
101avg 106
H22/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
100-102
100
102
-2
94avg 106
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
122-139
122
139
-17
116avg 106
A28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
99-109
99
109
-10
85avg 106
A30/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
79-107
79
107
-28
64avg 106
A01/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
131-115
131
115
+16
129avg 106
H04/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
141-137 OT
141
137
+4
145avg 106
H05/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
105-99
105
99
+6
98avg 106
H07/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
99-118
99
118
-19
88avg 106
A10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
116-108
116
108
+8
114avg 106
A12/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-38
33-31
26-30
25-23
21-21
21-27
21-30
37-24
34-42
28-29
33-35
27-33
23-25
20-32
29-25
27-27
26-26
16-30
19-22
18-29
39-24
38-28
28-37
26-26
30-34
33-36
36-34
29-24
23-29
31-18
29-18
22-34
22-27
32-24
20-36
25-31
20-24
32-27
36-32
28-25
225.0Avg total
109.4Scored
115.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)111.8115.6227.4-3.842%
Season at home (24)116.4117.2233.6-0.850%
Season away (28)107.9114.2222.1-6.436%
Last 10 (10)109.4115.6225.0-6.240%
Last 5 (5)118.4115.4233.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)107.5114.5222.1-7.035%
vs Similar (8)112.6112.2224.9+0.475%
vs Weaker (2)106.0111.5217.5-5.50%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
Oklahoma City ThunderMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H26/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A30/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
68-41
68
41
+27
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
75-52
75
52
+23
A12/02
NBA
112.9Avg total
58.3Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.955.4115.3+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.156.3115.4+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)60.754.5115.2+6.380%-
Last 10 (10)58.354.6112.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)64.054.0118.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)58.263.0121.2-4.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)60.254.2114.4+5.973%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-69
51
69
-18
H22/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A30/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A01/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H04/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H05/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H07/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A12/02
NBA
111.2Avg total
54.0Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.557.9112.4-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.761.0115.7-6.317%-
Last 30 away (18)54.355.9110.2-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)54.057.2111.2-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)60.054.2114.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)53.159.2112.3-6.125%-
vs Similar (8)58.454.0112.4+4.462%-
vs Weaker (2)52.561.0113.5-8.50%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.627.0
55.6%
54.8%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.313.5
36.2%
35.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws24.720.1
81.4%
78.1%20.1
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.126.7
54.4%
54.8%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.314.6
38.1%
35.8%43.8
🏀 Free throws16.312.2
74.8%
78.1%12.2
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWLLWWLWLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWWLLLLL
#1
League position
#21
+5.9
Net rating
-6.3
115.8
Offensive rating
111.3
110.0
Defensive rating
117.6
55.0%
Effective FG%
55.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
12.8%
Turnover %
13.0%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.19
36.2%
3-point %
38.1%
61.5%
Assist %
62.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 111.3Defence110.0 · 117.6Shooting55.0% · 55.6%3-point %36.2% · 38.1%Ball care12.8% · 13.0%Off. rebounds23.7% · 22.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26APhoenix Suns136-109
10/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers119-110
07/02/26HHouston Rockets106-112
05/02/26ASan Antonio Spurs106-116
04/02/26HOrlando Magic128-92
02/02/26ADenver Nuggets121-111
30/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves111-123
28/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans104-95
26/01/26HToronto Raptors101-103
24/01/26HIndiana Pacers114-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26AOrlando Magic116-108
10/02/26AOrlando Magic99-118
07/02/26HIndiana Pacers105-99
05/02/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-137 OT
04/02/26HChicago Bulls131-115
01/02/26ABoston Celtics79-107
30/01/26AWashington Wizards99-109
28/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers122-139
24/01/26HDenver Nuggets100-102
22/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder102-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW77%
HomeLLWWL81%
AwayLWLWW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532627
Win %77%81%74%
Points / game120.1119.4120.7
Allowed / game108.3107.3109.3
Point differential+11.8+12.1+11.4
Avg total228.4226.7230.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%58%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %6%8%4%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW42%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522428
Win %42%50%36%
Points / game111.8116.4107.9
Allowed / game115.6117.2114.2
Point differential-3.8-0.8-6.4
Avg total227.4233.6222.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)50% (6)44% (9)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder53411277%120.1108.3+11.8
2 Detroit Pistons53401375%117.2109.3+8.0
3 San Antonio Spurs52361669%118.0112.1+5.9
4 Boston Celtics54351965%115.3108.4+6.9
5 Denver Nuggets55352064%120.4116.3+4.0
6 New York Knicks53332062%117.8111.9+5.9
7 Houston Rockets53332062%114.6109.6+5.0
8 Cleveland Cavaliers55342162%120.0115.9+4.1
9 Los Angeles Lakers52322062%115.8116.0-0.2
10 Minnesota Timberwolves56342261%119.7114.8+4.9
11 Phoenix Suns54322259%114.1111.4+2.7
12 Toronto Raptors54322259%114.0112.2+1.9
13 Philadelphia 76ers54302456%116.2115.9+0.3
14 Orlando Magic51272453%114.9115.1-0.1
15 Miami Heat55292653%119.8117.2+2.6
16 Golden State Warriors55292653%115.5113.7+1.8
17 Los Angeles Clippers54262848%111.9112.3-0.4
18 Charlotte Hornets55262947%115.7113.8+1.9
19 Portland Trail Blazers55262947%116.0118.3-2.3
20 Atlanta Hawks56263046%117.3118.6-1.3
21 Chicago Bulls55243144%116.8120.6-3.8
22 Milwaukee Bucks52223042%111.8115.6-3.8
23 Memphis Grizzlies53203338%115.3117.5-2.2
24 Dallas Mavericks53193436%114.1117.3-3.2
25 Utah Jazz55183733%118.3125.8-7.5
26 Brooklyn Nets53153828%107.7114.9-7.3
27 Indiana Pacers55154027%111.1118.6-7.5
28 New Orleans Pelicans56154127%114.6120.4-5.8
29 Washington Wizards53143926%112.2123.1-11.0
30 Sacramento Kings56124421%110.1120.6-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder2530182093
Milwaukee Bucks30372221110
← all games of the day
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