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China vs Lebanon Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 89-87
23-14 23-28 21-27 22-18
Position#30
Record4-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game80.9
China 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game72.6
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Xishi Basketball Center
Other2027
Meetings · China v Lebanon
31 Aug 2026
CHIN89
LEBA87
02 Dec 2018
CHIN72
LEBA52
16 Sep 2012
CHIN69
LEBA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

China winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lebanon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Korea
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H14/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H16/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A17/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#46
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H28/11
World Cup
South Korea
#46
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A01/12
World Cup
Japan
#16
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A26/02
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
100-93
100
93
+7
A01/03
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H03/07
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H06/07
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
83-57
83
57
+26
A27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
21-11
18-20
15-16
28-19
14-21
26-26
30-18
25-17
21-25
25-26
18-22
16-24
18-23
18-14
24-19
13-28
16-24
23-28
24-10
11-21
22-26
25-9
29-24
27-22
23-29
21-26
29-16
21-22
19-28
19-24
14-18
25-13
29-15
18-20
20-26
23-13
24-23
19-12
17-9
166.4Avg total
85.3Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.980.9164.7+3.057%
Season at home (3)80.382.0162.3-1.733%
Season away (4)86.580.0166.5+6.575%
Last 10 (10)85.381.1166.4+4.260%
Last 5 (5)87.079.2166.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.390.8162.2-19.517%
vs Similar (4)77.585.5163.0-8.025%
vs Weaker (20)90.068.0157.9+22.090%
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LebanonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Korea
#8
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A10/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
97-73
97
73
+24
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A14/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#50
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A27/11
World Cup
Qatar
#50
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H30/11
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H27/02
World Cup
India
#91
W
99-56
99
56
+43
H29/06
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A02/07
World Cup
India
#91
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A05/07
World Cup
South Korea
#46
W
93-74
93
74
+19
H27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
19-26
20-22
30-23
23-19
30-22
28-23
16-9
32-12
13-18
17-26
24-34
21-9
12-17
17-17
25-31
19-14
19-21
17-25
28-26
26-17
25-16
28-13
15-18
25-13
28-16
25-14
21-13
22-19
19-23
22-24
25-16
28-15
20-23
27-16
23-18
18-24
20-17
25-19
30-14
166.7Avg total
89.9Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.072.6162.6+17.486%
Season at home (4)92.270.0162.2+22.275%
Season away (3)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.976.8166.7+13.170%
Last 5 (5)94.469.6164.0+24.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.496.6176.0-17.114%
vs Similar (2)85.074.0159.0+11.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.476.9167.3+13.586%
This opponent (China) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
ChinaLebanon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Korea
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H14/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A17/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#46
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H28/11
World Cup
South Korea
#46
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A01/12
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A26/02
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A01/03
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H03/07
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H06/07
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A27/08
World Cup
84.9Avg total
42.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.137.780.8+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.234.779.9+10.579%-
Last 30 away (16)41.240.281.5+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.884.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.487.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.546.883.3-10.317%-
vs Similar (4)37.045.882.8-8.825%-
vs Weaker (20)46.333.379.6+13.085%-
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LebanonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Korea
#8
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A14/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#50
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A27/11
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/11
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H27/02
World Cup
India
#91
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H29/06
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A02/07
World Cup
India
#91
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A05/07
World Cup
South Korea
#46
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H27/08
World Cup
80.3Avg total
43.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.182.8+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.840.180.9+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)44.540.084.5+4.562%-
Last 10 (10)43.636.780.3+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.236.682.8+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.348.986.1-11.614%-
vs Similar (2)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.837.282.0+7.676%-
This opponent (China) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.4
56.0%
-44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.1
39.3%
-30.3
🏀 Free throws21.116.7
79.1%
-16.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lebanontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lebanon: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.526.2
55.2%
-52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.2
32.9%
-21.6
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
-14.1
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
China
WWLWWLLLWW
Lebanon
WWWWWLWLWL
#30
League position
#18
+29.3
Net rating
+10.4
123.9
Offensive rating
110.9
94.6
Defensive rating
100.4
57.2%
Effective FG%
53.3%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.3%
3-point %
32.9%
62.5%
Assist %
65.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ China   ■ Lebanon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
China wins
3
Lebanon wins
DateGameScore
20/07/22Lebanon v China72-69
02/12/18China v Lebanon72-52
13/09/18Lebanon v China92-88 OT
20/08/17Lebanon v China78-79
28/09/15Lebanon v China72-90
21/09/12Lebanon v China63-78
16/09/12China v Lebanon69-89
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/26AQatar83-57
06/07/26HChinese Taipei92-74
03/07/26HJapan73-92
01/03/26AChinese Taipei100-93
26/02/26AJapan87-80
01/12/25ASouth Korea76-90
28/11/25HSouth Korea76-80
17/08/25AAustralia89-90
16/08/25HNew Zealand98-84
14/08/25HSouth Korea79-71
Lebanonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/26HSouth Korea93-74
05/07/26AIndia98-72
02/07/26ASaudi Arabia88-82
29/06/26HIndia99-56
27/02/26HSaudi Arabia94-64
30/11/25HQatar83-86
27/11/25AQatar75-74
14/08/25ANew Zealand86-90
12/08/25AJapan97-73
10/08/25ASouth Korea86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

China
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game83.980.386.5
Allowed / game80.982.080.0
Point differential+3.0-1.7+6.5
Avg total164.7162.3166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lebanon
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game90.092.287.0
Allowed / game72.670.076.0
Point differential+17.4+22.2+11.0
Avg total162.6162.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Turkey770100%89.372.6+16.7
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
10 Lebanon76186%90.072.6+17.4
11 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
12 Mexico54180%96.683.4+13.2
13 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
14 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
15 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
16 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
17 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
18 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
19 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
20 Ukraine118373%81.974.7+7.2
21 Spain75271%87.974.6+13.3
22 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
23 Italy75271%85.777.0+8.7
24 Serbia75271%88.780.1+8.6
25 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
26 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
27 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
28 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
29 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
30 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Portugal74357%82.976.9+6.0
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Georgia74357%83.781.6+2.1
35 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
36 Montenegro74357%69.376.4-7.1
37 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
38 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
39 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
42 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
43 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
44 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
45 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
46 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
47 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
48 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
49 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
50 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
51 Greece73443%72.770.0+2.7
52 Bosnia & Herzegovina73443%78.977.0+1.9
53 Lithuania73443%87.086.3+0.7
54 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
55 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
56 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
57 Iceland73443%82.491.4-9.0
58 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
59 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
60 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
61 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
62 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
66 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
67 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
68 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
69 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
70 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
China2323212289
Lebanon1428271887
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