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China vs Japan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 73-92
21-22 19-28 19-24 14-18
Position#30
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Japan 🏆
Position#16
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game74.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 5· Liaoning Gymnasium
Other2027
Meetings · China v Japan
03 Jul 2026
CHIN73
JAPA92
20 Feb 2025
CHIN100
JAPA58
27 Nov 2021
CHIN79
JAPA63
19 Jun 2021
CHIN90
JAPA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

China winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChina
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 87
H05/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
100-69
100
69
+31
100avg 87
A07/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
90-68
90
68
+22
86avg 87
H09/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
73avg 87
H14/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
98-84
98
84
+14
95avg 87
H16/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
89-90
89
90
-1
83avg 87
A17/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#46
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
H28/11
World Cup
South Korea
#46
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Japan
#16
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
23-21
27-22
13-23
29-14
24-17
22-17
25-21
24-14
23-24
18-12
25-18
25-24
21-11
18-20
15-16
28-19
14-21
26-26
30-18
25-17
21-25
25-26
18-22
16-24
18-23
18-14
24-19
13-28
16-24
23-28
24-10
11-21
22-26
25-9
29-24
27-22
23-29
21-26
29-16
170.1Avg total
88.8Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.885.8170.5-1.050%
Season at home (1)76.080.0156.0-4.00%
Season away (3)87.787.7175.3+0.067%
Last 10 (10)88.881.3170.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)85.686.6172.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.692.4162.0-22.914%
vs Similar (5)79.889.8169.6-10.020%
vs Weaker (18)90.268.2158.4+22.089%
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJapan
Date
Competition
China
#2
L
58-100
58
100
-42
no box
A20/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
99-68
99
68
+31
95avg 82
H06/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
70-78
70
78
-8
66avg 82
A08/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
102-63
102
63
+39
109avg 82
A10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
73-97
73
97
-24
64avg 82
H12/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
90-64
90
64
+26
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A01/12
World Cup
China
#30
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
H26/02
World Cup
South Korea
#46
W
78-72
78
72
+6
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
21-31
12-19
13-31
23-22
23-22
21-18
22-17
18-13
14-28
28-10
39-17
13-16
21-18
24-24
12-20
27-15
25-18
26-19
24-11
19-23
22-30
23-28
9-16
23-10
22-12
20-20
25-22
17-22
25-14
15-21
23-16
21-11
26-22
9-25
24-29
15-16
27-22
12-17
24-17
160.0Avg total
81.9Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.074.0156.0+8.075%
Season at home (3)82.774.3157.0+8.367%
Season away (1)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.978.1160.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)80.278.6158.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.684.6155.1-14.029%
vs Similar (5)79.485.2164.6-5.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.067.9153.9+18.194%
This opponent (China) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
ChinaJapan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H05/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A07/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H14/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A17/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#46
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H28/11
World Cup
South Korea
#46
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A01/12
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A26/02
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A01/03
World Cup
85.9Avg total
43.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.981.0+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.036.080.0+8.071%-
Last 30 away (16)40.441.481.9-1.044%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.685.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.447.886.2-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.147.183.3-11.014%-
vs Similar (5)37.047.084.0-10.020%-
vs Weaker (18)45.833.479.3+12.483%-
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A20/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A23/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H06/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A08/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H12/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H28/11
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/12
World Cup
China
#30
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H26/02
World Cup
South Korea
#46
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/03
World Cup
79.8Avg total
41.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.278.8+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.436.878.2+4.553%-
Last 30 away (13)39.639.979.5-0.354%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.479.8+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.479.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.144.378.4-10.114%-
vs Similar (5)34.845.880.6-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.733.778.4+11.183%-
This opponent (China) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.4
56.0%
-44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.1
39.3%
-30.3
🏀 Free throws21.116.7
79.1%
-16.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.014.2
52.6%
-28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.212.6
33.9%
-37.8
🏀 Free throws18.914.8
78.3%
-14.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
China
WWLLLWWWWW
Japan
WLWWLWLWWL
#30
League position
#16
+29.3
Net rating
+6.7
123.9
Offensive rating
106.5
94.6
Defensive rating
99.8
57.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.3%
3-point %
33.9%
62.5%
Assist %
73.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ China   ■ Japan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
China wins
3
Japan wins
DateGameScore
26/02/26Japan v China80-87
20/02/25China v Japan100-58
25/02/24Japan v China76-73
28/11/21Japan v China73-106
27/11/21China v Japan79-63
19/06/21China v Japan90-84
16/06/21Japan v China57-66
27/09/14Japan v China79-72
14/07/14Japan v China66-79
20/09/12Japan v China60-50
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26AChinese Taipei100-93
26/02/26AJapan87-80
01/12/25ASouth Korea76-90
28/11/25HSouth Korea76-80
17/08/25AAustralia89-90
16/08/25HNew Zealand98-84
14/08/25HSouth Korea79-71
09/08/25HJordan90-68
07/08/25AIndia100-69
05/08/25HSaudi Arabia93-88
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HSouth Korea78-72
26/02/26HChina80-87
01/12/25AChinese Taipei80-73
28/11/25HChinese Taipei90-64
12/08/25HLebanon73-97
10/08/25AGuam102-63
08/08/25AIran70-78
06/08/25HSyria99-68
23/02/25AMongolia89-79
20/02/25AChina58-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

China
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game84.876.087.7
Allowed / game85.880.087.7
Point differential-1.0-4.0+0.0
Avg total170.5156.0175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWLW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game82.082.780.0
Allowed / game74.074.373.0
Point differential+8.0+8.3+7.0
Avg total156.0157.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Spain550100%87.467.2+20.2
4 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
5 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
6 Guinea440100%76.561.2+15.2
7 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
8 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
9 Mali440100%82.074.8+7.2
10 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
11 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
12 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
13 Lebanon54180%87.872.4+15.4
14 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
15 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
16 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
17 South Sudan43175%84.862.8+22.0
18 Angola43175%86.870.5+16.2
19 Ivory Coast43175%89.274.5+14.8
20 Senegal43175%84.871.0+13.8
21 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
22 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
23 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
24 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
25 Cameroon43175%74.070.2+3.8
26 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
29 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
30 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
31 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
32 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
33 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
34 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
35 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
36 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
37 Saudi Arabia53260%77.674.0+3.6
38 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
39 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
40 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
41 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
42 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
43 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
44 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
45 Tunisia42250%76.273.5+2.8
46 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
47 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
50 Nigeria42250%73.076.8-3.8
51 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
52 Cape Verde42250%79.585.5-6.0
53 D.R. Congo42250%71.078.0-7.0
54 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
55 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
56 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
57 Portugal52340%82.878.6+4.2
58 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
59 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
60 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
61 Iceland52340%83.290.4-7.2
62 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
63 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
64 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
65 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
66 Egypt41325%77.574.8+2.8
67 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
68 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Denmark92722%73.685.4-11.9
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
84 Rwanda4040%67.081.2-14.2
85 Libya4040%64.284.0-19.8
86 Madagascar4040%70.291.8-21.5
87 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
88 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
89 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
90 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
91 Uganda4040%63.890.0-26.2
92 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
93 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
China2119191473
Japan2228241892
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