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China vs South Korea Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 79-71
25-24 21-11 18-20 15-16
Position#2
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game65.7
China 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeAsia CupAsia Cup - Quarter-finals· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Meetings · China v South Korea
28 Nov 2025
CHIN76
SOUT80
14 Aug 2025
CHIN79
SOUT71
03 Oct 2023
CHIN84
SOUT70
12 Jul 2022
CHIN81
SOUT93
06 Sep 2019
CHIN77
SOUT73
28 Jun 2018
CHIN74
SOUT82
01 Aug 2013
CHIN59
SOUT63
26 Nov 2010
CHIN77
SOUT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

China winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Korea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChina
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#4
L
50-101
50
101
-51
no box
A07/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
no box
A08/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
67-89
67
89
-22
no box
H10/07
California Classic
Guam
#14
W
101-53
101
53
+48
105avg 94
H21/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
90-52
90
52
+38
96avg 94
A24/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
100-58
100
58
+42
102avg 94
H20/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 94
A23/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 94
H05/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
100-69
100
69
+31
100avg 94
A07/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
90-68
90
68
+22
86avg 94
H09/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
11-21
7-25
14-24
9-26
18-17
19-21
16-29
20-29
24-18
7-17
16-25
21-17
24-10
27-15
29-11
18-14
25-15
28-14
19-9
19-12
31-21
19-12
31-13
19-16
25-17
22-23
20-22
30-22
23-21
27-22
13-23
29-14
24-17
22-17
25-21
24-14
23-24
18-12
25-18
158.8Avg total
83.9Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.365.7156.0+24.789%
Season at home (5)92.863.2156.0+29.6100%
Season away (4)87.268.8156.0+18.575%
Last 10 (10)83.974.9158.8+9.070%
Last 5 (5)93.872.2166.0+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.693.1155.7-30.614%
vs Similar (3)82.393.0175.3-10.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.266.0153.2+21.390%
This opponent (South Korea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKorea
Date
Competition
Australia
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
96-62
96
62
+34
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
86-78
86
78
+8
89avg 81
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
75-98
75
98
-23
64avg 81
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
86avg 81
A20/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
90-63
90
63
+27
85avg 81
A23/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
42avg 81
A06/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
97-83
97
83
+14
90avg 81
H08/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
97-86
97
86
+11
97avg 81
H10/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
99-66
99
66
+33
95avg 81
H12/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
25-22
17-17
14-32
28-15
27-16
17-11
24-20
19-15
21-25
18-23
28-15
19-19
13-35
26-17
17-27
24-23
31-20
17-19
19-28
24-17
25-7
24-23
17-16
17-25
14-23
16-20
14-29
25-22
28-16
22-23
22-22
26-17
26-19
22-20
23-30
17-18
33-10
26-17
23-21
167.1Avg total
86.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.380.8167.1+5.570%
Season at home (6)91.778.8170.5+12.883%
Season away (4)78.283.8162.0-5.550%
Last 10 (10)86.380.8167.1+5.570%
Last 5 (5)88.879.0167.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.191.1165.2-17.012%
vs Similar (5)81.280.6161.8+0.640%
vs Weaker (17)91.871.4163.2+20.494%
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
ChinaSouth Korea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#4
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A07/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A08/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H10/07
California Classic
Guam
#14
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H21/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A24/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H20/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A23/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H05/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A07/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/08
Asia Cup
81.1Avg total
43.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.078.4+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.634.679.2+9.971%-
Last 30 away (16)38.739.177.8-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.537.681.1+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)49.435.685.0+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.647.079.6-14.40%-
vs Similar (3)40.745.386.0-4.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.632.276.9+12.485%-
This opponent (South Korea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A20/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A23/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A06/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H08/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H12/08
Asia Cup
83.5Avg total
45.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.837.882.5+7.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.737.282.9+8.469%-
Last 30 away (14)43.738.482.1+5.457%-
Last 10 (10)45.737.883.5+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.034.881.8+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.046.184.1-8.138%-
vs Similar (5)43.437.881.2+5.660%-
vs Weaker (17)48.433.882.2+14.576%-
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.0
53.3%
49.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.4
36.9%
32.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.815.2
76.8%
70.1%15.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South Koreatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.1
53.1%
49.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.2
34.1%
32.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.610.9
69.9%
70.1%10.9
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
China
WWWWWWWLLL
South Korea
WWWLWWLWWL
#2
League position
#8
+18.2
Net rating
+7.6
112.9
Offensive rating
107.0
94.6
Defensive rating
99.3
54.1%
Effective FG%
52.3%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.9%
3-point %
34.1%
62.5%
Assist %
72.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 107.0Defence94.6 · 99.3Shooting54.1% · 52.3%3-point %36.9% · 34.1%Ball care17.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds34.3% · 28.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ China   ■ South Korea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
China wins
3
South Korea wins
DateGameScore
03/10/23China v South Korea84-70
12/07/22China v South Korea81-93
06/09/19China v South Korea77-73
28/06/18China v South Korea74-82
26/11/17South Korea v China81-92
24/09/15South Korea v China73-76
01/08/13China v South Korea59-63
26/11/10China v South Korea77-71
21/11/10South Korea v China66-76
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25HJordan90-68
07/08/25AIndia100-69
05/08/25HSaudi Arabia93-88
23/02/25AGuam86-78
20/02/25HJapan100-58
24/11/24AMongolia90-52
21/11/24HGuam101-53
10/07/24HSan Antonio Spurs67-89
08/07/24ACharlotte Hornets62-93
07/07/24ASacramento Kings50-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/08/25HGuam99-66
10/08/25HLebanon97-86
08/08/25HQatar97-83
06/08/25AAustralia61-97
23/02/25AIndonesia90-63
20/02/25AThailand91-90
24/11/24HAustralia75-98
21/11/24HIndonesia86-78
25/02/24HThailand96-62
22/02/24AAustralia71-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

China
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game90.392.887.2
Allowed / game65.763.268.8
Point differential+24.7+29.6+18.5
Avg total156.0156.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Korea
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game86.391.778.2
Allowed / game80.878.883.8
Point differential+5.5+12.8-5.5
Avg total167.1170.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia10100100%99.765.0+34.7
2 Iran109190%76.854.5+22.3
3 China98189%90.365.7+24.7
4 New Zealand98189%93.170.9+22.2
5 Lebanon108280%89.179.1+10.0
6 South Korea107370%86.380.8+5.5
7 Japan107370%82.076.7+5.3
8 Jordan107370%75.971.9+4.0
9 Chinese Taipei138562%85.379.8+5.5
10 Saudi Arabia106460%76.573.0+3.5
11 Philippines116555%84.977.8+7.1
12 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
13 Qatar147750%72.972.9+0.1
14 Guam178947%71.180.4-9.3
15 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
16 Iraq167944%72.675.6-3.0
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
19 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
20 Syria93633%72.280.7-8.4
21 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
22 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
23 India113827%68.282.1-13.9
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
China2521181579
South Korea2411201671
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