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China vs South Korea Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 76-80
16-24 18-23 18-14 24-19
Position#30
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#46
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Wukesong Arena
Other2027
Meetings · China v South Korea
28 Nov 2025
CHIN76
SOUT80
14 Aug 2025
CHIN79
SOUT71
03 Oct 2023
CHIN84
SOUT70
12 Jul 2022
CHIN81
SOUT93
06 Sep 2019
CHIN77
SOUT73
28 Jun 2018
CHIN74
SOUT82
01 Aug 2013
CHIN59
SOUT63
26 Nov 2010
CHIN77
SOUT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

China winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Korea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChina
Date
Competition
Guam
#14
W
101-53
101
53
+48
no box
H21/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
90-52
90
52
+38
no box
A24/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
100-58
100
58
+42
102avg 89
H20/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 89
A23/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 89
H05/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
100-69
100
69
+31
100avg 89
A07/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
90-68
90
68
+22
86avg 89
H09/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
73avg 89
H14/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
98-84
98
84
+14
95avg 89
H16/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
89-90
89
90
-1
83avg 89
A17/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
24-10
27-15
29-11
18-14
25-15
28-14
19-9
19-12
31-21
19-12
31-13
19-16
25-17
22-23
20-22
30-22
23-21
27-22
13-23
29-14
24-17
22-17
25-21
24-14
23-24
18-12
25-18
25-24
21-11
18-20
15-16
28-19
14-21
26-26
30-18
25-17
21-25
25-26
18-22
163.7Avg total
92.6Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.671.1163.7+21.590%
Last 5 (5)91.276.4167.6+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.992.8158.6-26.912%
vs Similar ◀ (3)82.393.0175.3-10.733%
vs Weaker (19)88.566.7155.2+21.789%
This opponent (South Korea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKorea
Date
Competition
Thailand
#12
W
96-62
96
62
+34
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
75-98
75
98
-23
no box
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
86avg 79
A20/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
90-63
90
63
+27
85avg 79
A23/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
42avg 79
A06/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
97-83
97
83
+14
90avg 79
H08/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
97-86
97
86
+11
97avg 79
H10/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
99-66
99
66
+33
95avg 79
H12/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
56avg 79
A14/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
27-16
17-11
24-20
19-15
21-25
18-23
28-15
19-19
13-35
26-17
17-27
24-23
31-20
17-19
19-28
24-17
25-7
24-23
17-16
17-25
14-23
16-20
14-29
25-22
28-16
22-23
22-22
26-17
26-19
22-20
23-30
17-18
33-10
26-17
23-21
24-25
11-21
20-18
16-15
166.5Avg total
86.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.380.2166.5+6.170%
Last 5 (5)85.082.2167.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.889.8163.6-16.011%
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.583.0164.5-1.525%
vs Weaker (17)91.871.4163.2+20.494%
This opponent (China) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
ChinaSouth Korea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guam
#14
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H21/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A24/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H20/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A23/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H05/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A07/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H14/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A17/08
Asia Cup
82.0Avg total
46.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.037.679.6+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.735.179.8+9.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.340.179.3-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)46.935.182.0+11.8100%-
Last 5 (5)46.837.284.0+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.246.480.6-12.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.745.386.0-4.733%-
vs Weaker (19)45.432.778.1+12.784%-
This opponent (South Korea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thailand
#12
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A20/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A23/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A06/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H08/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H12/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A14/08
Asia Cup
84.0Avg total
45.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.382.6+6.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.737.282.9+8.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.639.582.1+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.238.884.0+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.283.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.746.183.8-8.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.839.881.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker (17)48.433.882.2+14.576%-
This opponent (China) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.4
56.0%
-44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.1
39.3%
-30.3
🏀 Free throws21.116.7
79.1%
-16.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South Koreatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.1
54.3%
-44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.7
32.6%
-29.1
🏀 Free throws17.212.4
72.1%
-12.4
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
China
LWWWWWWWWW
South Korea
LWWWLWWLWW
#30
League position
#46
+29.3
Net rating
+8.5
123.9
Offensive rating
108.4
94.6
Defensive rating
99.9
57.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.3%
3-point %
32.6%
62.5%
Assist %
73.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ China   ■ South Korea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
China wins
3
South Korea wins
DateGameScore
14/08/25China v South Korea79-71
03/10/23China v South Korea84-70
12/07/22China v South Korea81-93
06/09/19China v South Korea77-73
28/06/18China v South Korea74-82
26/11/17South Korea v China81-92
24/09/15South Korea v China73-76
01/08/13China v South Korea59-63
26/11/10China v South Korea77-71
21/11/10South Korea v China66-76
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/08/25AAustralia89-90
16/08/25HNew Zealand98-84
14/08/25HSouth Korea79-71
09/08/25HJordan90-68
07/08/25AIndia100-69
05/08/25HSaudi Arabia93-88
23/02/25AGuam86-78
20/02/25HJapan100-58
24/11/24AMongolia90-52
21/11/24HGuam101-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/08/25AChina71-79
12/08/25HGuam99-66
10/08/25HLebanon97-86
08/08/25HQatar97-83
06/08/25AAustralia61-97
23/02/25AIndonesia90-63
20/02/25AThailand91-90
24/11/24HAustralia75-98
21/11/24HIndonesia86-78
25/02/24HThailand96-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

China
World Cup 2027
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
South Korea
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines110100%87.046.0+41.0
2 Uruguay110100%93.060.0+33.0
3 Croatia440100%95.567.0+28.5
4 Greece110100%91.064.0+27.0
5 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
6 Iran110100%94.068.0+26.0
7 Japan110100%90.064.0+26.0
8 Saudi Arabia110100%75.051.0+24.0
9 South Sudan110100%79.055.0+24.0
10 Turkey110100%93.071.0+22.0
11 Portugal110100%83.062.0+21.0
12 Brazil110100%82.066.0+16.0
13 Jordan110100%74.059.0+15.0
14 Argentina110100%80.068.0+12.0
15 Guinea110100%82.070.0+12.0
16 Spain110100%74.064.0+10.0
17 Tunisia110100%88.078.0+10.0
18 Australia110100%84.079.0+5.0
19 Cape Verde110100%82.077.0+5.0
20 Iceland110100%81.076.0+5.0
21 Serbia110100%90.086.0+4.0
22 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
23 Lebanon110100%75.074.0+1.0
24 Lithuania110100%89.088.0+1.0
25 Ukraine54180%81.473.2+8.2
26 Netherlands43175%78.271.8+6.5
27 Switzerland118373%76.864.8+12.0
28 Romania96367%75.774.0+1.7
29 Austria85362%89.276.2+13.0
30 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
31 Hungary42250%80.270.5+9.8
32 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
33 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
34 Denmark52340%75.878.8-3.0
35 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
36 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
37 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
38 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
39 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
40 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
41 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
42 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
43 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
44 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
45 Great Britain1010%88.089.0-1.0
46 Qatar1010%74.075.0-1.0
47 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
48 Cameroon1010%77.082.0-5.0
49 Italy1010%76.081.0-5.0
50 New Zealand1010%79.084.0-5.0
51 Nigeria1010%78.088.0-10.0
52 Cuba1010%68.080.0-12.0
53 Rwanda1010%70.082.0-12.0
54 Georgia1010%79.092.0-13.0
55 Syria1010%59.074.0-15.0
56 Chile1010%66.082.0-16.0
57 Montenegro1010%62.083.0-21.0
58 Bosnia & Herzegovina1010%71.093.0-22.0
59 India1010%51.075.0-24.0
60 Libya1010%55.079.0-24.0
61 Chinese Taipei1010%64.090.0-26.0
62 Iraq1010%68.094.0-26.0
63 Panama1010%60.093.0-33.0
64 Guam1010%46.087.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 64 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
China1618182476
South Korea2423141980
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