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Cholet vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-70
24-17 16-26 18-16 21-11
Position#28
Record0-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game79.3
Cholet 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#8
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A07/03
LNB
Orleans
#7
L
63-101
63
101
-38
A26/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H29/09
LNB
Levallois
#6
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A02/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H11/10
LNB
Roanne
#15
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A16/10
LNB
Minsk
#21
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A04/11
Champions League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A10/11
Champions League
AEK Athens
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A17/11
Champions League
Dijon
#2
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H12/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
10-21
24-19
13-18
21-25
14-30
13-25
15-21
15-18
29-8
28-26
19-21
13-16
21-9
12-26
22-21
22-25
16-11
14-29
21-17
19-26
21-23
26-24
22-23
17-19
16-26
19-16
23-21
11-20
25-21
11-14
16-18
20-21
17-22
21-18
23-22
20-20
20-15
20-18
23-20
157.3Avg total
75.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.079.3152.3-6.30%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)73.079.3152.3-6.30%
Last 10 (10)75.981.4157.3-5.520%
Last 5 (5)78.081.4159.4-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.987.6160.4-14.714%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.578.3157.8+1.140%
vs Weaker (7)83.778.9162.6+4.971%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H24/09
Super Cup
Ionikos
#8
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A24/10
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H31/10
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
100-96
100
96
+4
H04/11
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A07/11
Basket League
Minsk
#21
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H11/11
Champions League
Cholet
#28
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H17/11
Champions League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A21/11
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H05/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A12/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
23-23
15-16
14-20
15-21
17-18
27-20
22-9
26-15
19-20
18-21
24-12
24-21
26-31
25-24
25-20
18-12
12-15
12-20
24-15
16-22
31-17
22-20
26-10
21-20
22-17
18-21
22-23
32-17
24-20
12-13
19-16
24-26
28-19
15-16
18-23
11-14
26-17
19-13
23-28
158.1Avg total
83.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.782.0174.7+10.7100%
Season at home (3)92.782.0174.7+10.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.674.5158.1+9.190%
Last 5 (5)85.874.4160.2+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.091.3178.3-4.333%
vs Similar ◀ (5)89.082.0171.0+7.080%
vs Weaker (22)82.071.0153.0+10.991%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.1+4.1
CholetAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A07/03
LNB
Orleans
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A26/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H29/09
LNB
Levallois
#6
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A02/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H11/10
LNB
Roanne
#15
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A16/10
LNB
Minsk
#21
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A04/11
Champions League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A10/11
Champions League
AEK Athens
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A17/11
Champions League
Dijon
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/12
LNB
77.1Avg total
37.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.579.4-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.339.677.9-1.258%-
Last 30 away (18)37.742.780.4-5.122%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.777.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.679.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.645.679.1-12.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.740.479.1-1.733%-
vs Weaker (7)40.939.480.3+1.457%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/09
Super Cup
Ionikos
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A24/10
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H31/10
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H04/11
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A07/11
Basket League
Minsk
#21
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H11/11
Champions League
Cholet
#28
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H17/11
Champions League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A21/11
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H05/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A12/12
Basket League
82.1Avg total
43.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.937.380.3+5.680%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.439.384.8+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)40.135.175.1+5.086%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.582.1+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)47.037.884.8+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.046.797.7+4.3100%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.438.882.2+4.680%-
vs Weaker (22)41.735.777.5+6.077%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.7 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.323.3
55.1%
52.7%46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.05.5
30.6%
35.4%16.5
🏀 Free throws17.713.0
73.6%
73.2%13.0
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.9
54.3%
52.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.68.6
41.8%
35.4%25.9
🏀 Free throws20.514.1
68.9%
73.2%14.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/8 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
WLLLLLLWLL
AEK Athens
WWWWWWWWWL
#28
League position
#12
-6.5
Net rating
+17.2
105.7
Offensive rating
120.0
112.2
Defensive rating
102.8
52.3%
Effective FG%
57.2%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
20.6%
Turnover %
15.1%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.6%
3-point %
41.8%
58.4%
Assist %
68.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 120.0Defence112.2 · 102.8Shooting52.3% · 57.2%3-point %30.6% · 41.8%Ball care20.6% · 15.1%Off. rebounds32.5% · 33.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Cholet   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cholet wins
1
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
17/11/20AEK Athens v Cholet83-81
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/20HDijon83-73
17/11/20AAEK Athens81-83
10/11/20AHapoel Holon63-73
04/11/20AMinsk75-82
16/10/20ARoanne88-96
11/10/20HLyon-Villeurbanne73-82
02/10/20ALevallois68-72
29/09/20HChalon/Saone91-73
26/09/20AOrleans63-101
07/03/20ALimoges74-79
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/20AIraklis79-72
05/12/20HPAOK85-84
21/11/20AHarilaos Trikoupis87-66
17/11/20HCholet83-81
11/11/20HMinsk95-69
07/11/20APeristeri66-62
04/11/20HHapoel Holon100-96
31/10/20HLarisa87-68
24/10/20AIonikos81-68
24/09/20HPanathinaikos73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
Champions League 2020
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %0%-0%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game79.3-79.3
Point differential-6.3--6.3
Avg total152.3-152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.792.7-
Allowed / game82.082.0-
Point differential+10.7+10.7-
Avg total174.7174.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg330100%86.772.0+14.7
2 Dijon330100%87.773.7+14.0
3 Sassari330100%92.080.0+12.0
4 AEK Athens330100%92.782.0+10.7
5 Basket Zaragoza220100%82.080.0+2.0
6 Minsk54180%74.472.6+1.8
7 Igokea43175%76.071.2+4.8
8 San Pablo Burgos32167%97.080.0+17.0
9 Strasbourg32167%78.371.7+6.7
10 Tenerife32167%85.079.0+6.0
11 Nymburk32167%84.382.3+2.0
12 VEF Riga32167%81.379.7+1.7
13 Brindisi32167%85.084.7+0.3
14 Turk Telekom32167%80.081.3-1.3
15 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
16 Karsiyaka21150%81.577.5+4.0
17 Szombathely21150%86.084.0+2.0
18 Hapoel Jerusalem21150%87.586.5+1.0
19 Nizhny Novgorod21150%84.083.0+1.0
20 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
21 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
22 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
23 Bakken Bears52340%83.084.4-1.4
24 Keravnos52340%75.684.4-8.8
25 Tofas31233%86.085.7+0.3
26 Hapoel Holon31233%79.380.7-1.3
27 Limoges31233%76.077.3-1.3
28 Peristeri31233%81.383.0-1.7
29 Bilbao31233%70.774.0-3.3
30 Galatasaray31233%82.386.3-4.0
31 Oostende31233%84.389.7-5.3
32 Rytas31233%84.090.7-6.7
33 Darussafaka31233%76.788.7-12.0
34 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
35 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
36 Lublin2020%80.085.0-5.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
38 Cholet3030%73.079.3-6.3
39 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
40 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
41 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
42 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
43 Fortitudo Bologna2020%63.584.5-21.0
44 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cholet2416182179
AEK Athens1726161170
← all games of the day
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