PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cholet vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Projected 89-90
Projected total 179.2
Final 94-90 (OT)
28-19 15-22 15-20 21-18 15-11
Position#10
Record2-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game85.3
Cholet 🏆
France
Vs
46%
54%
■ CHO 46%■ PRS 54%
Pythia win probability
Paris
France
Position#1
Record6-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game86.7
FranceLNBRound 13· La Meilleraie
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Cholet v Paris
03 Nov 2026
CHO94
PRS90
09 Jun 2026
CHO91
PRS94
07 Jun 2026
CHO86
PRS95
19 Apr 2026
CHO93
PRS99
26 Oct 2024
CHO90
PRS80
18 May 2024
CHO72
PRS90
12 Nov 2023
CHO70
PRS77
25 Mar 2023
CHO63
PRS79
16 Oct 2021
CHO83
PRS85
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The LNB Elite clash between Cholet and Paris on 3 November 2026 is a razor-thin contest, with Paris only a slight edge in the Pythia model. Cholet enters the game 2-4, averaging 80.5 points while conceding 85.3, and has struggled at home 1-2, scoring 82.3 and allowing 87.3; their last five games yielded a single win and four defeats, including losses to Strasbourg 82-88, Spartak Subotica 65-69 and Nanterre 69-86. Paris, unbeaten 6-0, posts 96.8 points per game and 86.7 points allowed, and is flawless on the road 3-0, averaging 92.3 points and 83.0 allowed; their recent five games feature four wins, with victories over Chalon/Saone 116-112, Maccabi Tel Aviv 99-94 and Dubai 99-93. Historically Paris has dominated the rivalry, winning eight of ten meetings and most recently 94-91 on 9 June 2026. Pythia assigns Paris a 54% chance to win versus Cholet's 46%, projecting a 89-90 scoreline and a total of 179.2 points. The home line is 4.5, with a 59% probability that Paris covers, while the over/under line of 176.0 carries a 57% chance of an over. The game carries a 5% overtime probability, and Paris's recent home-court success suggests they will likely finish the match.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winWon
45.8%fair 2.19
Best odds2.93
Implied32.8%
Edge+13.0pp
Paris winLost
54.2%fair 1.84
Best odds1.50
Implied67.2%
Edge-13.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 02 Nov 07:08 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Paris
#2
L
91-94
91
94
-3
91avg 79
H09/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
85-97
85
97
-12
78avg 79
H27/09
LNB
Nancy
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
81avg 79
A03/10
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#18
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 79
A06/10
Champions League
Pau-Orthez
#13
W
85-79
85
79
+6
73avg 79
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#23
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 79
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
76avg 79
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#6
L
69-86
69
86
-17
55avg 79
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#10
L
65-69
65
69
-4
56avg 79
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 79
A31/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
25-26
24-24
17-19
24-27
21-31
23-21
17-18
26-21
23-19
19-14
17-22
19-23
33-9
23-23
24-24
22-17
22-16
22-25
19-21
16-21
21-11
22-17
25-17
23-25
27-16
16-27
11-18
17-23
17-21
17-22
18-20
11-14
18-15
20-26
16-14
14-23
19-21
28-32
21-12
164.2Avg total
82.2Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.585.3165.8-4.833%
Season at home (3)82.387.3169.7-5.033%
Season away (3)78.783.3162.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)82.282.0164.2+0.240%
Last 5 (5)75.479.0154.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.887.3169.2-5.531%
vs Similar (10)86.981.8168.7+5.160%
vs Weaker (7)89.773.9163.6+15.9100%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
96-98
96
98
-2
80avg 86
H07/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#7
W
98-84
98
84
+14
97avg 86
H11/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
94-96
94
96
-2
86avg 86
H14/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
77avg 86
A16/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
83avg 86
H18/10
LNB
Valencia
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 86
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 86
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#6
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 86
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 86
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#5
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
H01/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
22-32
34-28
19-24
29-20
32-18
20-25
17-21
26-26
12-20
27-18
29-32
18-28
18-18
22-31
23-13
18-24
23-20
21-15
28-16
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
21-26
36-32
24-23
23-23
188.3Avg total
96.2Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)96.886.7183.5+10.2100%
Season at home (3)101.390.3191.7+11.0100%
Season away (3)92.383.0175.3+9.3100%
Last 10 (10)96.292.1188.3+4.160%
Last 5 (5)100.695.6196.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.391.3175.7-7.033%
vs Similar (10)98.196.9195.0+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.582.3174.8+10.279%
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1351%1402%1453%1505%1557%1609%16511%17012%17512%18011%1859%1906%1954%2003%2052%2101%2151%2200%225
1%1403%1507%16011%17012%1809%1904%2002%2101%220
Pythia expects about 179 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 180-184 (12%). The market's main line is 177.5.
Over/Under 172.5Actual: Over 172.5
Over 172.5
64.8%
@ 1.57+5.3pp
Under 172.5
35.2%
@ 2.32-5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Marathon Be
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.53
Under
Betano
2.32
Marathon Be
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Over/Under 177.5 · main lineActual: Over 177.5
Over 177.5
53.1%
@ 1.95+3.3pp
Under 177.5
46.9%
@ 1.91-3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Betano
1.83
Over/Under 182.5Actual: Over 182.5
Over 182.5
41.1%
@ 2.55+2.1pp
Under 182.5
58.9%
@ 1.51-2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.40
Marathon Be
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Under
1xBet
1.51
Marathon Be
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Cholet total 82.5Actual: Cholet over 82.5
Over 82.5
71.9%
@ 1.58+11.5pp
Under 82.5
28.1%
@ 2.40-11.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.45
Under
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.22
Cholet total 86.5 · main lineActual: Cholet over 86.5
Over 86.5
58.5%
@ 1.90+9.5pp
Under 86.5
41.5%
@ 1.83-9.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Cholet total 90.5Actual: Cholet over 90.5
Over 90.5
44.0%
@ 2.80+10.0pp
Under 90.5
56.0%
@ 1.39-10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.80
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.38
Paris total 85.5Actual: Paris over 85.5
Over 85.5
67.4%
@ 1.32-1.1pp
Under 85.5
32.6%
@ 2.87+1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Under
Betano
2.87
Paris total 89.5 · main lineActual: Paris over 89.5
Over 89.5
52.5%
@ 1.83-1.3pp
Under 89.5
47.5%
@ 2.07+1.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.07
Marathon Be
2.00
1xBet
2.00
BetVictor
1.91
Bet365
1.83
Paris total 93.5Actual: Paris under 93.5
Over 93.5
37.3%
@ 2.20-4.3pp
Under 93.5
62.7%
@ 1.57+4.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
Under
Betano
1.57

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-331%-301%-272%-243%-214%-186%-157%-129%-910%-69%-36%+09%+38%+67%+95%+124%+153%+182%+211%+241%+270%+30
1%-302%-244%-187%-1210%-66%+08%+65%+123%+181%+240%+30
Margin from Cholet's side (positive = Cholet win). Pythia's expected margin is -1.3; Cholet win by 1+ in 40% of simulations.
Spread Cholet +2Actual: Cholet +2
CHO +2
50.5%
@ 2.45+11.6pp
PRS -2
49.5%
@ 1.58-11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
CHO
Pinnacle
2.45
Marathon Be
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Bet365
2.22
PRS
Bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathon Be
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Spread Cholet +5 · main lineActual: Cholet +5
CHO +5
61.2%
@ 1.93+11.7pp
PRS -5
38.8%
@ 1.89-11.7pp
Best 5 market prices
CHO
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.80
PRS
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.89
Bet365
1.86
SBO
1.83
Spread Cholet +8Actual: Cholet +8
CHO +8
70.9%
@ 1.54+11.6pp
PRS -8
29.1%
@ 2.40-11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
CHO
Marathon Be
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Bet365
1.52
PRS
Bet365
2.40
Marathon Be
2.25
1xBet
2.25

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.5+4.5
CholetParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H09/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H27/09
LNB
Nancy
#12
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A03/10
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#18
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A06/10
Champions League
Pau-Orthez
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#23
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#5
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#10
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/10
LNB
82.7Avg total
42.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 89
Last 30 (30)43.042.385.3+0.747%47%
Last 30 at home (15)44.742.086.7+2.753%60%
Last 30 away (15)41.342.683.9-1.340%33%
Last 10 (10)42.340.482.7+1.950%30%
Last 5 (5)36.638.074.6-1.440%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.544.988.5-1.446%62%
vs Similar (10)42.242.084.2+0.240%40%
vs Weaker (7)43.037.980.9+5.157%29%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H07/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#7
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H11/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H14/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A16/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H18/10
LNB
Valencia
#3
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#5
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/11
LNB
92.0Avg total
45.9Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 89
Last 30 (30)45.446.191.5-0.733%47%
Last 30 at home (17)47.047.394.3-0.324%59%
Last 30 away (13)43.244.587.8-1.346%31%
Last 10 (10)45.946.192.0-0.220%40%
Last 5 (5)48.048.296.2-0.220%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.745.788.3-3.033%33%
vs Similar (10)46.850.397.1-3.520%50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.543.388.8+2.243%50%
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Cholet win
CHO win
48.2%
@ 2.56+10.9pp
PRS win
51.8%
@ 1.60-10.9pp
1st half Spread Cholet +1.5 · main lineActual: Cholet +1.5
CHO +1.5
54.7%
@ 2.05+6.9pp
PRS -1.5
45.3%
@ 1.83-6.9pp
1st half Over/Under 89 · main lineActual: Under 89
Over
51.2%
@ 1.93+1.6pp
Under
48.8%
@ 1.90-1.6pp
Cholet 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Cholet over 42.5
Over
61.0%
@ 1.83+8.5pp
Under
39.0%
@ 2.00-8.5pp
Paris 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Paris under 45.5
Over
46.4%
@ 1.85-4.1pp
Under
53.6%
@ 1.95+4.1pp
1st half: CHO + total 88.5
CHO & over
24.6%
@ 4.50+5.3pp
CHO & under
21.6%
@ 4.50+2.4pp
1st half: Draw + total 88.5
Draw & over
2.3%
@ 26.00-1.0pp
Draw & under
1.9%
@ 26.00-1.4pp
1st half: PRS + total 88.5
PRS & over
26.2%
@ 3.20-0.8pp
PRS & under
23.4%
@ 3.10-4.5pp
1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Under 87.5
Over
56.8%
@ 1.85+5.1pp
Under
43.2%
@ 2.10-5.1pp
1st half Over/Under 90.5Actual: Under 90.5
Over
45.3%
@ 1.98-1.6pp
Under
54.7%
@ 1.75+1.6pp
1st half Spread Cholet +2.5Actual: Cholet +2.5
CHO +2.5
58.6%
@ 1.94+9.4pp
PRS -2.5
41.4%
@ 1.91-9.4pp
1st half Spread Cholet -0.5Actual: Cholet -0.5
CHO -0.5
46.1%
@ 2.30+5.9pp
PRS +0.5
53.9%
@ 1.55-5.9pp
1st half Spread Cholet +3.5Actual: Cholet +3.5
CHO +3.5
62.6%
@ 1.80+9.5pp
PRS -3.5
37.4%
@ 2.13-9.4pp
1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Under 85.5
Over
64.1%
@ 1.64+7.5pp
Under
35.9%
@ 2.32-7.5pp
1st half Over/Under 92.5Actual: Under 92.5
Over
38.0%
@ 2.27-2.3pp
Under
62.0%
@ 1.53+2.3pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Draw after regulation
CHO
46.1%
@ 2.50+8.8pp
Draw
4.2%
@ 16.50-1.4pp
PRS
49.6%
@ 1.62-7.3pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
CHO win + total 177.5
🔒 Pro
PRS win + total 177.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CHO leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PRS leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (CHO:PRS): CHO wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Cholet +870.9%1.53
Marathon Bet
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Bet365
1.52		--+11.6ppWon
Cholet over 82.571.9%1.52
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.45		---+11.5ppWon
Cholet +8.571.8%1.51
Betano
1.55
Marathon Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.50		-+11.2ppWon
Cholet over 80.577.8%1.38
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.32		---+11.0ppWon
Cholet over 76.587.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+11.0ppWon
Cholet over 78.582.9%1.27
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.23		---+10.7ppWon
Over 16874.8%1.42
Bet365
1.45
Marathon Bet
1.39		---+10.6ppWon
Over 16776.8%1.38
Bet365
1.40
Marathon Bet
1.35		---+10.5ppWon
Cholet +10.577.1%1.38
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.37
Marathon Bet
1.36		--+10.4ppWon
Cholet over 74.590.6%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+10.1ppWon
Cholet +11.579.5%1.32
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.32
Marathon Bet
1.31		--+10.0ppWon
1st half: Cholet over 38.579.9%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+9.9ppWon
1st half: Cholet +6.573.5%1.44
Betano
1.44		----+9.9ppWon
Cholet +12.581.7%1.28
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.27
Marathon Bet
1.26		--+9.7ppWon
Cholet +15.587.2%1.19
Betano
1.19		----+9.7ppWon
Cholet +973.8%1.44
Bet365
1.45
Marathon Bet
1.44		---+9.6ppWon
Cholet +9.574.5%1.42
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.43
Marathon Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.38		-+9.6ppWon
Cholet +1076.5%1.38
Marathon Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.38		---+9.5ppWon
Cholet over 81.574.9%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+9.4ppWon
Over 164.580.7%1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29		---+9.4ppWon
Cholet over 79.580.4%1.27
Betano
1.27		----+9.2ppWon
1st half: Cholet over 36.586.9%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+9.1ppWon
Cholet +1179.0%1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathon Bet
1.32		---+9.0ppWon
Cholet +13.583.7%1.24
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22		---+9.0ppWon
Cholet +1281.3%1.27
Bet365
1.28
Marathon Bet
1.27		---+8.9ppWon
Cholet +14.585.5%1.21
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20		---+8.8ppWon
1st half: Cholet over 40.570.9%1.50
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47		---+8.8ppWon
Q1: Over 37.584.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+8.7ppWon
Cholet over 70.596.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+8.7ppWon
Over 159.588.0%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+8.5ppWon
Cholet over 75.589.0%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+8.5ppWon
Cholet over 72.593.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+8.3ppWon
Cholet over 68.597.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+8.1ppWon
1st half: Cholet over 34.591.9%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+8.1ppWon
1st half: Over 77.586.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+8.0ppWon
Q1: Cholet over 19.570.8%1.47
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.44		---+8.0ppWon
Q1: Cholet over 17.582.5%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+8.0ppWon
Q1: Over 39.577.2%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+7.8ppWon
Cholet over 71.595.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+7.7ppWon
Over 167.575.3%1.37
Bet365
1.43
Marathon Bet
1.37
Betano
1.31		--+7.7ppWon
Cholet over 73.592.1%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+7.7ppWon
1st half: Over 79.582.4%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+7.6ppWon
Cholet over 69.597.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+7.6ppWon
1st half: Over 81.577.0%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+7.5ppWon
1st half: Over 83.570.8%1.47
Bet365
1.47		----+7.4ppWon
1st half: Cholet +11.587.8%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+7.3ppWon
Over 165.579.0%1.28
Betano
1.28		----+7.3ppWon
Cholet over 67.598.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.3ppWon
Q1: Cholet +4.572.6%1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40		---+7.2ppWon
Cholet over 66.598.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.2ppWon
1st half: Cholet over 32.595.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+7.2ppWon
Q1: Cholet over 15.590.9%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+7.1ppWon
Over 154.593.1%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+7.0ppWon
1st half: Cholet +7.576.9%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+6.9ppWon
Q1: Cholet +5.576.9%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+6.9ppWon
Q1: Cholet +7.584.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+6.8ppWon
Over 16972.8%1.38
Bet365
1.40
Marathon Bet
1.36		---+6.8ppWon
Over 149.596.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.7ppWon
Cholet over 64.598.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.7ppWon
1st half: Cholet +9.582.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+6.7ppWon
Cholet +24.596.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.6ppWon
Paris over 78.587.2%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+6.6ppWon
Over 17070.7%1.42
Bet365
1.45
Marathon Bet
1.40		---+6.5ppWon
Cholet over 65.598.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.5ppWon
Q1: Cholet over 13.595.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.5ppWon
Paris over 70.597.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.5ppWon
Paris over 80.582.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+6.4ppWon
Over 169.571.3%1.42
1xBet
1.46
Bet365
1.43
Marathon Bet
1.39
Betano
1.38		-+6.4ppWon
Q1: Cholet +6.581.1%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+6.3ppWon
Cholet +19.592.4%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+6.3ppWon
Paris over 72.595.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.3ppWon
Cholet +28.598.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.3ppWon
Q1: Cholet over 11.598.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.1ppWon
Paris over 74.593.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+6.1ppWon
Over 166.577.2%1.31
Marathon Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.29		--+6.1ppWon
Cholet +23.595.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.1ppWon
Cholet +29.598.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.0ppWon
Paris over 68.598.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.0ppWon
Over 161.585.4%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+5.9ppWon
Cholet +18.591.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+5.8ppWon
Paris over 71.596.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.8ppWon
Paris over 76.590.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+5.8ppWon
Over 151.595.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.6ppWon
Over 168.573.3%1.36
Bet365
1.38
Marathon Bet
1.35
Betano
1.34		--+5.6ppWon
Paris over 69.597.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.5ppWon
Paris under 110.597.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.5ppWon
Q1: Paris over 12.597.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.4ppWon
Paris over 73.594.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.4ppWon
Paris under 109.596.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.3ppWon
Paris under 97.576.0%1.28
Betano
1.28		----+5.2ppWon
Over 156.591.3%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+5.2ppWon
Paris under 108.595.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+5.2ppWon
Q1: Paris over 14.594.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.2ppWon
Paris over 82.577.1%1.27
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.24		---+5.1ppWon
1st half: Paris under 54.591.6%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+5.0ppWon
1st half: Paris over 36.588.1%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+5.0ppWon
Q1: Paris under 30.594.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.9ppWon
Q1: Paris under 32.597.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.9ppWon
1st half: Paris under 52.586.2%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+4.8ppWon
Paris over 75.592.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+4.8ppWon
1st half: Paris over 34.592.7%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+4.7ppWon
Paris under 106.593.7%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+4.7ppWon
Paris over 79.585.0%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+4.5ppWon
Q1: Paris over 16.588.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.1ppWon
Paris under 98.578.9%1.23
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22		---+4.1ppWon
Paris over 77.589.1%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+4.1ppWon
1st half: Paris over 38.581.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+3.9ppWon
Paris under 104.590.9%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+3.8ppWon
Q1: Cholet or Paris94.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+3.7pp-
1st half: Paris under 50.578.9%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+3.6ppWon
Q1: Paris under 28.588.6%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+3.5ppWon
Overtime: no95.0%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+3.5pp-
Q1: Paris over 18.578.6%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+3.3ppWon
Paris under 96.573.0%1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30		---+3.3ppWon
Paris +21.596.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.2ppWon
Paris under 102.587.6%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+3.2ppWon
Q1: Cholet under 31.596.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.1ppWon
1st half: Paris over 40.572.9%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+2.9ppWon
Paris under 100.583.4%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+2.9ppWon
Q1: Paris under 26.578.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+2.7ppWon
Paris under 99.581.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+2.7ppWon
Paris +20.595.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.6ppWon
Q1: Cholet under 29.592.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+2.4ppWon
Paris over 84.570.8%1.33
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.27		---+2.2ppWon
Cholet under 106.594.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.1ppWon
Cholet under 105.593.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.8ppWon
Paris +16.591.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+1.7ppWon
Under 201.590.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+1.6ppWon
Q2: Cholet or Paris94.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.2pp-
Paris +15.590.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+1.1ppWon
Paris over 83.574.1%1.24
Betano
1.24		----+1.1ppWon
Cholet under 104.592.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.0ppWon
Q1: Paris +5.579.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+0.5ppLost
1st half: Cholet under 52.587.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----0.4ppWon
Under 199.588.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----0.4ppWon
Under 196.585.1%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----0.5ppWon
Cholet under 102.588.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----0.7ppWon
Q1: Under 49.575.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----1.1ppWon
1st half: Under 97.578.4%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----1.1ppWon
Q1: Paris +4.574.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----1.3ppLost
Q1: Cholet under 27.585.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----1.4ppLost
Under 191.577.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----1.4ppWon
Paris +11.584.7%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----1.4ppWon
1st half: Paris +8.582.1%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----1.7ppWon
1st half: Cholet under 50.580.4%1.13
Bet365
1.13		-----1.9ppWon
Q1: Paris +3.570.1%1.28
Bet365
1.28		-----2.2ppLost
1st half: Under 95.572.4%1.25
Bet365
1.25		-----2.3ppWon
1st half: Paris +6.576.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----2.4ppWon
Paris +10.582.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----2.8ppWon
Cholet under 100.585.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06		-----3.1ppWon
Paris +7.575.7%1.17
Betano
1.17		-----3.1ppWon
Under 194.582.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----3.2ppWon
Q1: Cholet under 25.573.9%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----3.9ppLost
1st half: Cholet under 48.571.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----4.9ppWon
Under 189.573.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----5.0ppWon
Cholet under 98.580.8%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----5.3ppWon
Paris +6.573.0%1.17
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17		----5.9ppWon
Cholet under 96.575.5%1.13
Bet365
1.13		-----6.8ppWon
Paris +5.570.1%1.17
Betano
1.20
Marathon Bet
1.15		----6.9ppWon
Cholet under 95.572.6%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----6.9ppWon
Paris +672.2%1.17
Marathon Bet
1.17		-----Won
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
55.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.1%
34.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.220.2
80.2%
73.9%20.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
34.1%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
73.9%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
LLLLWWWWLL
Paris
WWWWLWLLWL
#10
League position
#1
+0.0
Net rating
+4.0
91.7
Offensive rating
103.4
91.7
Defensive rating
99.4
49.2%
Effective FG%
57.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.1%
3-point %
36.7%
70.5%
Assist %
59.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 103.4Defence91.7 · 99.4Shooting49.2% · 57.9%3-point %31.1% · 36.7%Ball care17.1% · 14.7%Free throws0.40 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Cholet   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cholet wins
8
Paris wins
DateGameScore
09/06/26Cholet v Paris91-94
07/06/26Cholet v Paris86-95
04/06/26Paris v Cholet100-77
02/06/26Paris v Cholet89-90
19/04/26Cholet v Paris93-99
21/12/25Paris v Cholet107-84
26/01/25Paris v Cholet90-77
26/10/24Cholet v Paris90-80
21/05/24Paris v Cholet74-62
18/05/24Cholet v Paris72-90
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AStrasbourg82-88
28/10/26HSpartak Subotica65-69
24/10/26ANanterre69-86
17/10/26HChalon/Saone77-86
14/10/26HVechta84-66
10/10/26HPau-Orthez85-79
06/10/26AHapoel Holon99-79
03/10/26ANancy85-76
27/09/26HLyon-Villeurbanne85-97
09/06/26HParis91-94
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HChalon/Saone116-112 OT
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104
18/10/26HBoulazac90-75
16/10/26ACrvena zvezda81-90
14/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-96
11/10/26HStrasbourg98-84
07/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne96-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game80.582.378.7
Allowed / game85.387.383.3
Point differential-4.8-5.0-4.7
Avg total165.8169.7162.0
Over 177.517%33%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paris
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.8101.392.3
Allowed / game86.790.383.0
Point differential+10.2+11.0+9.3
Avg total183.5191.7175.3
Over 177.550%67%33%
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris660100%96.886.7+10.2
2 Dijon65183%92.583.5+9.0
3 Le Mans65183%99.391.0+8.3
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne65183%88.782.3+6.3
5 Chalon/Saone64267%95.283.8+11.3
6 Nanterre64267%85.779.5+6.2
7 Strasbourg74357%82.986.6-3.7
8 Roanne63350%80.882.5-1.7
9 JL Bourg62433%90.590.0+0.5
10 Cholet62433%80.585.3-4.8
11 Nancy62433%79.784.7-5.0
12 Boulazac62433%80.786.2-5.5
13 Pau-Orthez62433%81.388.0-6.7
14 Saint Quentin72529%90.196.9-6.7
15 Limoges61517%87.791.0-3.3
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque6060%78.090.7-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cholet281515211594
Paris192220181190
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.