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Circus Brussels vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-87
21-28 25-23 16-16 12-20
Position#5
Record17-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game76.0
Circus Brussels
vs
Mechelen 🏆
Position#3
Record18-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game75.4
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek
Other2024-25
Meetings · Circus Brussels v Mechelen
28 Mar 2025
CIRC74
MECH87
01 Dec 2023
CIRC74
MECH88
02 Oct 2022
CIRC81
MECH73
21 Nov 2021
CIRC76
MECH112
22 Dec 2020
CIRC89
MECH87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
W
74-63
74
63
+11
60avg 73
A11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
74avg 73
H17/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 73
A25/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 73
A01/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
102-67
102
67
+35
109avg 73
H09/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
89-86
89
86
+3
76avg 73
A15/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 73
H02/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 73
H12/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
82-68
82
68
+14
75avg 73
A15/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
64avg 73
H23/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
8-16
21-14
21-12
21-28
24-25
18-20
27-25
22-24
23-9
21-26
17-15
15-23
16-23
21-18
20-22
25-11
27-23
24-21
26-12
22-20
18-29
21-13
28-24
21-29
26-21
18-11
15-17
17-17
17-17
15-19
18-27
21-20
25-19
24-18
12-11
19-17
19-13
14-22
21-20
158.4Avg total
81.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.876.0153.8+1.865%
Season at home (13)75.474.3149.7+1.162%
Season away (13)80.377.7158.0+2.669%
Last 10 (10)81.277.2158.4+4.070%
Last 5 (5)78.276.8155.0+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.779.8157.5-2.157%
vs Weaker (14)79.572.6152.1+6.979%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
60avg 76
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
72-69
72
69
+3
44avg 76
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-70
77
70
+7
66avg 76
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
89-69
89
69
+20
86avg 76
H01/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
77avg 76
A08/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
86-89
86
89
-3
80avg 76
H15/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
79-65
79
65
+14
68avg 76
A01/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
93-90
93
90
+3
87avg 76
A12/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 76
A16/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
15-28
26-11
15-22
10-18
22-20
23-5
20-26
19-27
18-17
20-11
15-14
20-13
18-28
19-21
20-8
10-18
32-20
25-20
22-11
26-17
20-24
19-17
20-17
20-22
29-18
13-21
24-28
18-13
17-19
21-21
23-12
28-20
24-21
22-22
19-27
14-28
28-17
16-18
21-21
156.6Avg total
80.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.275.4156.6+5.872%
Season at home (11)82.473.2155.5+9.282%
Season away (14)80.377.2157.5+3.164%
Last 10 (10)80.875.8156.6+5.070%
Last 5 (5)84.480.6165.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.886.8166.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.077.9154.9-0.950%
vs Weaker (13)83.570.7154.2+12.892%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
Circus BrusselsMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H17/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A25/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A01/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H09/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A15/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H02/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A15/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H23/03
BNXT League
81.5Avg total
41.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.478.4-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.838.377.1+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.579.6-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.581.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.481.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.042.573.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.441.279.6-2.936%-
vs Weaker (14)40.637.277.9+3.443%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A08/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H15/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A01/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A12/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A16/03
BNXT League
81.0Avg total
40.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.738.479.1+2.366%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.636.878.4+4.885%-
Last 30 away (16)39.939.879.7+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.581.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.884.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.241.881.0-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.038.979.9+2.158%-
vs Weaker (13)40.836.977.8+3.977%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.5
53.0%
52.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.5
33.0%
34.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.614.7
79.0%
71.9%14.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.4
48.5%
52.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.0
35.4%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.3
75.8%
71.9%16.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
WWLWWWLWLW
Mechelen
LWWLWWWWWL
#5
League position
#3
+5.4
Net rating
+8.5
109.0
Offensive rating
110.0
103.6
Defensive rating
101.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
50.4%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.3%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.0%
3-point %
35.4%
52.4%
Assist %
49.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 110.0Defence103.6 · 101.5Shooting51.7% · 50.4%3-point %33.0% · 35.4%Ball care15.9% · 15.3%Off. rebounds26.9% · 29.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Circus Brussels wins
5
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Mechelen v Circus Brussels86-89
27/01/24Mechelen v Circus Brussels58-79
01/12/23Circus Brussels v Mechelen74-88
17/12/22Mechelen v Circus Brussels85-71
02/10/22Circus Brussels v Mechelen81-73
16/02/22Mechelen v Circus Brussels79-74
21/11/21Circus Brussels v Mechelen76-112
06/01/21Mechelen v Circus Brussels99-79
22/12/20Circus Brussels v Mechelen89-87
Circus Brusselslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HLimburg73-72
15/03/25AOkapi Aalst82-68
12/03/25HBelfius Mons67-80
02/03/25HZwolle80-78
15/02/25AMechelen89-86
09/02/25HQSTA Utd102-67
01/02/25ALeuven Bears72-86
25/01/25ALWD Basket83-74
17/01/25HOkapi Aalst90-98
11/01/25AFeyenoord74-63
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25AAntwerp Giants79-84
12/03/25ALeuven Bears93-90
01/03/25AOkapi Aalst79-65
15/02/25HCircus Brussels86-89
08/02/25ADonar Groningen85-75
01/02/25HLWD Basket89-69
25/01/25ABAL Weert77-70
18/01/25HDen Bosch72-69
12/01/25AZwolle75-69
05/01/25ALeuven Bears73-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayWWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%62%69%
Points / game77.875.480.3
Allowed / game76.074.377.7
Point differential+1.8+1.1+2.6
Avg total153.8149.7158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%23%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won91% (11)100% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL72%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %72%82%64%
Points / game81.282.480.3
Allowed / game75.473.277.2
Point differential+5.8+9.2+3.1
Avg total156.6155.5157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%45%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk2621581%96.476.5+19.9
2 Oostende2721678%88.375.8+12.5
3 Mechelen2518772%81.275.4+5.8
4 Limburg2617965%80.175.1+5.0
5 Circus Brussels2617965%77.876.0+1.8
6 Spirou Charleroi27161159%81.475.1+6.4
7 Den Bosch27161159%83.181.0+2.0
8 Antwerp Giants27161159%82.080.6+1.4
9 Belfius Mons27151256%80.278.9+1.3
10 Leiden25131252%77.179.8-2.7
11 Leuven Bears26131350%80.075.5+4.5
12 Okapi Aalst27131448%80.779.7+0.9
13 LWD Basket27131448%80.983.6-2.7
14 Zwolle26101638%80.483.7-3.3
15 Den Helder2781930%73.184.8-11.7
16 Donar Groningen2471729%76.785.5-8.8
17 Feyenoord2671927%79.588.2-8.8
18 BAL Weert2542116%70.284.5-14.3
19 QSTA Utd2532212%78.689.7-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels2125161274
Mechelen2823162087
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