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Citadel vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-80
25-31 39-49
Position#311
Record8-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game66.5
Citadel
USA
vs
Samford 🏆
USA
Position#12
Record12-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Citadel v Samford
23 Jan 2027
CITA v SAMF
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
CITA75
SAMF78
01 Feb 2025
CITA58
SAMF83
06 Jan 2024
CITA64
SAMF80
31 Dec 2022
CITA63
SAMF75
05 Feb 2022
CITA107
SAMF93
15 Feb 2020
CITA62
SAMF74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#279
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H20/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Campbell
#262
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A22/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
81-52
81
52
+29
H29/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A02/12
NCAA
Pfeiffer Falcons
#476
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H06/12
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A15/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
65-45
65
45
+20
A19/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#627
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H30/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
13-23
49-38
35-37
32-24
30-29
28-36
40-28
41-24
40-36
45-32
43-21
45-39
32-44
39-42
32-29
33-16
56-31
50-45
28-40
43-40
140.8Avg total
75.4Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.266.5139.7+6.757%
Season at home (8)77.965.5143.4+12.475%
Season away (6)67.067.8134.8-0.833%
Last 10 (10)75.465.4140.8+10.070%
Last 5 (5)80.269.4149.6+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)64.974.1139.0-9.224%
vs Similar (8)65.565.0130.5+0.538%
vs Weaker (5)87.463.0150.4+24.4100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#281
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H23/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H24/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
101-83
101
83
+18
H25/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H01/12
NCAA
La Grange
#612
W
128-82
128
82
+46
H03/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
118-91
118
91
+27
H12/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
99-93
99
93
+6
H16/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A19/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A22/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-27
58-40
33-30
46-41
58-33
43-50
42-26
46-39
61-29
67-53
64-45
54-46
44-36
55-57
35-27
44-34
41-21
46-44
46-43
43-31
171.9Avg total
96.7Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.174.9165.1+15.286%
Season at home (10)98.675.0173.6+23.6100%
Season away (4)69.074.8143.8-5.850%
Last 10 (10)96.775.2171.9+21.5100%
Last 5 (5)94.476.8171.2+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)75.279.2154.4-4.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.471.2156.6+14.289%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +14.8+14.82nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +6.7+6.7
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +14.8+14.82nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +6.7+6.7
CitadelSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#279
L
13-23
13
23
-10
H20/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/11
NCAA
Campbell
#262
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A22/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H29/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A02/12
NCAA
Pfeiffer Falcons
#476
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H06/12
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A19/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#627
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H30/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H04/01
NCAA
66.7Avg total
34.9Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.933.264.1-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.033.267.2+0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)27.433.160.6-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)34.931.866.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.233.071.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)28.235.163.3-6.912%-
vs Similar (8)29.431.861.1-2.450%-
vs Weaker (5)42.828.871.6+14.0100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#281
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H24/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H25/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H01/12
NCAA
La Grange
#612
W
61-29
61
29
+32
H03/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H12/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H16/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A19/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A22/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H04/01
NCAA
78.2Avg total
46.5Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.833.472.2+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.333.275.5+9.278%-
Last 30 away (12)33.533.867.3-0.358%-
Last 10 (10)46.531.778.2+14.8100%-
Last 5 (5)46.034.480.4+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)32.338.170.4-5.830%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.431.772.1+8.889%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Citadel wins
5
Samford wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Samford v Citadel76-70
31/12/22Citadel v Samford63-75
22/02/22Samford v Citadel76-74
05/02/22Citadel v Samford107-93
15/02/20Citadel v Samford62-74
01/01/20Samford v Citadel69-68
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HWestern Carolina71-80
30/12/23HToccoa Falls106-76
19/12/23ANotre Dame65-45
15/12/23ACharleston71-86
06/12/23HPfeiffer Falcons88-60
02/12/23AN. Carolina A&T85-68
29/11/23HCharleston Southern81-52
22/11/23ACampbell58-65
21/11/23HN. Carolina Central67-61
20/11/23HIdaho State62-61
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HChattanooga Mocs89-74
22/12/23ATexas Southern87-65
19/12/23AValparaiso79-61
16/12/23HBelmont99-93
12/12/23HAlabama A&M Bulldogs118-91
03/12/23HLa Grange128-82
01/12/23HLouisiana Lafayette88-65
25/11/23HN. Carolina A&T101-83
24/11/23HMerrimack Warriors79-71
23/11/23HAlabama State99-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game73.277.967.0
Allowed / game66.565.567.8
Point differential+6.7+12.4-0.8
Avg total139.7143.4134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samford
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %86%100%50%
Points / game90.198.669.0
Allowed / game74.975.074.8
Point differential+15.2+23.6-5.8
Avg total165.1173.6143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford1412286%90.174.9+15.2
2 Western Carolina1412286%77.466.4+11.0
3 NC Greensboro1410471%78.669.9+8.6
4 East Tennessee St149564%72.867.8+5.0
5 Citadel148657%73.266.5+6.7
6 Chattanooga Mocs148657%78.572.6+5.9
7 Wofford148657%80.676.6+4.0
8 Mercer147750%69.970.9-1.0
9 Furman146843%83.580.1+3.4
10 VMI1431121%70.673.0-2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel253964
Samford314980
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