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Real Madrid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 94-63
29-27 21-7 23-14 21-15
Position#2
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Estudiantes
Spain
Position#8
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SpainSpanish CupSpanish Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2019
Meetings · Real Madrid v Estudiantes
25 Oct 2020
MAD93
EST77
09 May 2019
MAD109
EST92
15 Feb 2019
MAD94
EST63
31 Dec 2017
MAD96
EST89
30 Apr 2017
MAD79
EST72
07 Feb 2016
MAD97
EST79
29 Mar 2015
MAD92
EST66
24 Nov 2013
MAD72
EST57
05 May 2013
MAD93
EST82
22 Apr 2012
MAD85
EST80
22 Jan 2011
MAD82
EST61
03 Apr 2010
MAD101
EST77
06 Dec 2008
MAD98
EST81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
W
94-78
94
78
+16
122avg 117
H10/01
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
98-96
98
96
+2
130avg 117
H13/01
ACB
Buducnost
#15
L
60-73
60
73
-13
87avg 117
A18/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
108avg 117
A20/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
92-84
92
84
+8
127avg 117
H24/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
118avg 117
H27/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
116avg 117
A01/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
L
102-103 OT
102
103
-1
no box
A03/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
105avg 117
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
107avg 117
H10/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
26-23
18-17
22-15
31-31
22-21
23-22
22-22
15-19
13-17
20-20
12-17
22-22
18-22
23-15
20-19
21-21
21-21
22-19
28-23
12-27
31-13
25-19
21-20
23-16
30-22
19-21
14-23
27-19
30-22
19-28
19-26
20-22
20-12
21-30
17-18
15-19
22-18
20-15
25-24
169.5Avg total
86.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.483.1169.5+3.370%
Last 5 (5)87.484.4171.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)80.980.2161.1+0.650%
vs Weaker (22)86.577.7164.2+8.977%
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Libertad
#14
L
69-88
69
88
-19
no box
A19/01
Liga A
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
86-62
86
62
+24
110avg 109
H20/01
ACB
Olimpico
#12
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
A22/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
A24/01
Liga A
Tenerife
#7
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
no box
H27/01
ACB
Weber Bahia
#18
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H29/01
Liga A
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
92-93
92
93
-1
118avg 109
A02/02
ACB
Boca Juniors
#8
W
67-60
67
60
+7
no box
H03/02
Liga A
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
91-90
91
90
+1
119avg 109
H10/02
ACB
Gimnasia
#5
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
H11/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
22-22
18-17
14-24
25-17
19-21
16-12
26-12
15-15
16-16
28-12
18-27
17-18
22-29
13-30
23-16
21-19
11-21
19-19
28-20
19-14
19-12
13-22
25-21
25-21
23-27
20-20
24-25
18-7
13-16
21-18
15-19
28-24
17-20
20-24
26-22
14-16
13-14
25-21
13-14
163.1Avg total
82.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.380.8163.1+1.570%
Last 5 (5)83.679.8163.4+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.686.5164.1-8.827%
vs Similar (18)80.281.3161.4-1.144%
vs Weaker (1)76.069.0145.0+7.0100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
Real MadridEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H10/01
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H13/01
ACB
Buducnost
#15
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A18/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A20/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H27/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A01/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A03/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/02
ACB
85.7Avg total
44.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.338.581.8+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.437.983.3+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)41.439.180.4+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.085.7+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.084.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)40.038.678.6+1.438%-
vs Weaker (22)44.538.582.9+6.073%-
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertad
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A19/01
Liga A
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H20/01
ACB
Olimpico
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A22/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/01
Liga A
Tenerife
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H27/01
ACB
Weber Bahia
#18
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H29/01
Liga A
Fuenlabrada
#13
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A02/02
ACB
Boca Juniors
#8
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H03/02
Liga A
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H10/02
ACB
Gimnasia
#5
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H11/02
Liga A
74.6Avg total
37.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.177.5-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.938.173.9-2.236%-
Last 30 away (16)38.741.980.6-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)37.237.474.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.272.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.742.177.8-6.418%-
vs Similar (18)38.339.778.1-1.444%-
vs Weaker (1)38.026.064.0+12.0100%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.5
54.6%
-39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.0
37.9%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws18.514.1
76.2%
-14.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.0
54.6%
-44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.7
36.0%
-26.1
🏀 Free throws19.313.9
72.0%
-13.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLLWWWWLWW
Estudiantes
WWWLWWLWWL
#2
League position
#8
+6.1
Net rating
+1.8
115.6
Offensive rating
113.2
109.5
Defensive rating
111.5
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.3%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
14.3%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.9%
3-point %
36.0%
58.3%
Assist %
49.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
06/01/19Estudiantes v Real Madrid93-88
29/04/18Estudiantes v Real Madrid75-92
31/12/17Real Madrid v Estudiantes96-89
30/04/17Real Madrid v Estudiantes79-72
23/10/16Estudiantes v Real Madrid88-96
07/02/16Real Madrid v Estudiantes97-79
08/11/15Estudiantes v Real Madrid75-80
29/03/15Real Madrid v Estudiantes92-66
07/12/14Estudiantes v Real Madrid89-84
13/04/14Estudiantes v Real Madrid64-71
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/19HBaskonia82-76
08/02/19ACSKA Moscow78-82
03/02/19AUnicaja102-103 OT
01/02/19ADarussafaka86-82
27/01/19HFuenlabrada89-79
24/01/19HAnadolu Efes92-84
20/01/19AManresa83-78
18/01/19ABuducnost60-73
13/01/19HTecnyconta Zaragoza98-96
10/01/19HOlympiacos94-78
Estudianteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/19HGimnasia92-87 OT
10/02/19HMoraBanc Andorra91-90
03/02/19HBoca Juniors67-60
02/02/19AFuenlabrada92-93
29/01/19HWeber Bahia76-69
27/01/19HTenerife98-96 OT
24/01/19AQuimsa75-93
22/01/19AOlimpico77-70
20/01/19HGipuzkoa86-62
19/01/19ALibertad69-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Spanish Cup 2019
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Estudiantes
Spanish Cup 2019
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife110100%88.078.0+10.0
2 Joventut Badalona110100%98.089.0+9.0
3 Barcelona110100%86.079.0+7.0
4 Valencia1010%79.086.0-7.0
5 Baskonia1010%89.098.0-9.0
6 Unicaja1010%78.088.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2921232194
Estudiantes277141563
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