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Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-60
18-7 13-16 21-18 15-19
Position#9
Record4-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#8
Record8-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game74.0
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2018-19
Meetings · Estudiantes v Boca Juniors
28 Feb 2020
EST68
BOCA82
22 May 2019
EST v BOCA
upcoming
20 May 2019
EST73
BOCA69
02 Feb 2019
EST67
BOCA60
06 Apr 2018
EST81
BOCA80
24 Jan 2017
EST84
BOCA76
06 Mar 2016
EST84
BOCA46
05 Apr 2015
EST69
BOCA89
09 Feb 2014
EST62
BOCA57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A12/01
ACB
Obras Sanitarias
#6
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A13/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H17/01
Liga A
Libertad
#14
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A19/01
Liga A
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H20/01
ACB
Olimpico
#12
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A22/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
L
75-93
75
93
-18
A24/01
Liga A
Tenerife
#7
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
H27/01
ACB
Weber Bahia
#18
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H29/01
Liga A
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A02/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
18-19
18-28
24-16
18-19
23-20
21-26
16-25
20-22
15-13
20-20
15-16
15-25
22-22
18-17
14-24
25-17
19-21
16-12
26-12
15-15
16-16
28-12
18-27
17-18
22-29
13-30
23-16
21-19
11-21
19-19
28-20
19-14
19-12
13-22
25-21
25-21
23-27
20-20
24-25
161.1Avg total
79.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.980.4153.3-7.629%
Season at home (5)73.678.2151.8-4.640%
Season away (9)72.481.7154.1-9.222%
Last 10 (10)79.781.4161.1-1.740%
Last 5 (5)83.684.2167.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.685.8161.5-10.218%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.181.8160.9-2.833%
vs Weaker (1)76.069.0145.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hispano Americano
#15
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H18/12
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H21/12
Liga A
La Union
#11
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A06/01
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H10/01
Liga A
Ferro
#3
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A16/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H20/01
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A24/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A26/01
Liga A
Ferro
#3
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H29/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A01/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
17-8
13-14
12-15
18-17
16-19
23-12
21-12
28-16
16-19
32-30
17-18
16-17
24-19
18-19
18-27
13-18
27-19
20-20
21-21
11-24
18-16
23-19
20-24
18-14
8-25
19-22
31-29
12-19
18-17
10-24
14-23
20-22
15-17
23-18
18-8
19-22
20-16
20-14
19-17
148.4Avg total
73.6Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.174.0149.1+1.162%
Season at home (7)73.671.9145.4+1.757%
Season away (6)76.876.5153.3+0.367%
Last 10 (10)73.674.8148.4-1.250%
Last 5 (5)71.278.0149.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.380.3158.7-2.042%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.476.0147.4-4.640%
vs Weaker (8)76.172.6148.8+3.562%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
EstudiantesBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A12/01
ACB
Obras Sanitarias
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A13/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H17/01
Liga A
Libertad
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A19/01
Liga A
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H20/01
ACB
Olimpico
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A22/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/01
Liga A
Tenerife
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H27/01
ACB
Weber Bahia
#18
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H29/01
Liga A
Fuenlabrada
#13
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A02/02
ACB
76.8Avg total
37.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.478.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.639.476.0-2.831%-
Last 30 away (17)38.841.280.0-2.441%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.976.8-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.476.0-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.342.077.3-6.79%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.440.279.7-0.850%-
vs Weaker (1)38.026.064.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hispano Americano
#15
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H18/12
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H21/12
Liga A
La Union
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A06/01
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H10/01
Liga A
Ferro
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A16/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H20/01
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A24/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A26/01
Liga A
Ferro
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A01/02
Liga A
70.6Avg total
34.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.436.170.5-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.535.168.5-1.627%-
Last 30 away (15)35.337.172.4-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.270.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)31.838.470.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.837.172.9-1.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.037.671.6-3.640%-
vs Weaker (8)32.832.665.4+0.150%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.3
52.2%
53.8%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.9
37.9%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.813.3
70.7%
71.7%13.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Estudiantes wins
3
Boca Juniors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/19AFuenlabrada92-93
29/01/19HWeber Bahia76-69
27/01/19HTenerife98-96 OT
24/01/19AQuimsa75-93
22/01/19AOlimpico77-70
20/01/19HGipuzkoa86-62
19/01/19ALibertad69-88
17/01/19HRegatas70-71
13/01/19AObras Sanitarias78-90
12/01/19AUnicaja76-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/19AComunicaciones Mercedes78-69
29/01/19HFerro76-65
26/01/19ARegatas54-83
24/01/19ASan Martin76-90
20/01/19HSan Lorenzo72-83
16/01/19AFerro81-78
10/01/19HSan Martin76-82
06/01/19ALa Union93-83
21/12/18HEstudiantes78-60
18/12/18HHispano Americano52-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %29%40%22%
Points / game72.973.672.4
Allowed / game80.478.281.7
Point differential-7.6-4.6-9.2
Avg total153.3151.8154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game75.173.676.8
Allowed / game74.071.976.5
Point differential+1.1+1.7+0.3
Avg total149.1145.4153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Lorenzo11110100%93.672.7+20.9
2 Regatas1512380%85.377.5+7.9
3 Gimnasia128467%81.476.2+5.2
4 Ferro138562%80.978.5+2.5
5 Obras Sanitarias138562%83.181.8+1.2
6 Boca Juniors138562%75.174.0+1.1
7 San Martin138562%79.580.2-0.6
8 Instituto de Cordoba106460%84.978.6+6.3
9 Libertad148657%77.377.2+0.1
10 Quimsa116555%88.183.6+4.5
11 Hispano Americano126650%80.282.7-2.4
12 Penarol136746%80.885.1-4.3
13 Olimpico125742%76.075.0+1.0
14 La Union125742%83.586.2-2.7
15 Comunicaciones Mercedes114736%82.078.9+3.1
16 Estudiantes1441029%72.980.4-7.6
17 Argentino113827%80.190.1-10.0
18 Quilmes112918%79.586.5-7.1
19 Weber Bahia112918%65.577.9-12.5
20 Atenas101910%75.282.8-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes1813211567
Boca Juniors716181960
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