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Copenhagen vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-86
19-17 24-24 35-24 21-21
Position#4
Record2-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game83.0
Copenhagen 🏆
Denmark
vs
Herlev Wolfpack
Denmark
Position#9
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.8
Allowed / game84.2
DenmarkBasketligaen· N
Other2023-24
Meetings · Copenhagen v Herlev Wolfpack
25 Oct 2024
COPE82
HERL77
23 Mar 2024
COPE85
HERL73
27 Oct 2023
COPE99
HERL86
18 Nov 2022
COPE84
HERL92
09 Apr 2022
COPE80
HERL85
05 Nov 2021
COPE76
HERL87
29 Jan 2021
COPE87
HERL94
16 Oct 2020
COPE59
HERL66
06 Mar 2020
COPE102
HERL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Copenhagen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CopenhagenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCopenhagen
Date
Competition
Amager
#10
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
A12/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
H15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
H28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
68avg 65
A15/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
67-73
67
73
-6
52avg 65
H19/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
58avg 65
A23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
104-95 OT
104
95
+9
no box
H29/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
72avg 65
A05/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
51avg 65
H12/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
92avg 65
A22/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
21-21
15-23
22-24
16-17
23-20
17-19
30-23
25-17
19-17
20-15
23-20
17-27
22-26
19-23
22-17
24-15
12-18
12-18
19-22
17-15
18-29
23-20
12-12
28-24
21-24
22-16
16-23
19-17
16-21
28-20
17-29
17-16
11-24
20-28
17-16
25-14
26-17
23-21
22-21
163.0Avg total
81.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.383.0163.3-2.729%
Season at home (3)78.784.0162.7-5.333%
Season away (4)81.582.2163.8-0.825%
Last 10 (10)81.981.1163.0+0.850%
Last 5 (5)83.083.0166.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.894.6171.4-17.90%
vs Similar (11)80.676.5157.2+4.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.880.2165.0+4.660%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
59-103
59
103
-44
no box
H02/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
83-106
83
106
-23
no box
A08/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
54-85
54
85
-31
no box
H15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-111
71
111
-40
no box
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
65avg 48
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
48-84
48
84
-36
34avg 48
A23/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
51-108
51
108
-57
29avg 48
H30/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 48
H07/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-79
70
79
-9
52avg 48
H14/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
51-82
51
82
-31
42avg 48
H22/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-35
18-19
13-27
11-22
29-25
10-34
21-24
23-23
8-22
12-21
18-24
16-18
23-34
16-19
18-30
14-28
17-19
20-12
23-17
15-20
8-19
15-28
16-10
9-27
10-23
11-23
10-29
20-33
23-30
20-19
17-17
10-18
21-13
12-20
18-22
19-24
8-23
19-22
14-20
10-17
154.2Avg total
63.2Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)60.884.2145.0-23.317%
Season at home (5)63.484.2147.6-20.820%
Season away (1)48.084.0132.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)63.291.0154.2-27.810%
Last 5 (5)58.087.4145.4-29.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)69.088.1157.0-19.116%
vs Similar (2)74.582.5157.0-8.050%
vs Weaker (2)82.064.5146.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -8.3-8.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -8.3-8.3
CopenhagenHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CopenhagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A12/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A15/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H19/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H29/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A05/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H12/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A22/10
Basketligaen
79.6Avg total
40.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.182.0+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.440.382.8+2.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.239.981.1+1.443%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.379.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.279.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.444.682.0-7.212%-
vs Similar (11)40.638.078.6+2.682%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.339.484.7+5.960%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H02/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A08/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A23/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
21-46
21
46
-25
H30/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H07/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H14/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H22/10
Basketligaen
77.7Avg total
31.7Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.443.478.7-8.020%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.742.477.1-7.720%-
Last 30 away (15)36.044.380.3-8.320%-
Last 10 (10)31.746.077.7-14.310%-
Last 5 (5)29.444.073.4-14.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)34.545.079.6-10.512%-
vs Similar (2)34.042.576.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (2)42.530.072.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Copenhagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Copenhagen: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.8
47.4%
51.8%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.2
29.3%
31.7%24.5
🏀 Free throws17.310.8
62.5%
67.0%10.8
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 60.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.316.3
46.2%
51.8%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.75.5
21.4%
31.7%16.5
🏀 Free throws17.511.7
66.7%
67.0%11.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Copenhagen
WLLWLLLWWW
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLLLWLLLL
#4
League position
#9
-7.3
Net rating
-28.4
96.0
Offensive rating
79.7
103.2
Defensive rating
108.1
46.1%
Effective FG%
40.3%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
20.1%
Turnover %
25.2%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.3%
3-point %
21.4%
52.4%
Assist %
59.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 79.7Defence103.2 · 108.1Shooting46.1% · 40.3%3-point %29.3% · 21.4%Ball care20.1% · 25.2%Off. rebounds33.7% · 28.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Copenhagen   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Copenhagen wins
7
Herlev Wolfpack wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23Herlev Wolfpack v Copenhagen97-86
18/11/22Copenhagen v Herlev Wolfpack84-92
09/04/22Copenhagen v Herlev Wolfpack80-85
25/03/22Herlev Wolfpack v Copenhagen94-99
05/11/21Copenhagen v Herlev Wolfpack76-87
21/10/21Herlev Wolfpack v Copenhagen92-101
29/01/21Copenhagen v Herlev Wolfpack87-94
09/12/20Herlev Wolfpack v Copenhagen111-69
16/10/20Copenhagen v Herlev Wolfpack59-66
06/03/20Copenhagen v Herlev Wolfpack102-95
Copenhagenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23AHolbaek-Stenhus96-73
12/10/23HHorsens65-84
05/10/23ATeam FOG Naestved80-87
29/09/23HRanders104-95 OT
23/09/23AVaerlose70-76
19/09/23HSvendborg67-73
15/09/23ABakken Bears80-93
28/04/23HVaerlose87-69
15/04/23HBears Academy86-79
12/04/23AAmager84-82
Herlev Wolfpacklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HBears Academy51-82
14/10/23HVaerlose70-79
07/10/23HBakken Bears70-84
30/09/23HTeam FOG Naestved51-108
23/09/23AHorsens48-84
21/09/23HAmager75-68
20/04/23ABakken Bears71-111
15/04/23HRanders54-85
08/04/23ASvendborg83-106
02/04/23HTeam FOG Naestved59-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Copenhagen
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game80.378.781.5
Allowed / game83.084.082.2
Point differential-2.7-5.3-0.8
Avg total163.3162.7163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%33%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %17%20%0%
Points / game60.863.448.0
Allowed / game84.284.284.0
Point differential-23.3-20.8-36.0
Avg total145.0147.6132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved660100%100.073.0+27.0
2 Bakken Bears660100%94.579.8+14.7
3 Svendborg75271%85.681.3+4.3
4 Horsens64267%87.875.5+12.3
5 Vaerlose64267%83.880.7+3.2
6 Randers84450%96.685.6+11.0
7 Bears Academy62433%81.084.2-3.2
8 Copenhagen72529%80.383.0-2.7
9 Herlev Wolfpack61517%60.884.2-23.3
10 Holbaek-Stenhus61517%68.595.7-27.2
11 Amager6060%72.892.8-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Copenhagen1924352199
Herlev Wolfpack1724242186
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