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Herlev Wolfpack vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 70-79
21-13 12-20 18-22 19-24
Position#9
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game86.0
Herlev Wolfpack
Denmark
vs
Vaerlose 🏆
Denmark
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game82.8
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen (Herlev)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose
11 Mar 2026
HERL88
VAER95
19 Feb 2026
HERL79
VAER87
05 Apr 2025
HERL72
VAER70
27 Dec 2024
HERL80
VAER105
14 Oct 2023
HERL70
VAER79
03 Feb 2023
HERL62
VAER84
01 Apr 2022
HERL93
VAER95
13 Oct 2021
HERL89
VAER69
03 Mar 2021
HERL77
VAER100
14 Nov 2020
HERL64
VAER78
18 Mar 2020
HERL v VAER
upcoming
13 Feb 2019
HERL84
VAER74
06 Oct 2018
HERL95
VAER86
16 Jan 2015
HERL101
VAER66
29 Mar 2014
HERL77
VAER76
18 Mar 2014
HERL77
VAER70
08 Mar 2014
HERL95
VAER90
12 Oct 2013
HERL88
VAER75
01 Mar 2012
HERL92
VAER85
12 Nov 2011
HERL62
VAER74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
58-92
58
92
-34
no box
H19/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
no box
A29/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
59-103
59
103
-44
no box
H02/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
83-106
83
106
-23
no box
A08/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
54-85
54
85
-31
no box
H15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-111
71
111
-40
no box
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
65avg 48
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
48-84
48
84
-36
34avg 48
A23/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
51-108
51
108
-57
29avg 48
H30/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 48
H07/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
14-26
13-32
18-12
17-23
20-20
12-19
10-24
17-35
18-19
13-27
11-22
29-25
10-34
21-24
23-23
8-22
12-21
18-24
16-18
23-34
16-19
18-30
14-28
17-19
20-12
23-17
15-20
8-19
15-28
16-10
9-27
10-23
11-23
10-29
20-33
23-30
20-19
17-17
10-18
155.5Avg total
62.8Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.086.0147.0-25.025%
Season at home (3)65.386.7152.0-21.333%
Season away (1)48.084.0132.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)62.892.7155.5-29.910%
Last 5 (5)63.091.0154.0-28.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)71.388.2159.4-16.924%
vs Similar (2)74.582.5157.0-8.050%
vs Weaker (2)82.064.5146.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Amager
#10
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
H30/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H02/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A04/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
104-60
104
60
+44
no box
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A22/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
70avg 78
A14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 78
H23/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
102-83
102
83
+19
92avg 78
A28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
77avg 78
H07/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
20-27
21-21
27-17
21-17
17-19
28-26
11-12
27-20
28-20
6-14
18-21
20-7
30-16
23-24
31-13
15-22
22-19
23-20
19-25
17-25
17-19
15-20
20-23
23-19
17-33
19-29
23-19
15-17
29-18
20-23
12-12
29-20
20-19
29-21
24-23
23-19
16-19
19-22
27-18
164.5Avg total
84.0Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.282.8169.0+3.575%
Season at home (2)80.574.0154.5+6.5100%
Season away (2)92.091.5183.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)84.080.5164.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)82.883.6166.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.094.4173.4-15.420%
vs Similar (14)77.581.1158.6-3.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.976.0161.9+9.960%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -7.9-7.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -7.9-7.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
Herlev WolfpackVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H19/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A29/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H02/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A08/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A23/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
21-46
21
46
-25
H30/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H07/10
Basketligaen
79.4Avg total
32.1Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.243.279.4-6.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.042.278.2-6.229%-
Last 30 away (16)36.444.080.4-7.625%-
Last 10 (10)32.147.379.4-15.210%-
Last 5 (5)32.645.277.8-12.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.644.880.4-9.220%-
vs Similar (2)34.042.576.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (2)42.530.072.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#10
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H30/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H02/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A04/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A22/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H23/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/10
Basketligaen
82.7Avg total
42.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.378.9-1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.440.981.3-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.139.876.9-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.282.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.682.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.449.089.4-8.640%-
vs Similar (14)37.539.777.2-2.243%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.835.777.5+6.180%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 61.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.8
49.0%
51.8%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.55.0
20.4%
31.7%15.0
🏀 Free throws15.810.5
66.7%
67.0%10.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.5 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.2
52.8%
51.8%46.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.6%
31.7%23.2
🏀 Free throws20.015.5
77.5%
67.0%15.5
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLWLLLLLL
Vaerlose
WWWLLLWWWL
#9
League position
#7
-31.3
Net rating
+4.3
81.3
Offensive rating
105.8
112.7
Defensive rating
101.4
41.6%
Effective FG%
51.5%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
27.3%
Turnover %
19.8%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
20.4%
3-point %
32.6%
54.9%
Assist %
53.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence81.3 · 105.8Defence112.7 · 101.4Shooting41.6% · 51.5%3-point %20.4% · 32.6%Ball care27.3% · 19.8%Off. rebounds32.3% · 31.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Herlev Wolfpack wins
8
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
03/02/23Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose62-84
01/12/22Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack71-85
01/04/22Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose93-95
20/03/22Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack74-64
13/01/22Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack103-87
13/10/21Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose89-69
26/03/21Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack88-82
03/03/21Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose77-100
14/11/20Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose64-78
23/01/20Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack88-84
Herlev Wolfpacklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HBakken Bears70-84
30/09/23HTeam FOG Naestved51-108
23/09/23AHorsens48-84
21/09/23HAmager75-68
20/04/23ABakken Bears71-111
15/04/23HRanders54-85
08/04/23ASvendborg83-106
02/04/23HTeam FOG Naestved59-103
29/03/23AHorsens59-86
19/03/23HBakken Bears58-92
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HBears Academy85-78
28/09/23AAmager102-83
23/09/23HCopenhagen76-70
14/09/23ATeam FOG Naestved82-100
28/04/23ACopenhagen69-87
22/04/23AAmager79-86
12/04/23HHolbaek-Stenhus104-60
04/04/23ACopenhagen79-75
02/04/23HBears Academy77-74
30/03/23HAmager87-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game61.065.348.0
Allowed / game86.086.784.0
Point differential-25.0-21.3-36.0
Avg total147.0152.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game86.280.592.0
Allowed / game82.874.091.5
Point differential+3.5+6.5+0.5
Avg total169.0154.5183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved440100%97.873.8+24.0
2 Bakken Bears550100%93.081.0+12.0
3 Svendborg54180%83.677.0+6.6
4 Vaerlose43175%86.282.8+3.5
5 Horsens64267%87.875.5+12.3
6 Randers63350%97.780.8+16.8
7 Holbaek-Stenhus41325%69.292.8-23.5
8 Herlev Wolfpack41325%61.086.0-25.0
9 Bears Academy51420%80.890.8-10.0
10 Copenhagen61517%77.784.7-7.0
11 Amager5050%72.691.0-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack2112181970
Vaerlose1320222479
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