Copenhagen vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 87-69

25-17 19-17 20-15 23-20

Position#5

Record13-15

FormWWLWW

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game87.6

Copenhagen 🏆

Vaerlose

Position#7

Record12-16

FormLWWWL

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game81.0

BasketligaenBasketligaen - Final

Other2022-23

Meetings · Copenhagen v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Copenhagen winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Copenhagen Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bears Academy

75-68

H27/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

69-93

-24

A16/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

92-59

+33

H04/03

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

91-79

+12

A07/03

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

94-86

H11/03

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

75-58

+17

A18/03

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

73-65

A01/04

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

75-79

-4

H04/04

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

84-82

A12/04

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

86-79

H15/04

Basketligaen

17-21

22-15

16-20

20-12

16-28

21-21

15-21

17-23

28-22

22-11

18-13

24-13

17-18

27-19

22-19

25-23

25-21

20-22

28-25

21-18

19-14

24-21

20-12

12-11

27-19

9-18

15-17

22-11

20-27

20-28

14-6

21-18

26-14

21-21

15-23

22-24

16-17

23-20

17-19

30-23

156.2Avg total

81.4Scored

74.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	82.8	87.6	170.3	-4.8	46%
Season at home (14)	84.0	87.5	171.5	-3.5	50%
Season away (14)	81.5	87.6	169.1	-6.1	43%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	74.8	156.2	+6.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	72.6	151.2	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	79.0	102.3	181.3	-23.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	80.0	77.1	157.1	+2.9	67%
vs Weaker (10)	87.8	81.5	169.3	+6.3	70%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bears Academy

84-81

H07/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

90-68

+22

H16/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

69-58

+11

A05/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

79-91

-12

H07/03

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

84-62

+22

A11/03

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

87-92

-5

H30/03

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

77-74

H02/04

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

79-75

A04/04

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

104-60

104

+44

H12/04

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

79-86

-7

A22/04

Basketligaen

21-21

16-17

26-26

21-17

29-22

26-17

17-17

18-12

19-15

19-9

25-17

6-17

18-17

19-27

19-22

23-25

23-19

16-11

27-15

18-17

19-27

20-27

21-21

27-17

21-17

17-19

28-26

11-12

27-20

28-20

6-14

18-21

20-7

30-16

23-24

31-13

15-22

22-19

23-20

19-25

157.9Avg total

83.2Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	80.4	81.0	161.4	-0.7	43%
Season at home (14)	84.3	81.8	166.1	+2.5	50%
Season away (14)	76.4	80.3	156.7	-3.9	36%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	74.7	157.9	+8.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	77.4	162.6	+7.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	77.3	91.7	169.0	-14.3	17%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	79.0	81.2	160.2	-2.2	46%
vs Weaker (10)	85.5	74.9	160.4	+10.6	60%

This opponent (Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CopenhagenVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.0	42.2	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.7	23.7	41.4	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.0	20.7	45.7	+4.3	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.7	40.5	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.4	20.5	36.9	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.7	39.9	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.8	22.2	39.0	-5.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.2	21.4	39.5	-3.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	20.4	41.9	+1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.8	23.5	43.3	-3.7	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.7	19.6	40.2	+1.1	78%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.5	42.2	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.3	38.7	+0.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.2	39.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.2	43.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.7	27.3	48.0	-6.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.5	18.9	39.5	+1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.2	15.8	38.0	+6.4	90%	-

CopenhagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bears Academy

39-36

H27/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

37-49

-12

A16/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

50-33

+17

H04/03

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

44-37

A07/03

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

45-43

H11/03

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

43-35

A18/03

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

36-37

-1

A01/04

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

40-55

-15

H04/04

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

47-35

+12

A12/04

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

39-37

H15/04

Basketligaen

81.7Avg total

42.0Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	41.7	83.3	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	42.4	85.5	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	40.9	80.8	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	39.7	81.7	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.8	80.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.5	47.2	84.7	-9.7	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.8	38.4	78.2	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.7	40.0	85.7	+5.7	70%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bears Academy

37-38

-1

H07/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

55-39

+16

H16/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

38-24

+14

A05/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

37-44

-7

H07/03

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

39-30

A11/03

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

39-54

-15

H30/03

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

38-36

H02/04

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

55-40

+15

A04/04

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

50-23

+27

H12/04

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

37-41

-4

A22/04

Basketligaen

79.4Avg total

42.5Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	40.5	79.1	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	41.1	82.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	39.8	75.5	-4.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	36.9	79.4	+5.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	38.8	82.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.5	49.5	87.0	-12.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.7	40.3	79.0	-1.6	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.8	34.2	76.0	+7.6	80%	-

This opponent (Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.9	42.5	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	22.8	42.6	-3.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	15.4	31.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.2	29.7	49.9	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.8	16.7	35.4	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.3	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.1	42.3	+0.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	20.7	38.8	-2.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.8	54%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.3	21.1	43.4	+1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	23.0	44.4	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.3	25.4	46.7	-4.1	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.3	19.4	41.7	+2.9	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.9	40.6	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.6	38.8	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.7	19.7	37.4	-2.0	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	44.7	84.9	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.7	43.6	83.3	-3.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.7	46.0	86.7	-5.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	35.1	74.5	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	32.8	70.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.5	55.1	96.6	-13.6	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.8	36.8	74.6	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.1	41.5	83.6	+0.6	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	40.7	81.1	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	40.1	82.9	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	41.3	79.4	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	37.8	78.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	38.6	80.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.8	42.2	82.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.0	39.2	78.2	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.7	40.7	84.4	+3.0	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Copenhagen wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
04/04/23	Copenhagen v Vaerlose	75-79
07/03/23	Vaerlose v Copenhagen	79-91
11/01/23	Vaerlose v Copenhagen	87-90 OT
21/10/22	Copenhagen v Vaerlose	91-89 OT
22/04/22	Vaerlose v Copenhagen	96-86
17/04/22	Vaerlose v Copenhagen	73-77
08/03/22	Copenhagen v Vaerlose	92-78
04/12/21	Copenhagen v Vaerlose	84-79
24/09/21	Vaerlose v Copenhagen	100-84
09/02/21	Vaerlose v Copenhagen	77-75 OT

Copenhagenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/23	H	Bears Academy	86-79
12/04/23	A	Amager	84-82
04/04/23	H	Vaerlose	75-79
01/04/23	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	73-65
18/03/23	A	Bears Academy	75-58
11/03/23	H	Amager	94-86
07/03/23	A	Vaerlose	91-79
04/03/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	92-59
16/02/23	A	Bakken Bears	69-93
27/01/23	H	Bears Academy	75-68

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/23	A	Amager	79-86
12/04/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	104-60
04/04/23	A	Copenhagen	79-75
02/04/23	H	Bears Academy	77-74
30/03/23	H	Amager	87-92
11/03/23	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	84-62
07/03/23	H	Copenhagen	79-91
05/03/23	A	Bears Academy	69-58
16/02/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	90-68
07/02/23	H	Bears Academy	84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Copenhagen

Basketligaen 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	46%
Home	WWWLW	50%
Away	LWWWW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	46%	50%	43%
Points / game	82.8	84.0	81.5
Allowed / game	87.6	87.5	87.6
Point differential	-4.8	-3.5	-6.1
Avg total	170.3	171.5	169.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	21%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	33% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	43%
Home	WLLWW	50%
Away	WWWWL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	43%	50%	36%
Points / game	80.4	84.3	76.4
Allowed / game	81.0	81.8	80.3
Point differential	-0.7	+2.5	-3.9
Avg total	161.4	166.1	156.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	21%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	50% (6)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	32	26	6	81%	93.7	75.5	+18.2
2	Team FOG Naestved	32	26	6	81%	97.3	84.4	+12.9
3	Randers	32	24	8	75%	88.4	77.7	+10.7
4	Horsens	32	18	14	56%	83.6	82.8	+0.8
5	Svendborg	30	14	16	47%	89.0	86.9	+2.1
6	Copenhagen	28	13	15	46%	82.8	87.6	-4.8
7	Vaerlose	28	12	16	43%	80.4	81.0	-0.7
8	Herlev Wolfpack	30	11	19	37%	75.1	85.4	-10.3
9	Bears Academy	28	9	19	32%	74.8	79.5	-4.8
10	Amager	28	9	19	32%	82.1	92.1	-10.1
11	Holbaek-Stenhus	28	2	26	7%	69.5	89.1	-19.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Copenhagen	25	19	20	23	87
Vaerlose	17	17	15	20	69

← all games of the day

Copenhagen vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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