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Penarol vs Cordon Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 90-81
17-20 30-19 23-27 20-15
Position#2
Record21-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game71.4
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#10
Record12-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game75.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penarol v Cordon
23 Oct 2025
PENA102
CORD83
31 Mar 2025
PENA95
CORD88
31 Oct 2024
PENA77
CORD73
08 Apr 2024
PENA90
CORD81
30 Jan 2024
PENA65
CORD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
L
65-75
65
75
-10
51avg 73
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
57-52
57
52
+5
45avg 73
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
70avg 73
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 73
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
69avg 73
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
69-72
69
72
-3
53avg 73
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
84avg 73
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
99-74
99
74
+25
99avg 73
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
83-67
83
67
+16
81avg 73
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
60avg 73
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
17-21
11-12
15-18
13-14
14-16
20-13
10-9
24-14
14-16
22-17
19-21
20-18
11-22
14-17
17-20
13-12
19-20
16-15
33-35
10-9
15-26
20-19
24-18
28-20
20-23
22-10
14-15
32-17
25-22
23-20
19-15
25-17
14-12
27-20
17-18
21-20
14-30
23-20
20-24
148.6Avg total
75.7Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.071.4153.4+10.675%
Season at home (14)83.368.9152.2+14.479%
Season away (14)80.773.9154.6+6.871%
Last 10 (10)75.772.9148.6+2.850%
Last 5 (5)82.675.0157.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)83.280.8164.0+2.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)81.768.9150.5+12.882%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
W
75-65
75
65
+10
67avg 63
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
68avg 63
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
72-57
72
57
+15
66avg 63
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 63
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
86-67
86
67
+19
88avg 63
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
60-79
60
79
-19
48avg 63
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
48avg 63
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
88-82
88
82
+6
76avg 63
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
61-69
61
69
-8
51avg 63
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
77avg 63
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
21-17
12-11
18-15
16-22
24-14
19-16
15-24
18-12
26-13
10-16
18-16
18-16
20-18
17-7
20-28
19-19
18-18
29-17
20-13
16-26
13-17
17-21
14-15
20-28
23-20
10-22
15-14
24-22
22-19
22-16
20-25
13-19
21-16
10-20
17-14
16-8
19-18
18-26
27-28
148.6Avg total
74.7Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.175.5148.6-2.543%
Season at home (13)73.877.5151.4-3.746%
Season away (15)72.473.8146.2-1.440%
Last 10 (10)74.773.9148.6+0.850%
Last 5 (5)73.081.0154.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.380.2153.4-6.926%
vs Similar (9)76.672.6149.1+4.067%
vs Weaker (2)80.074.5154.5+5.550%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
PenarolCordon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
74.4Avg total
37.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.536.478.9+6.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.433.577.9+10.971%-
Last 30 away (14)40.539.379.8+1.243%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.374.4-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.280.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.339.880.2+0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.035.578.5+7.664%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
75.5Avg total
39.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.978.6+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.082.3+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.135.974.9+3.253%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.475.5+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.676.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.139.979.9+0.247%-
vs Similar (9)41.132.974.0+8.278%-
vs Weaker (2)44.542.086.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.7
53.6%
51.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.47.7
26.2%
33.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.214.7
69.3%
71.7%14.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.4
47.4%
51.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.9
29.7%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.711.0
70.1%
71.7%11.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
LWWWLLLWWL
Cordon
LLWLLWWWLW
#2
League position
#10
+2.7
Net rating
+0.5
101.3
Offensive rating
95.2
98.6
Defensive rating
94.7
47.0%
Effective FG%
46.3%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
26.2%
3-point %
29.7%
50.0%
Assist %
50.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 95.2Defence98.6 · 94.7Shooting47.0% · 46.3%3-point %26.2% · 29.7%Ball care15.2% · 16.0%Off. rebounds26.1% · 23.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Penarol   ■ Cordon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Penarol wins
1
Cordon wins
DateGameScore
24/03/24Cordon v Penarol68-84
31/01/24Penarol v Cordon65-75
26/11/23Cordon v Penarol67-75
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24ANacional78-94
02/04/24ADefensor83-67
27/03/24HHebraica y Macabi99-74
24/03/24ACordon84-68
22/03/24HDefensor69-72
19/03/24HAguada81-82
16/02/24AGoes62-77
07/02/24HNacional79-68
03/02/24ALarre Borges57-52
31/01/24HCordon65-75
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24AHebraica y Macabi88-91 OT
02/04/24ANacional61-69
27/03/24AAguada88-82
24/03/24HPenarol68-84
18/03/24ADefensor60-79
16/03/24HNacional86-67
15/02/24HMalvin75-69
09/02/24ATrouville72-57
06/02/24HDefensor74-76
31/01/24APenarol75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeLWLLW79%
AwayWLWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %75%79%71%
Points / game82.083.380.7
Allowed / game71.468.973.9
Point differential+10.6+14.4+6.8
Avg total153.4152.2154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeWLWWL46%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %43%46%40%
Points / game73.173.872.4
Allowed / game75.577.573.8
Point differential-2.5-3.7-1.4
Avg total148.6151.4146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%15%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aguada2822679%90.081.0+9.0
2 Penarol2821775%82.071.4+10.6
3 Nacional2819968%86.680.9+5.7
4 Hebraica y Macabi28171161%84.883.0+1.8
5 Defensor28171161%79.879.0+0.9
6 Malvin32191359%79.775.5+4.2
7 Bigua32151747%82.682.3+0.3
8 Cordon28121643%73.175.5-2.5
9 Trouville32131941%74.077.0-3.0
10 Urupan32122038%75.079.2-4.2
11 Goes32102231%73.377.9-4.6
12 Larre Borges323299%64.879.8-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1730232090
Cordon2019271581
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